Hello ATS!
First, I want to express my gratitude to the leadership of our forum for being able to restore the forum after the disaster within a few days. Yes, it
was a disaster for me. A lot of conspiracy theories immediately came to my mind:
1. Only I was banned from the forum (access disappeared immediately, as soon as my last thread was closed for commenting)
2. Access was closed to all users and readers from Russia (by IP addresses)
3. The forum was closed due to the independent position of the leadership of the forum, which allows opinions and facts to sound from the other
side.
Etc..
I'm glad it all happened because of a simple credit card issue with the forum host.
Yes, I would be happy to help financially our forum, but now, unfortunately, it is not technically possible. Even if it were possible, the leadership
of the forum could receive accusations of funding from Russia, and they would have even more problems. But in the end, the ATS is working, I am very
happy, I congratulate you all.
Now on the subject of thread.
There has been an interesting trend in Putin's policies over the decades that fits perfectly into theoretical psychology. This is the reaction and
actions of counterparties to Russia's proposals. This reaction is described by a simple chain:
Denial - Anger - Bargaining - Depression - Acceptance.
Sorry, but the inscriptions are in Russian, although you can easily understand.
Putin said that unfriendly countries would pay for Russian gas in rubles. Moreover, in Putin's speech there was a reservation that so far only for
gas, all other vital resources for the West (for the United States, in particular, uranium) are next in line. Then everything went according to the
scheme I described above.
The President of the European Commission said that she would not allow paying for gas in rubles. Her logic is this: Russia is punished and therefore
must sit without money, and payment in rubles will allow Russia to receive money from the Europeans for its gas. The Prime Minister of Slovenia also
expressed confidence that in Europe they would not buy Russian gas for rubles:
russian.rt.com...
This was their first stage, denial. Like a school bully, who in September was ridiculed by classmates who had grown stronger over the summer. The
bully believes that they are still afraid of him, that he just needs to frown his cheeks harder and make a stern look. The bully thinks that now he
will show firmness, and they will again begin to give him pocket money.
For an analyst at Germany's Baaderbank—he's supposed to be a little smarter in his job—the next stage of accepting the inevitable is anger.
“This is a very dastardly trick of Putin,” the representative of the European gentlemen is indignant, “even a violation of contracts. This
strengthens the ruble, and the West now has the problem of possibly undermining its own sanctions against Russia.”
t.me...
Indeed, the Europeans have driven themselves into a trap. When the EU defaulted on the euro, it canceled gas supply contracts. Russia gained the right
to set new conditions at its own discretion - for example, in rubles.
Russia needs this first of all to create an energy ruble, to bring its currency to a new level. However, as a welcome side measure, Russia is helping
the Europeans to recognize their weakness, helping the Europeans to take the place in the world that they can claim. Namely: the place of bankrupts
who lost to the nines, to whom no one else releases goods on credit.
On the third stage - bargaining - the Europeans will advance with the help of small countries with cunning leadership. Bulgaria, for example, has
already stated that it has the opportunity to pay in rubles for gas:
www.rbc.ru...
Thus, the European Union can drive money through Bulgaria or Turkey, paying for Russian gas according to crooked contours and schemes, through several
hands. Yes, the European Union will eventually pay more for gas, but at the same time, Ursula von der Leyen will be able to stand beautiful, in a
white coat, and defeat Russia over and over again on Twitter.
By the way, about Twitter. Across the Atlantic Ocean, there is no more adequacy. As you remember, the former US Ambassador to Russia, McFaul, recently
proposed a scheme that is delightful in its uncomplicated naivete - the European Union will receive gas from Russia, and put the money allocated for
paying for gas into special accounts within itself. When Russia realizes its guilt and crawls on its knees to the West, kissing Uncle Sam's boot, it
will be possible to think about partially unblocking Russian accounts.
Continued below.