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POLITICS
Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 45%
Thursday, August 15, 2024
Former President Donald Trump continues to lead Vice President Kamala Harris, although the Democrat has slightly narrowed the margin.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 45% would vote for Harris. Three percent (3%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and two percent (2%) are undecided. These findings are just slightly changed from a week ago, when Trump led by five points, with 49% to Harris’s 44%
Key Facts
Harris leads 50% to 46%, with 5% of voters undecided, in an Emerson College poll of 1,000 likely voters released Thursday.
Just one poll this week, taken by Fox News and released Thursday, found Trump leading, 50% to 49%.
Some 48% of registered voters polled by Monmouth University in a survey released Wednesday said they will definitely or probably vote for Harris in November, compared to 43% who said they would definitely or probably vote for Trump.
An Economist/YouGov poll taken Aug. 11-13 also found 46% of registered voters would cast their ballots for Harris, while 44% would vote for Trump in a five-way race with third-party candidates on the ballot.
The vice president leads Trump 47% to 44% in Morning Consult’s latest poll released Monday, with 4% of registered voters surveyed selecting “someone else” and 4% saying they don’t know—the fourth week in a row Morning Consult’s weekly poll has shown Trump trailing Harris.
Harris leads in at least three other surveys taken this month: a Reuters/Ipsos poll released last Thursday found Harris leads 42% to 37%; an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll released last Tuesday shows her polling 48% to 45% over Trump; she also leads Trump by one point nationally in a CBS News poll released Aug. 4.
Trump leads Harris in at least eight other polls since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, but most show Harris denting Trump’s lead over Biden and her approval rating ticking up since she announced her candidacy.
Overall, we rate Rasmussen Reports as Right-Center biased based on polling that slightly favors Republican candidates.
We also rate them as Mostly Factual based on 78% accuracy in predictive polling.
Detailed Report
Bias Rating: RIGHT-CENTER
Factual Reporting: MOSTLY FACTUAL
Country: USA
MBFC’s Country Freedom Rank: MOSTLY FREE
Media Type: Organization/Foundation
Traffic/Popularity: Medium Traffic
MBFC Credibility Rating: HIGH CREDIBILITY
originally posted by: putnam6
Heavens to Murgatroyd ... what does that say about the DNC's power brokers selection process?
Perhaps they shouldn't have let Joe run unopposed in primaries.
originally posted by: DBCowboy
a reply to: putnam6
Dey gonna put Trump in jail.
originally posted by: TzarChasm
a reply to: putnam6
Polling numbers are worthless. Just like predicting the weather six months before your wedding by tracking every meteorological pattern around the globe. It's a waste of resources trying to anticipate the domino effect. The only numbers that matter are the box office on opening night.
Days before convention, Democrats haven't updated their party platform to replace Biden with Harris
Four days before the Democratic National Convention opens in Chicago, the party's proposed platform names the wrong candidate for president.
The Democratic platform — essentially a document outlining goals and policy positions the party supports — has not been updated since a draft was released July 13, eight days before President Joe Biden abandoned his reelection bid and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris.
The committee in charge of compiling the platform worked for more than a year to draft it, including leaving room for key voices to comment and make changes earlier this summer. But the language set to go to the floor of the convention to be approved by delegates hasn't been modified since before Biden left the race. And the rules body is not scheduled to meet to update the platform before the convention begins Monday.
Thank you for your consistency. Could it be that there is a deeper game afoot? Maybe a ''supposed'' groundswell rebellion on the floor of the convention?
originally posted by: BingoMcGoof
a reply to: WeMustCare
Thank you for your consistency. Could it be that there is a deeper game afoot? Maybe a ''supposed'' groundswell rebellion on the floor of the convention?
Days before convention, Democrats haven't updated their party platform to replace Biden with Harris
Four days before the Democratic National Convention opens in Chicago, the party's proposed platform names the wrong candidate for president.
The Democratic platform — essentially a document outlining goals and policy positions the party supports — has not been updated since a draft was released July 13, eight days before President Joe Biden abandoned his reelection bid and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris.
The committee in charge of compiling the platform worked for more than a year to draft it, including leaving room for key voices to comment and make changes earlier this summer. But the language set to go to the floor of the convention to be approved by delegates hasn't been modified since before Biden left the race. And the rules body is not scheduled to meet to update the platform before the convention begins Monday.
www.yahoo.com...