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originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: Violater1
Its the Bermuda High, it generally establishes itself this time if year. Also you can also often predict the likely paths of hurricanes later this summer and fall based on where the high is set up now as the cyclones tend to move around the perimeter of the high.
Given where it is right now, most 'Cape Verde' storms will likely turn north before the CONUS...good news!
This is subject to change, but is generally a good indicator. Hurricane seasons with a lot of CONUS strikes, the Bermuda High is further west, preventing the storms from turning north before running into the CONUS. Right now it is in a favorable location as it would allow storms to turn north along the western perimeter of the high before threatening the US.
originally posted by: putnam6
FWIW Tropical Tidbits has it shifting southeast and collapsing by the 31st on the Euro model, while the EPS has it shifting northeast and emerging with another high-pressure system if Im channeling Al Roker properly
www.tropicaltidbits.com...
originally posted by: Violater1
I can't remember seeing a high pressure system this large before. I'm sure some [.] will say it's an everyday occurrence. But I've watched the weather for over 30 years and don't recall anything this big.
www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov...
The center of this system is at least the width of Indiana (and maybe Ohio too). It's outer spiral arms reach the continents of Africa, South America and the USA. It's Southern portion is blowing up into the Gulf of Mexico. So much, that it may disrupt the Tropical Storm (or soon Cyclone) Agatha from entering into the Gulf. Or worse, providing it fuel.
On a side note, perhaps it's fouling up the infra red sensors of Soviet satellites or RADAR as well.
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