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Originally posted by Nventual
I'm in a different time zone, so how much more hours until Sept 19 for you guys?
The probability of such an Ms = 7.6 earthquake occurring on the New Madrid fault is about 25 percent in the next 50 years according to Professor Arch Johnston of Memphis State University. However, he finds the probability of occurrence during the next 50 years of the size of the1895 event to be about 90 percent.
FEMA Source
(2005)
7. Devastating Hurricane to hit New Orleans in September
8. During that same month, on Sept. 19 an earthquake will hit St. Louis with the affects being felt in Chicago.
(emphasis mine)
Due to the harder, colder, drier, and less fractured nature of the rocks in the earth’s crust in the central United States, earthquakes in this region shake and damage an area approximately 20 times larger than earthquakes in California and most other active seismic areas.
(emphasis mine)
The NMSZ appears to be about 30 years overdue for a magnitude 6.3 quake because the last quake of this size occurred a hundred years ago at Charleston, Missouri on October 31, 1895 (it was a magnitude 6.7). A magnitude 6.3 quake near Lepanto, Arkansas, on January 5, 1843, was the next prior earthquake of this magnitude. About 75 percent of the estimated recurrence time for a magnitude 7.6 earthquake has elapsed since the last quake of this size occured in 1812.
6. There will be no rain of any significance from mid-June and on.
8. During that same month, on Sept. 19 an earthquake will hit St. Louis with the affects being felt in Chicago.
15. There will be serious economic crumbling.
18. Food riots will break out in August in many major cities.
4. Power diverted to major institutions, hospitals, entertainment centers.
5. Food lines and economy near collapse.
12. In some other places, rainfall will be so heavy, that flooding and destruction will be unavoidable...
13. ... No rain. Intense heat...
18. The giant earthquake strikes the Midwest, literally the whole continent is shaken by the intensity of the earthquake. The midwestern United Sates is devastated.
30. Stock market crashes in July.
31. Great inflation, massive food shortages, massive unemployment, starvation starts
32. Chicago destroyed completely by a major earthquake. Lake Michigan will plummet the city. 62 million will die because of this earthquake felt 500 miles around the city.
34. Food riots will start in August.
11. The year starts out with an earthquake in northern Iowa (January) followed by another one in Boston and then they become very common throughout the year.
There are 5 safe zones: NE Washington, North N. Dakota, NE NY State, N. Arkansas and N. Florida.
I don't know why it only goes to 92' then jumps to 2005-2006