Prize or Zonk

I got a problem.

Let's say Monty Hall offers you two choices. Door 1 has a 75% chance of being 1 Zonk and 25% chance of being 1 Prize. Door 2...you have no idea what's behind there, it could be 8 Zonks instead of just 1, but it could contain multiple prizes. There's no telling what Door 2 holds.

25% chance of winning the prize is pretty good, right? Try finding those odds at the casino. You can't.

Here's a few rules. You have to choose one door or the other. Not choosing is not an option. Also, you have to assume this is a high stakes game. The prize is valuable and highly sought, while the zonk has major consequences. We're talking major success vs. critical failure. Use your imagination here.

This is more of a philosophical problem than a math problem, but I welcome any creative solutions or thinking on this even if math is how you arrive at your answer.

What door would you choose?

I know the answer to the one where if you have doors 1 2 and 3, and you get two picks, so you pick one door and it's the zonk. So if offered a chance to switch the door you picked for the other one, you should ALWAYS say yes and switch because now you have a fifty fifty chance instead of a one in three like you had when you picked your initial door.

a reply to: AlexandrosOMegas

The true "Monty Hall Problem" requires a math solution, and yes that's the answer.

Perhaps I shouldn't have used Monty Hall to stage my more sinister dillema

My bad!

Please ignore the sounds of things being moved around behind those doors after you have chosen. It is perfectly normal and not part of the game.

a reply to: AlroyFarms


Always jump In through the windows the doors are a trap