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You’ll own nothing and you’ll be happy lol.
In the graph above, the blue line represents the seats that Reform could win relative to the percentage of the vote that they might win at an election. As their share of public support increases, so does the number of seats they would hold in parliament. The horizontal dotted purple line shows the number of seats needed for Reform to be the largest party in parliament and the solid purple line shows the number of seats needed for a parliamentary majority (326).
With 28pc of the public's vote, just 6pc more than their current support, Reform would become the largest party in parliament with just under 200 seats. In this scenario, Reform could be governing in a coalition with the Conservatives, likely with Nigel Farage as Prime Minister and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch as a deputy Prime Minister.
If their vote share increases to 31pc, Reform would get an overall Commons majority. In this case, Reform could govern on their own and Nigel Farage would be Prime Minister and able to choose his cabinet freely. This would represent an exceptional scenario, as it would be the first time in over a century when neither of the two British mainstream parties, Labour or the Conservatives, would be in power.
While these projections could be achievable, given their opponents' weaknesses, there is no guarantee that Reform can get there. But there is a unique opportunity for Reform, as the main two parties have not been so vulnerable since the Labour party displaced the old Liberal party in 1922.
www.electoralcalculus.co.uk...
Papers given to the National Archives in London show then deputy PM John Prescott and foreign secretary Jack Straw both urged delay to the policy, warning of a surge in immigration unless some restrictions were put in place.
But others - including then home secretary David Blunkett - argued that the economy needed the "flexibility and productivity of migrant labour" if it was to continue to prosper.
Ministers in Blair's government were advised to use post-it notes for sensitive messages to avoid having to release them under new Freedom of Information laws, which they had passed.
A senior US official warned the British ambassador to the US that George W Bush believed he was on a "mission from God" to crush Iraqi insurgents and had to be given a "dose of reality".
Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi felt like a "jilted lover" after being shut out of talks between Blair and the leaders of France and Germany.
Former prime minister Sir John Major privately wrote to Blair urging him to order England's cricket team not to compete in a "morally repugnant" tour in Zimbabwe amid concerns about its human rights record under Robert Mugabe.
news.sky.com...