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A new study on the 80th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota in August suggests that the event, deemed a “superspreader,” added an estimated 267,000 coronavirus cases nationwide and led to about $12.2 billion in health care costs.
The paper also estimates the rise in cases in Meade County, South Dakota, the site of the rally, and reports an increase of between 177 and 195 cases compared with a “synthetic control” of similar counties, an approach similar in spirit to the difference-in-difference model. This represents a 100 to 200 percent increase in cases, which also appears to be a serious overestimate. Looking at the raw case data for Meade Country, cumulative cases from Aug. 3 to Sept. 2 increased from by 45 to 74, an increase of only total 29 cases (though a 64 percent increase). With a cumulative case count of only 74 in Meade County by Sept. 2, an estimated increase of 103 more than the total observed over the whole pandemic suggests serious problems with the model.
originally posted by: Mark08
How many new cases involve the "peaceful protests" (riots, looting, terrorists)?
originally posted by: ColeYounger
we're supposed to believe that a study has already been done, and in appx 2 weeks time "they" were able to determine the number of new cases, AND the dollar amount of health care costs being racked up!
It's apparently just a study about the monetary costs from Economics Professors in California (not medical doctors)...they just presume the hypothetical numbers of cases related to Sturgis are correct and do the math ...
originally posted by: ColeYounger
a reply to: AttitudeProblem
It's apparently just a study about the monetary costs from Economics Professors in California (not medical doctors)...they just presume the hypothetical numbers of cases related to Sturgis are correct and do the math ...
The "Sturgis was a superspreader" buzz phrase is now being used by these idiot reporters.
I could see this coming a mile away from the early reports on sturgis. They are using it to demonize an already marginalized but largely white group that is not quite in line with the status quo. Soon reporters will be banging on about bikers and conspiracy theorists in the same breath. Just plain lame. Another attack on freedom.
South Dakota’s governor has claimed that a study that said a motorcycle rally in the state may have led to 260,000 Covid-19 infections was “made up”.