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BBC "The southern part of the San Andreas fault is overdue for a large earthquake, according to a study in the journal Nature. This end of the fault has not experienced a major rupture for at least 250 years and is now primed for a release of the built-up tension. "
LOS ANGELES -- New earthquake research confirms the southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles is overdue for a Big One.
It has not had a major rupture for more than 300 years and is under immense stress and could produce a huge earthquake, a study said yesterday.
But exactly when that quake will hit cannot be predicted, said the scientist who conducted the study published in the British journal Nature
"The observed strain rates confirm that the southern section of the San Andreas fault may be approaching the end of the interseismic phase of the earthquake cycle," he wrote.