posted on Jan, 18 2006 @ 06:54 AM
The chances of this happening are too remote to even make them worth thinking about. The chances that, if it happened, any of the weapons would reach
their targets is even more remote. The chances of any sane leadership in the region supporting this after the fact, if they did reach their targets,
are practically zero.
If this happened exactly as proposed, however, then Iran, North Korea, and any other even remotely hostile, desperate, or fanatical country on the
face of the earth with nuclear weapons or ambitions, would be annihilated with very little delay, if any. This isn't what I would want to
happen, but it's the most probable response to such an attack. Neither Russia nor China would side with Iran - there would be no Iran to side with,
and they care more about continued existence and prosperity than they do about backing a newly nonexistent or soon to be obliterated country. The same
goes for Iran’s neighbors. The media may portray them as backward fanatics, but they aren’t stupid.
The global economy would take the biggest hit yet seen since the depression, and the world would be smart to start thinking about alternative energy
sources in a big hurry, because the region might very well be irradiated.
None of this will ever happen, however, because to do this Iran would have to have a successfully concealed nuclear arsenal, and first strike
capability. They wouldn't get half way to either of those before regime change. Now, if North Korea provided them with missile technology and
fissile material or a functional weapon - that's another story. The chances of that happening without anyone knowing about it are very low, however,
because North Korea views any weapons they possess as potential bargaining chips, and the concessions Iran would have to provide in exchange would be
far too visible to be concealed.
If such an event occurred, the West would have to be at least partially complicit in it, in my opinion. There's no way this could happen without us
knowing unless someone was asleep at the wheel.