La Nina possibly developing, watch for a very active Atlantic hurricane season!!!

I have not seen any discussion of this yet but I have been watching the global water temperatures and the temperatures off of Ecuador and Peru are cooler than average and appear to be dropping, this usually means a "La Nina" pattern is developing, the opposite of El Nino where those temperatures are above average. This pattern usually means little westarly flow in the Atlantic tropical waters hence a more favorable pattern for tropical development, also the water temps along the Atlantic's ITCZ are above average which will aide tropical development if the pattern persists or stregthens. On a side note El Nino years essentially cut off the hurricane season in the Atlantic because the upper level westerlies tend to dip much further south than normal, shearing apart any possible cyclone development.
weather.unisys.com...

from the bits and pieces of info gathered from the National Hurricane Center, I believe the experts would be in agreement with you Jrod, it seems to be shaping up for an active season, I can only hope that Florida doesnt bare the brunt of multiple cat 3's or higher.

I like the barrel in your avatar. This will be an interesting year.

I found this on "www.oceanweather.com". What do ye think. I dont know if this is inaccurate or not so i just thought i'd compare the info.




[edit on 3-4-2005 by PeteTPP]

[edit on 3-4-2005 by PeteTPP]

Nice discussion, folks, and I hope to see more data on this.

Question (I don't have time for the research, here) is this an unusual La Nina pattern or a standard one?

I have to agree that it will be a wet season in the south and we had lots of hurricanes last summer I believe it may be worst this year.

We are still trying to dry out from the last two weeks of rains and floods.

I am afraid that my roof is going to start leaking every where. Great find.

I am nt trying to be rude, but I seriously want to know jsut what it is that you are suggesting?

Every 7-10 years we have an el-Nino, nothing new. What's the big deal?

If I am missing something then please cure my ignorance.

But from everything I understand (especially as someone who was raised with repeated "el-Nino" warnings.......this is nothing new