101 days in at 1 point 5 million cases the next 101 days

It's April 9th 2020.

Where will we be by July 11 th ?

Half a million new confirmed cases of coronavirus have been added to the global tally in less than a week.

Every country worldwide has reported cases of community transmission.

While home news focuses hard on home countries , a fire is lit under all the population of earth. Extraordinary events have been taking place , un noticed , unless you go looking .

In India , a massive exodus of informally employed people has taken place , in fear of the lockdown as much as the disease , huge numbers of people have lost jobs and without money there is no food , and the effect is immediate . Chaos has gripped India , the supply chain is broken from the very farmers whose labourers have deserted , to the markets which handle the goods , the roads which are shut between the district's . All those migrants , mostly walking back to home villages , have been stopped at orders from Modi s government , it's not known what choices they now are encountering outside of many cities like Delhi and Mumbai , but their journeys to leave for home have been militarily curtailed at state borders .

Looking to other countries , with major populations already on the breadline , living in slum conditions often with very poor sanitation , it's a forbidding future for life whichever way it's considered.

Much of our food and the goods we use in the West are handled by countries we not even give a thought to as we use them , the premium prices we pay go via the low wages that companies and corporations often enforce . Very soon , our supply chains will be affected too . Imported goods will slow , maybe even halt from some countries , perhaps many .

When we re reassured , " there is no shortage of food or goods" the words are not " there will be no shortage ..."

A report from the guardian last week stated that the UK government were privately "furious" with th CCP .

The reason , because their reliable observers in china report the opposite of what the CCP has said , that numbers of cases was over 40 times the stated caseload of 86000 or so , that the spread through China is accelerating out of control.

They're #furious , because its political suicide to directly contradict what the CCP are announcing , which to the world is a huge lie . The CCP has made an attempt at narrative control and to ignore the massive emergency which coronavirus now is in that country , most likely to avert as long as possible the dissolution of its control .

This is not made up information , it's the truth ,(and most likely). That the msm here too reports the lie, they're collectively kidding themselves. You can't handle the truth . Wuhan is open again , but for the cameras , and meanwhile nobody enters china without going to a ' facility' first , for quarantine .

The CCP will be desperate to restart their economy and may soon be enforcing that new protocol, despite the death and morbidity spreading ever faster . Who knows what the next 101 days have in store ?

Even if lockdowns work in the West , and it will take perhaps months not weeks more , the landscape of the economy has already shifted enormously. Whether the laissez faire world of opportunistic capitalism survives the upheaval , it's hard to know.
What we do know is man hours measure exactly to value of goods and services , and that's why major profit makers do such a lot of shipping between countries. And when countries can't even organise their own internal supply chains , globally , what's to become of exports ? Logically speaking , they dry up , they stop.

Is there a way out this ?
No. All you can do is adapt to the new realities . We may see the virus , but what we come back to after lockdowns have worked , and that's if they work ( see china cases above ) and while they don't work ( see India case above ) ..
What we return to , jobwise , economically speaking, the status quo , is going to be different., across the board . Everyday , to survive we must come back to basic necessities , again and again . The very foundation of any economy is food , and the sustainable and efficient production and trade of such. Looking ahead past the next 201 days , would be wise , and those resource runs you do now are going to make the difference in the future. Things like seeds and gardening kit are now more valuable commodities , perhaps than ever . Fortunately , we hope , in the same plans laid out for pandemic mitigation , along with social distancing measures are plans for seed and tool distribution , should things get dire . And they might well do. It really is the last resort but it's perhaps the only way you might get to live, long term , by growing your resources .

And if it does come to that , extreme end , then rest assured the world promises to be much better post pandemic. Farming as a way of life , is the best way of life , and if that's the destination and we reach there alive , this world would be saved from a disaster of its own making , which wasn't coronavirus but environmental. degradation and destruction , and the wanton abuse of resources such as the oceans and the air itself . And if some people can't stomach that reality , of being simple farmers, so be it for now , it's only so long before active circumstances will make minds change.
Wherever we get to , good luck getting there x

Society is not going to change in any meaningful way.
Short term? Certainly. But one thing you can count on is : Most people don't learn.

Give it a little time and folks will be right back to their old selves. They aren't going to become farmers, they want their Starbucks and McDonalds, going shopping at the mall and drinking with their friends at the bar.

a reply to: DAVID64

Coffee doesnt live in America bro , neither does cocoa .
Most of the kit at the mall is made overseas.
We all like a mcd but mcd have got to start thinking and acting local if they want to stay in business . At the moment right now their burgers are sitting in the cold store , and sooner or later they're going to bump suppliers because there isn't enough cold store to put them all in. A lot like the oil market too. It's suggested mcd reopen as shops selling frozen foods .
As much as people might struggle to reconcile it , tool and seed distribution are on pandemic mitigation plans . It's a big world of which America is just a part.

I think the biggest lesson to learn from this whole thing will be to not be afraid. Fear has been used as a powerful tool against the people of the world. We should not forget how quickly governments and media outlets were to exploit this situation and create massive amounts of panic and anxiety throughout the population of the world.

There is a very real pandemic happening. People are getting sick, and some people are dying. While I agree that social distancing seems to be an effective way to slow the spread and keep pressure off of hospitals I also understand why people are frustrated. We've been shaken from our regular routine with work and school. We've had our wages cut, we can't visit our friends or family. These are things we're all going through together, and for the most part we've submitted to them willingly for the greater good of humanity, regardless of what some groups may or may not learn from the scenario.

My suggestion? Take away from this the positive things we can all rejoice in after this is all said and done.

We will never take hugging and kissing our loved ones for granted again.

Our favorite foods are going to taste better when we can go out and enjoy them again.

Birthday parties are going to be huge and celebrated with more joy that we've survived another year.

Collectively, we'll have survived the nastiest piece of history since WW2.

Sunlight will feel better on our faces because we've all been spending way too much time indoors.

The planet is healthier because humans aren't traveling nearly as much, and many factories production lines are paused.

When all is said and done, regardless of severity, we will have survived. We should plan on celebrating accordingly.

There is very likely to be a covid induced baby boom. (positive or negative? lol)

So I dunno guys. It's not all doom and gloom. All depends on how you want to look at it.

a reply to: AnonyMason

good post

I liked the meme

This too shall pass..

it might pass like a kidney stone

but eventually, it will pass

I don't believe in the vaccine as a solution. I think it is a big lie created to buy time, until the immune system of survivors develop certain level of natural resistance but not immunity, just like the flu. I think that was the plan. Better than tell people the real situation and create 10 times more panic than what we already have.

So all we have is a life full of restrictions until that happens. I also believe there will be more changes, we must adapt and survive now. It doesn't mean that we like it.

"Preventive Healthcare" will be the best defense for mankind, voluntary or obligatory.

OF course we will have our jobs back and we will be able to keep paying bills, but the change already took place. Now "The Elite" knows how we respond to this situation, we are more predictable now.

originally posted by: Trueman
I don't believe in the vaccine as a solution. I think it is a big lie created to buy time.......

I'm not sure it matters whether you "believe" in a vaccine or not.

There are already about 5 or 6 in clinical trials.

www.nytimes.com...

Remind us again how many weeks the world had been at stand still for H1N1 at this point in it's life-cycle?

If people do not realize that this is a massive HOAX by July 11th then the world is beyond saving.

a reply to: 1947boomer

The trouble with the vaccine is scientists been searching for both a vaccine and a cure for the common cold ( also a coronavirus ) for many many years without any success. There may be more hope in antibody treatments or antiviral drugs , or as the ncbi lists an article citing herbal remedies had some success in the treatment of SARS 1

a reply to: SKEPTEK

The moon landings were a hoax .
Novel coronavirus is not a hoax , unfortunately .
Something like this , had to come sometime.

a reply to: 1947boomer

The vaccine is a trojan horse. You trust big pharma.

a reply to: AnonyMason

Great post.

I agree and reeeeally hope you are right.

My teen is already more grateful for things he took for granted before, little things. Like cheese and driving. That's sonething.

And there will be a generation of kids who will know life before, during and after this pandemic/quarantine...if they are lucky...and hopefully their takeaways will be profound. And enduring.

a reply to: SKEPTEK
According to this: Estimates of the Prevalence of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009, United States, April–July 2009
There were only 43,677 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in those 4 months.

The stats for Coronavirus show 465,689 cases to date.

H1N1 never got to this point.

a reply to: DoctorBluechip

In the not so distant past America survived on American grown food.

CDC admitted today that it's models were grossly inaccurate on the high side.
Can I have some nothing fries with that nothing burger?

a reply to: acackohfcc

NO you must skip the humble pie and move on to a double down and extra big gulp.

a reply to: acackohfcc
Yeah, well, 2.2M may have been high but the deaths already surpassed their estimate, which was probably also high, for H1N1.

The CDC estimated that H1N1 killed 12,469 in a year. Covid-19 has done a little better than that in 10 days.