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originally posted by: AndyMayhew
The main problem in India is that they relaxed all the rules on masks, social distancing etc, when only a very small percentage of the population had been vaccinated.
Countries with a very much larger percentage of vaccinated people are seeing no such problems
originally posted by: ketsuko
a reply to: rickymouse
A lot of Indian foods use potato and tomato sauces.
originally posted by: MichiganSwampBuck
a reply to: JAGStorm
Yeah, there is the crowded conditions to consider, of course.
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: AndyMayhew
The main problem in India is that they relaxed all the rules on masks, social distancing etc, when only a very small percentage of the population had been vaccinated.
Countries with a very much larger percentage of vaccinated people are seeing no such problems
That's such BS, correlation doesn't equal causation. Not to mention less than 33% of the US is vaccinated, yet the Rt is as low as it's been. In fact Canada with even less vaccine "rollout" is doing floating that same low Rt.
health-infobase.canada.ca...
epidemicforecasting.org...
originally posted by: JAGStorm
a reply to: MichiganSwampBuck
Although a variant is a possibility, there is another probably more likely possibility.
India has a gigantic population. In some areas people are practically on top of each other. Eight people on one motorcycle, 150 on a bus. With those kinds of close quarters even "regular" covid can spread quite rapidly.
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: AndyMayhew
The main problem in India is that they relaxed all the rules on masks, social distancing etc, when only a very small percentage of the population had been vaccinated.
Countries with a very much larger percentage of vaccinated people are seeing no such problems
That's such BS, correlation doesn't equal causation. Not to mention less than 33% of the US is vaccinated, yet the Rt is as low as it's been. In fact Canada with even less vaccine "rollout" is doing floating that same low Rt.
health-infobase.canada.ca...
epidemicforecasting.org...
IF you look at the curve for covid infections you will see that it tracks back to two key events.
The first was a key campaigning phase for the Bengal. A lot of people were mixing in dense crowds at rallies, a lot of people were traveling around towns and villages to campaign, and there was little or no mask wearing and social distancing.
It's pretty clear from the graphs that one tracks the other.
scroll.in...
The second was a series of religious festivals which also saw mass mixing without distancing or mask wearing.
www.aljazeera.com...
You can talk about correlation and causation all you like, but sometimes correlation proves causation.
originally posted by: ketsuko
a reply to: MichiganSwampBuck
You can't really conclude anything from that. India had one of the poorest vaccination rates in the world, so the number of a fully vaccinated people there was very small.
The talk of older antibodies would pretty much refer to those who got naturally ill with COVID previously. So those natural infections aren't helping and that is scary. I am not sure if they have a very good sample to know if the vaccines are or aren't of any use, and if so which ones we might talking about as there are multiple different ones that work in very different ways.
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: AndyMayhew
The main problem in India is that they relaxed all the rules on masks, social distancing etc, when only a very small percentage of the population had been vaccinated.
Countries with a very much larger percentage of vaccinated people are seeing no such problems
That's such BS, correlation doesn't equal causation. Not to mention less than 33% of the US is vaccinated, yet the Rt is as low as it's been. In fact Canada with even less vaccine "rollout" is doing floating that same low Rt.
health-infobase.canada.ca...
epidemicforecasting.org...
IF you look at the curve for covid infections you will see that it tracks back to two key events.
The first was a key campaigning phase for the Bengal. A lot of people were mixing in dense crowds at rallies, a lot of people were traveling around towns and villages to campaign, and there was little or no mask wearing and social distancing.
It's pretty clear from the graphs that one tracks the other.
scroll.in...
The second was a series of religious festivals which also saw mass mixing without distancing or mask wearing.
www.aljazeera.com...
You can talk about correlation and causation all you like, but sometimes correlation proves causation.
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: AaarghZombies
originally posted by: putnam6
originally posted by: AndyMayhew
The main problem in India is that they relaxed all the rules on masks, social distancing etc, when only a very small percentage of the population had been vaccinated.
Countries with a very much larger percentage of vaccinated people are seeing no such problems
That's such BS, correlation doesn't equal causation. Not to mention less than 33% of the US is vaccinated, yet the Rt is as low as it's been. In fact Canada with even less vaccine "rollout" is doing floating that same low Rt.
health-infobase.canada.ca...
epidemicforecasting.org...
IF you look at the curve for covid infections you will see that it tracks back to two key events.
The first was a key campaigning phase for the Bengal. A lot of people were mixing in dense crowds at rallies, a lot of people were traveling around towns and villages to campaign, and there was little or no mask wearing and social distancing.
It's pretty clear from the graphs that one tracks the other.
scroll.in...
The second was a series of religious festivals which also saw mass mixing without distancing or mask wearing.
www.aljazeera.com...
You can talk about correlation and causation all you like, but sometimes correlation proves causation.
Again correlation does not equal causation, especially in the context of a "pandemic" a plethora of factors and variables come into play. For example, India's predominant COVID variant just popped up in about January and India's percentage of different variants is totally different from any surrounding countries.
There is a multitude of causes and effects... not just one or two likely dozens and dozens
nextstrain.org...
and there is this little nugget
archive.fo...-487.0-517.201
Why the world’s most vaccinated country is seeing an unprecedented spike in coronavirus cases
The effort initially seemed to be a success. The Seychelles stands as the most vaccinated nation on Earth, with more than 60 percent of its population fully vaccinated, more than other vaccine giants such as Israel and Britain, and almost twice the United States’ rate of vaccination.
But that success has been undermined this week as the Seychelles has found itself with its largest number of new coronavirus cases per capita, and has been forced to reinstate a number of restrictions.
Jennifer Huang Bouey, an epidemiologist who works with the Rand Corp., estimated that given what was known about the Seychelles’ vaccine rollout and the vaccines used, less than 49 percent of the population could be assumed to have immunity conferred by vaccines.