Originally posted by factfinder38
Justin I sure do like your work. The problem is that you have the title of Conspiricy Author that will haunt anything that you would like people to
take serious. I think that is a shame because you seem to be a very well educated informed person. I wish I had your skills but I am sure you worked
very hard for that ability.
Shucks, man. Shucks. Actually, I wear two hats. On the one hand, I'm an author of political fiction, and I make public appearances and I do radio
in that role. On the other hand, I get to come here and put on my tinfoil hat and be a conspiracy buff. the secret to my success? Truth in
advertising. Mainstream readers who get in to my book don't feel misled because I used the "c" word in my title. Hard core conspiracy buffs who
want to fact-check me are not dissapointed.
Originally posted by factfinder38
As far as you last post I think you are very correct in the fact that not that many people will fight at least not at first because it will just be to
hard to accept the challange that this will bring. The media will show anyone who fights as religious fruits or some type of cult or Malitia equal to
a Dividian like WACO or any of the Neo Nazi groups. This would have to be Gorilla warfare at its worst sadley to say.
?
Anyone who hopes to see a large segment of the population enter the fight will be very put off. Disapointed. In the last two thouand years, 96% of
revolts have failed. In all cases, no more than 20% of the population took place. It's worth noting that insurrection, although less frequent, did
not succeed at all until the 20th century. In our modern world, any revolt or insurrection will be carried by a small number of dedicated people.
the role of the media will be significant. It is possible for insurgents to exploit the popular press for their own benefit. We're seeing that in
Iraq now, and we saw it in Kosovo. the actual mechanics of 'how' this will be done can be found in my work, if you're interested in looking it
up.
Originally posted by factfinder38
Just out of curiosity what is the insurrection that you see taking place look like?
You may want to check with some of the people who know more work for more details, but my prediction works like this...
As the economy collapses, career politicians at the Federal level will play on our fears. With a little help from big business, they will assert
greater control over our lives. You've seen the recent detainee bill that Prsident Bush wants to sign. Expect more like it in the years to come.
During this turmoil, any number of home-grown extremist groups will surface, and they'll raise a little "heck." This could include some
paramilitary groups which will be labelled as terrorists and exploited by the popular press. Think of this as a period of civil disorder. The actual
insurrection itself, when it comes, will take place after the President makes an effort to assert themselves without actually declaring Martial Law.
When that effort meets with enough resistance to be exploited, we will see true Martial Law. Then...you've got your insurrection.
It won't take the folks in D.C. more than a year to figure out how to exploit that insurrection,. The 'option' I discuss in my work is just one
possibility. The fat of the matter is that a lot of external forces will meddle in this conflict, and we may see foriegn troops coming in
to...assist...Federal forces. Not a lot. Just enough to give their masters some leverage.
Now, the tough part. The insurgents can win if they push the conflict to an actual civil war. Without that increase in support, they are likely to
fail. No matter how good they are on the battle field, or at the negotiating table, their ranks will be fractured as long as their forces remain
divided. They won't be able to reach an accord with their factions unless and until they've won enough support to escalate the conflict.
My success to date would suggest that I've made some good predictions, or that I've told a good story. Either way, I'm just glad to see people
talking about this.