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originally posted by: openminded2011
a reply to: infolurker
In the United States, its impossible to envision a scenario where they could accomplish this without triggering an outright uprising. Maybe in a few decades they can brainwash the population into giving them up, but not this generation.
originally posted by: camain
a reply to: Irishhaf
I don't disagree, but you get 2 missile hits on a carrier and its out of the fight, especially if you hit the flight deck. the big thing with carriers is that it projects strength through the planes it carries. if the plans can't take off, they cant provide air power to counter air power targeting those rings. I'm not saying China can destroy our fleet. I am saying that they can hurt it badly. Enough for us to keep our distance. The reality is if the USA went to war with China, South Korea would fall. Taiwan would fall. Japan would be in shambles, Guam would be gone, Hawaii would be hurting, the philippine bases would be hurting. It would take years to get our MIC rebuilt to counter China, and by then the war would be over. It would take years to take the fight to them. Even then if we did we would still struggle to get onto the mainland, and by the time we were ready they would have already fortified South Korea, Taiwan making the fight even more deadly. The only way to stop china is before they launch. Once they launch, the sphere of influence in the Pacific changes and the dynamics are not in the USA and our allies advantage. Once China takes South Korea, I can see them peacefully annexing North Korea. With North Korea having food, a large army, and access to tech, they are basically a giant army base ready to feed the Chinese war machine. While the USA is taking years to rebuild, China can sweep into the South taking Vietnam, Cambodia, etc.They'll march all the way up to Pakistan and Bangladesh. Then I am positive they will work with India to take them out, so India can reclaim its territory. At that point you have a unified Russian Alliance in Asia, with China leading it, with half the worlds population. pushing into Africa, and defending the Pacific keeping the USA out. The sphere of influence then changes from USA #1, China #2, Europe #3, to China #1, Chinese Block #2, USA #3, Europe #4. At that point, Iran, Iraq, and Turkey can eliminate the KURDS, Turkey can push into Armenia, and that will break the NATO alliance, as Turkey sides with Asia, Saudi Arabia, and the middle east falls, which shifts power dynamics further. All this is occurring while the USA would have HyperInflation, depression, and struggling to get the economy running while defend Europe from Russia, and Defend the Pacific from China. Meanwhile Brazil would centralize access and control to Asia, expanding their block to South America, leaving Europe and the USA isolated. Eventually Australia and New Zealand would capitulate, followed by Europe, leaving the USA in even worse situation. Eventually the USA will have to give up. As I said this is one scenario if it starts. The only way to stop it is before. IF the USA can smash the invasion of Taiwan, keep Taiwan secure, that leaves the Chinese Army to fight it out in South Korea. IF we and our Allies can defend South Korea, that gives us a staging area to take North Korea. IF we can keep power in South Korea and Taiwan, we can keep China reined in, which keeps South Asia free, which keeps the Turks on our side, which protects Saudia Arabia, which keeps our economy going, which keeps South America Neutral. If we don't have the army staged, the Navy staged, and the Air Force staged to defend them, its a cascade effect, leaving the USA hurting for 100 years. Everything hinges on defending Taiwan, and South Korea. They are the gate keepers to american global power. they fall in Asia, its a domino effect.
Thats the way I see it anyway. Those 200 troops are meant to die in Taiwan. Reason being if they do, we can knock out the Chinese landing parties and reinforce Korea. All while changing our manufacturing to war, our economy to war, and fighting ww3. Thats what it would be. Millions will die without nukes, and billions will die with them. the only way to avoid such a cataphoric situation is to keep china in check. That is getting harder and harder to do, and as the years go by gets even harder.
Camain
originally posted by: musicismagic
originally posted by: camain
a reply to: Irishhaf
I don't disagree, but you get 2 missile hits on a carrier and its out of the fight, especially if you hit the flight deck. the big thing with carriers is that it projects strength through the planes it carries. if the plans can't take off, they cant provide air power to counter air power targeting those rings. I'm not saying China can destroy our fleet. I am saying that they can hurt it badly. Enough for us to keep our distance. The reality is if the USA went to war with China, South Korea would fall. Taiwan would fall. Japan would be in shambles, Guam would be gone, Hawaii would be hurting, the philippine bases would be hurting. It would take years to get our MIC rebuilt to counter China, and by then the war would be over. It would take years to take the fight to them. Even then if we did we would still struggle to get onto the mainland, and by the time we were ready they would have already fortified South Korea, Taiwan making the fight even more deadly. The only way to stop china is before they launch. Once they launch, the sphere of influence in the Pacific changes and the dynamics are not in the USA and our allies advantage. Once China takes South Korea, I can see them peacefully annexing North Korea. With North Korea having food, a large army, and access to tech, they are basically a giant army base ready to feed the Chinese war machine. While the USA is taking years to rebuild, China can sweep into the South taking Vietnam, Cambodia, etc.They'll march all the way up to Pakistan and Bangladesh. Then I am positive they will work with India to take them out, so India can reclaim its territory. At that point you have a unified Russian Alliance in Asia, with China leading it, with half the worlds population. pushing into Africa, and defending the Pacific keeping the USA out. The sphere of influence then changes from USA #1, China #2, Europe #3, to China #1, Chinese Block #2, USA #3, Europe #4. At that point, Iran, Iraq, and Turkey can eliminate the KURDS, Turkey can push into Armenia, and that will break the NATO alliance, as Turkey sides with Asia, Saudi Arabia, and the middle east falls, which shifts power dynamics further. All this is occurring while the USA would have HyperInflation, depression, and struggling to get the economy running while defend Europe from Russia, and Defend the Pacific from China. Meanwhile Brazil would centralize access and control to Asia, expanding their block to South America, leaving Europe and the USA isolated. Eventually Australia and New Zealand would capitulate, followed by Europe, leaving the USA in even worse situation. Eventually the USA will have to give up. As I said this is one scenario if it starts. The only way to stop it is before. IF the USA can smash the invasion of Taiwan, keep Taiwan secure, that leaves the Chinese Army to fight it out in South Korea. IF we and our Allies can defend South Korea, that gives us a staging area to take North Korea. IF we can keep power in South Korea and Taiwan, we can keep China reined in, which keeps South Asia free, which keeps the Turks on our side, which protects Saudia Arabia, which keeps our economy going, which keeps South America Neutral. If we don't have the army staged, the Navy staged, and the Air Force staged to defend them, its a cascade effect, leaving the USA hurting for 100 years. Everything hinges on defending Taiwan, and South Korea. They are the gate keepers to american global power. they fall in Asia, its a domino effect.
Thats the way I see it anyway. Those 200 troops are meant to die in Taiwan. Reason being if they do, we can knock out the Chinese landing parties and reinforce Korea. All while changing our manufacturing to war, our economy to war, and fighting ww3. Thats what it would be. Millions will die without nukes, and billions will die with them. the only way to avoid such a cataphoric situation is to keep china in check. That is getting harder and harder to do, and as the years go by gets even harder.
Camain
Well thought out. One reason Japan is quietly building up its military with missiles and airplanes. A bit late to the show, but they realize with America changing its politica policy every 2 or 6 years and the POTUS every 4 years, they finally woke up to the wind of change.