posted on Sep, 28 2024 @ 06:05 AM
Hello ATS!
Some Saturday thoughts, this time about capitalism and socialism.
The major non-Western countries, such as Russia and China, have returned to healthy capitalism, and healthy capitalism has gradually pulled Russia and
China to a higher technological level. For example, the planet used to buy cars in Germany, England and the USA, since, say, China could not handle
the mass production of complex equipment. A German worker earned significantly more than a worker from the Third World, since the German had obvious
advantages:
— new advanced machines versus old primitive machines;
— good production organization versus dirt and chaos in workshops littered with garbage;
— well-designed products versus hastily stolen copies of old European products;
— disciplined educated personnel versus illiterate immigrants hammering bolts with a sledgehammer;
— a civilized capitalist market versus criminal chaos or even socialism.
Now all these advantages have evaporated. The Chinese make cars better than the Germans, and buyers vote for them en masse with their rubles not only
in Russia, but also in countries that the US has not attacked. The Chinese factory has the same machine as the German one. Production in China is
organized no worse. Chinese engineers are at least as good as the German ones — maybe even better. Capitalism in China is better organized than in
Europe: the state rarely harasses business and more reliably protects it from external problems.
To be fair, I want to say that I personally have an American car, the previous version of the Escalade. I am happy with both the quality and the
design. But one thing is bad — it is a very expensive car, both in operation and in repair. For me, the only plus is the drive and the status of
ownership. But I am rather an exception to the rule.
In Russia, if compared with Germany or Finland, the situation is similar - it's just that Russians do not specialize in consumer goods like cars, so
it's not so clear. However, if in 1984 or 1994 German factories were something from the distant future compared to Russian ones, now there is no
difference in technology and in the general culture of production. But there is a difference, for example, in energy, which is cheap in Russia, and
expensive in Germany, England and the USA.
It follows from this that salaries in Europe should be at least no higher than in Russia and China - otherwise the economy will not even theoretically
converge, the goods will be too expensive. And this is what is happening. Russian and Chinese workers now receive higher salaries than their
counterparts in the West. Hence the migration of skilled labor to the East. If we take into account the green demons, the rainbow, the great
substitution, the rejection of cheap energy and other negative factors, we will find that it will be very difficult for Europe to compete with the
Russians, even if salaries there are significantly lower than in Russia and China. It is impossible to convince people to buy Mercedes en masse while
Honchi of the same level is half the price. And it is even more impossible to convince businesses to buy German chemicals, including household ones,
instead of Russian ones, since in this case even the factors of nostalgia and reputation cannot be played upon.
For now, all of Europe is holding on to the inertia accumulated over the last century. However, Europe's business model is already hopelessly broken.
There are no raw materials, no energy, no workers, no markets, no reputation, no unique technologies...
You have to pay for friendship with America.
Thank you.