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originally posted by: CharlesT
a reply to: putnam6
Yes it is, but your post somewhat trivializes the amount of potential destruction that could, and most probably will at some point, result. Tsunamis along every Atlantic coast, high enough to wipe out everyone for miles inland on low-lying coastlines. Millions potentially killed.
originally posted by: musicismagic
A bit on Canary Island. Must be a beautiful place.
sites.google.com...
originally posted by: CharlesT
a reply to: putnam6
It was already noted that it was not being reported by USGS but for what reason, I don't know. Maybe they don't want to cause mass panic, since the east coast would not have enough warning for massive evacuations all the way 200 miles inland.
Although the flank instability of Cumbre Vieja is noted, many scientists tend to disagree with massive failure of the western flank of the volcano; rather, they think it would happen in smaller separate events that would not be capable of triggering a mega-tsunami (Wynn and Masson, 2003). There is much scientific debate over the timing of an eruption that would trigger such events (considered to be decades to thousands of years), whether or not a massive failure of Cumbre Vieja's flank would occur during an eruption, or even if a mega-tsunami could possibly result (and reach the United States with such projected wave sizes). Mader (2001) used different wave modeling and determined that the resulting tsunami waves that reached the U.S. east coast and Caribbean would be on the order of 3 meters. The International Tsunami Information Center provided the following information in regards to the creation of a mega-tsunami by massive flank failure:
While the active volcano of Cumbre Vieja on Las Palma is expected to erupt again, it will not send a large part of the island into the ocean, though small landslides may occur.
No such event - a mega tsunami - has occurred in either the Atlantic or Pacific oceans in recorded history.
The colossal collapses of Krakatau or Santorin (the two most similar known happenings) generated catastrophic waves in the immediate area but hazardous waves did not propagate to distant shores. Carefully performed numerical and experimental model experiments on such events and of the postulated Las Palma event verify that the relatively short waves from these small, though intense, occurrences do not travel as do tsunami waves from a major earthquake.
To view more information on the scientific debate of Cumbre Vieja and a mega-tsunami, see the following links:
International Tsunami Information Center
Dr. George Pararas-Carayannis - Evaluation of Mega-Tsunami
Mader (2001) (PDF 1.4MB)
Ward and Day (2001) (PDF 0.7MB)
originally posted by: Atsbhct
a reply to: putnam6
I love volcano doom porn; but, from your same source:
Although the flank instability of Cumbre Vieja is noted, many scientists tend to disagree with massive failure of the western flank of the volcano; rather, they think it would happen in smaller separate events that would not be capable of triggering a mega-tsunami (Wynn and Masson, 2003). There is much scientific debate over the timing of an eruption that would trigger such events (considered to be decades to thousands of years), whether or not a massive failure of Cumbre Vieja's flank would occur during an eruption, or even if a mega-tsunami could possibly result (and reach the United States with such projected wave sizes). Mader (2001) used different wave modeling and determined that the resulting tsunami waves that reached the U.S. east coast and Caribbean would be on the order of 3 meters. The International Tsunami Information Center provided the following information in regards to the creation of a mega-tsunami by massive flank failure:
While the active volcano of Cumbre Vieja on Las Palma is expected to erupt again, it will not send a large part of the island into the ocean, though small landslides may occur.
No such event - a mega tsunami - has occurred in either the Atlantic or Pacific oceans in recorded history.
The colossal collapses of Krakatau or Santorin (the two most similar known happenings) generated catastrophic waves in the immediate area but hazardous waves did not propagate to distant shores. Carefully performed numerical and experimental model experiments on such events and of the postulated Las Palma event verify that the relatively short waves from these small, though intense, occurrences do not travel as do tsunami waves from a major earthquake.
To view more information on the scientific debate of Cumbre Vieja and a mega-tsunami, see the following links:
International Tsunami Information Center
Dr. George Pararas-Carayannis - Evaluation of Mega-Tsunami
Mader (2001) (PDF 1.4MB)
Ward and Day (2001) (PDF 0.7MB)
A 3 metre wave isn't quite as scary. Kind of a wait and sea situation.
originally posted by: Thoughtcrime
a reply to: putnam6
Nine hours, eh? Well then I better get to high ground!
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: Thoughtcrime
a reply to: putnam6
Nine hours, eh? Well then I better get to high ground!
Nah just grab your board and you can catch a wave right to the new beachfront property.