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originally posted by: andy06shake
a reply to: The2Billies
You can catch the flu more than once yet we manage to immunize a significant percentage of susceptible people.
Then again the current flu (H1N1 influenza virus vaccines) are only 50-60% effective.
My opinion is any COVID 19 vaccine won't materialize, if at all, this side of 2020, just down to the very nature of how we produce and proceed to clinical trials where vaccines are concerned.
Why Flu Outbreaks Have Been the Worst in Nearly a Decade
FEBRUARY 28, 2018 10:43 AM EST
time.com...
The current shot is just 25 percent effective against the H3N2 virus, this season’s most-often-identified strain by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The experts say, with enough time and money, they can do a lot better.
originally posted by: andy06shake
a reply to: The2Billies
You can catch the flu more than once yet we manage to immunize a significant percentage of susceptible people.
Then again the current flu (H1N1 influenza vaccines) are only 50-60% effective.
My opinion is any COVID 19 vaccine won't materialize, if at all, this side of 2020, just down to the very nature of how we produce and proceed to clinical trials where vaccines are concerned.
originally posted by: Hefficide
a reply to: The2Billies
The 19 in Covid 19 does not represent the number of a strain. It is named Co ( Corona ) vi ( virus ) d ( disease ) 19 ( for 2019 the year it was first identified ).
originally posted by: DontTreadOnMe
a reply to: The2Billies
Covid is a coronavirus.
The common cold is a corona virus.
Both mutate all the time.
There has never been a vaccine for the common cold.
I HIGHLY doubt there will be one for Covid either.
There is always the possibility for death from complications of the common cold.
I suspect Covid will be the same.
originally posted by: The2Billies
This is basically a question I have been wrestling with and want to hear from the community.
The way vaccines work is that they use a form of the actual virus to create an immune response in the person. That immune response is what protects you from getting the full blown disease. Most vaccines use a "dead" form of the virus to stimulate the immune response, some use one tiny "live" virus to stimulate the immune response. That is how vaccines work.
Now many on ATS are saying you can get COVID 19 twice, that getting it full blown the first time does not stimulate the immune response so that you will not get it a second time.
I think I have read that the cases people said got it twice, were really people who got it and never fully recovered and their immune systems succumbed and they regressed. That is they did not get it twice, they simply never got over it the first time but thought they did.
IF COVID 19 does not stimulate an immune response for getting it a second time, is the world doomed? If it is the case that getting it does not stimulate an immune response then no vaccine can be created to stimulate an immune response. That would mean the virus would circulate endlessly until it killed off the majority of the population of the world.
Has there been a case where someone got COVID 19 and then more than 6 months later got it again? I don't think so, but maybe some of you do.
What is your opinion based on science and not stories in social media?
originally posted by: DontTreadOnMe
a reply to: The2Billies
No, it will likely mutate into something like another common cold, or a flu.
It will be deadly for some, as are all of these viruses.
originally posted by: 1947boomer
originally posted by: The2Billies
This is basically a question I have been wrestling with and want to hear from the community.
The way vaccines work is that they use a form of the actual virus to create an immune response in the person. That immune response is what protects you from getting the full blown disease. Most vaccines use a "dead" form of the virus to stimulate the immune response, some use one tiny "live" virus to stimulate the immune response. That is how vaccines work.
Now many on ATS are saying you can get COVID 19 twice, that getting it full blown the first time does not stimulate the immune response so that you will not get it a second time.
I think I have read that the cases people said got it twice, were really people who got it and never fully recovered and their immune systems succumbed and they regressed. That is they did not get it twice, they simply never got over it the first time but thought they did.
IF COVID 19 does not stimulate an immune response for getting it a second time, is the world doomed? If it is the case that getting it does not stimulate an immune response then no vaccine can be created to stimulate an immune response. That would mean the virus would circulate endlessly until it killed off the majority of the population of the world.
Has there been a case where someone got COVID 19 and then more than 6 months later got it again? I don't think so, but maybe some of you do.
What is your opinion based on science and not stories in social media?
That’s not the only way to produce vaccines, these days. The most modern approach is to create artificial antigens in the laboratory and introduce them into the patient. The antigens can be chosen such that the virus is highly unlikely to be able to mutate enough to make the vaccine obsolete, which can be the case with seasonal flu, for example. That’s why they have to brew up a new flu vaccine every season.
At least two of the vaccines currently in Phase I - II trials (CureVac and Moderna) use messenger RNA (mRNA)as the antigen, and that may very well lead to long term immunity.
www.raps.org...
I have a friend and colleague who is a microbiology researcher at Stanford working on the COVID-19 problem, and he says the ability of researchers to tackle problemS like this has grown exponentially since even the time of H1N1 (10 years ago).