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The national agency is accused of fudging data and censoring top scientists who link hurricane intensity with global warming.
Hurricanes are getting worse because of global warming.
Kerry Emanuel, a veteran climate researcher at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, made that assertion to a roomful of University of Rhode Island scientists a few months ago. He also charged the federal government's top science agency with ignoring the growing research making that link.
Instead of telling the public the truth, he said, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration officials are insisting that hurricanes are worse because of a natural cycle.
More...
In February, New Republic magazine published a story about the NOAA's insistence both in news conferences and on its Web site that global warming has no effect on hurricanes.
Many respected climate scientists, including some working at the NOAA, believe that is wrong, according to the article. It quoted Don Kennedy, editor in chief of Science magazine, as saying, "There are a lot of scientists there who know it is nonsense . . . but they are being discouraged from talking to the press about it."
...
"NOAA talks about natural cycles, but there is no evidence this is cyclic," Emanuel said.
Despite growing scientific evidence that global warming is making hurricanes more frequent and more severe, Emanuel said the NOAA has adopted the stance that there is no global-warming effect on hurricanes.
This was not the first time for such accusations. Two years ago, 60 of the country's leading scientists had signed a statement calling for an end to the "distortion of scientific knowledge for partisan political ends" by the Bush administration.
Originally posted by dangermouse
somewhat convenient huh?
Originally posted by devolution
as far as noaa hurricane data..i found this in two clicks
www.nhc.noaa.gov...
Scientists’ Recent Comments onGlobal Warming and Hurricane
They found that the total number of tropical storms (tropical cyclones with maximum
winds less than 75 mph) and hurricanes (tropical cyclones with winds equal to or
exceeding 75mph) varies a bit from year to year, but over the last 30 years, there
has been no trend towards either more or fewer storms.
Originally posted by loam
I'm curious. Are there graphs that incorporate data from the last few years?
So, what's your sense? Jury still out? Are these other scientists jumping the gun?
Are there similar observations for the Pacific Basin?
Originally posted by Indy
Ok this is where a discussion needs an eye-opener. What you see now in the form or more and bigger hurricanes doesn't come from any change in climate.
Originally posted by Indy
I know BS when I see it. This is BS.
Laborde made it clear that the NOAA has discounted the research tying global warming to worsening hurricanes.
Originally posted by Indy
I challenge you to find proof that all storm historical data has been adjusted to meet the new standards.
Operational Recommendations
Based on these and similar analyses for other normalization altitudes, the following reduction factors are recommended for reducing flight-level winds in the inner core of a tropical cyclone to the surface (33 ft) level: for the 700 mb level, R = 0.90; for the 850 mb level (commonly flown in tropical storms), R = 0.80. For investigative flights at 1,000 ft, R = 0.85. As significant variations from these means have been noted in individual storms; these guidelines can be modified as conditions warrant.Storm-to-storm variability will primarily be influenced by wind speed, cyclone convective intensity, and sea-surface temperature.
EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND U.S. LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2006
I am now giving more of my efforts to the global warming issue and in synthesizing my projects’ many years of hurricane and typhoon studies.
Originally posted by Gools
There has been a change in the way data is interpreted and reported AND there are some climate change (i.e. thermodynamic) effects. Perhaps you guys could concentrate on what those two changes mean and how they alter the data and our perceptions etc?
Anyway, keep it professional. .