I cannot see any credible circumstances in which Germany could really have 'won' in WW2.
The usual scenario for this happening assumes that like a gambler Germany could have pocketed her immediate gains and 'left the table', but IMO once
Britain decided to go to war I don't see any way that would have been allowed to happen.
Even if the Battle of Britain had not occurred the only outcome that would have engendered would have been a further advance into and later subsequent
retreat out of Russia.
My view is that when Russia successfully moved her war production to the Urals and beyond the fall or not of Moscow would have been irrelevant to the
outcome.
Germany's arms production was woeful - even Britain out-produced her in many important areas! They simply didn't bother trying to mass produce
armour (incredible, considering they had experience of modern mass production techniques thanks to their car industry) or aircraft.
They didn't even go over to what they referred to as a 'total war' footing until 1943!
Of note too must be the order to disband research into anything but that likely to give a 'result' in the short term (2yrs was the timescale I
believe). Therefore even if Germany had simply held onto Europe and not wasted men and material in the Battle of Britain and held off of the invasion
of Russia her technological advances would simply have been further delayed as the orders effect would have lasted longer (and some possibly
dissipated entirely).
I agree that war between Russia and Germany was probably inevitable, the issue was who moved first and most likely not 'if' at all.
I have read that Stalin did not expect it for quite some time though (maybe he was aware of the 1942 ideal many in Germany had been working
towards).
Also one cannot ignore the utter defeat Germany experienced (east and west) regarding the intelligence war.
In the west we had the enigma machine cracked (thanks to the Poles, the French and the British......no matter what Hollywood tries telling people
today
) and could read German orders and signals in real time - we know/knew that sometimes we got the information faster than the intended
recipients!.
In the east the Russians had a spy network which was so effective they didn't need Enigma.
Btw you might be interested in 'Hitler's Traitor' by Louis Kilzer on Presido books; as well as detailing just how extensive, not to mention plain
stupid ('funkspiel' especially where the Germans fed Russia significant genuine intel in the hope of gaining credibility and pulling a big bluff
later.....er, which never came) the German intel failure was it points to Russia's top man in the German inner circle as no less than Martin
Boremann!
There is no reason to believe that the Hitler regime would have had any less failure in this area than they actually had.
I really cannot see any serious prospect of anything other than a German defeat in WW2 (something many Germans could foresee only too clearly then
too).
They had neither the manpower, resources nor sheer capacity to take and hold the enormous territories required......and all this in addition to
practically everything in that absurd 'political religion' of theirs doing just about everything possible to encourage resistance and defiance.
When one thinks of the difficulties current peacetime 'normal' Germany has had re-absorbing the old east German state one can only wonder at the
scale of the fantasy those nutters enveloped themselves in attempting to conquer, hold and integrate all of Europe and beyond by force.
IMO, thankfully, it was never going to happen nor be in any way sustainable.
The pity is it took approx 60 million people the whole world over to find that out.......approx 5.5 million of whom were Germans with a further 2
millions or so military wounded, God knows how many German civillians were wounded.
Then there were the years between defeat and rebuilding where the German people suffered terribly.
Then there was the treatment the vengeful Russians handed out (and who can deny they had provocation?).
Such was the 'gift' those deranged 'patriot nationalist' maniacs gave to Germany.
.......and of course we cannot forget or ignore the damage to the national psyche the association with the Holocaust etc etc has brought to subsequent
innocent German generations and will continue to trouble future generations of innocent Germans.