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originally posted by: musicismagic
originally posted by: hopenotfeariswhatweneed
originally posted by: Sillyolme
This seems to be a glass half empty kind of group.
Just saying.
Wishing you all the best.
I honestly do not think this is going to be some mass killer.
Think positive people.
I agree, what I find more concerning is the potential for a major disruption in supplies.
Hungry desperate people will be the issue.
Currently, I don't think many people are thinking that far ahead . I am though.
originally posted by: myselfaswell
a reply to: weirdguy
SARS-cov-2 vaccine is ready for human trials in the U.S.
That's great, but bearing in mind.....
"Drug Approvals - From Invention to Market ... A 12- Year Trip."
So even if this does actually work, and is fast tracked, it's still going to be a couple of years.
Linky
originally posted by: TheAMEDDDoc
a reply to: musicismagic
We’ve been buying canned goods, easy stuff to make in water, cases of water, non perishables, and other supplies. Nothing crazy, just like 50-100 dollars a week for the past few weeks and throwing it in the basement.
Topped off heating oil, paid all bills one month ahead. Sitting on our nice tax return from my boss to give us another month or two before dipping into savings, paid off most credit cards and cashed in on a few grand in cash back awards. Most likely my employer will pay me if we’re forced to stay home but you never know. If the Guard calls then that’s another paycheck. I don’t care about getting the disease, I just want the kids to be safe.
Most people won’t care until they see people dropping and getting sick. Then it’s too late.
originally posted by: TheAMEDDDoc
a reply to: ketsuko
OMG we forgot the animals lol! So they’re next then. I don’t think it’s going to turn into road warrior but I could see rationing or restricting movement for a minute.
I don’t think anything crazy infrastructure wise will happen just major inconvenience problems we’re not used to in an instant gratification society.
Remember, the most optimistic prediction at this point is 60,000 people are going to get killed in the next few months. It's highly infectious with an R6, probable chance of further mutations, infectious during the prodromal phase, and it's airborne. The only reason you're not already seeing thousands of people confirmed outside of China yet is because the incubation period but believe me the WHO is already talking about how "problematic" modeling the Chinese response in Western countries is going to be, and the first country they want to try it out in is Italy. If it begins a large outbreak in a major Italian city they want to work through the Italian authorities and world health organizations to begin locking down Italian cities in a vain attempt to slow down the spread at least until they can develop and distribute vaccines, which btw is where you need to start investing.
The not just bad but scary case scenario is that they fail to contain it and that it also mutates in South America. This is going to be far, far worse than the Spanish flu if that happens and it's going to completely crash the global economy. This is concerned by world health authorities to be "only" 20.6-7% probable of happening however so as far as they're concerned they're taking it one step at a time not to start a panic, but it is estimated a one in five chance of over a hundred million people dying in the next year. Redfield is aware of this along with some other top American CDC staff and triaging the situation the situation according to that logic. Ask Kyle about this when you've got a chance. European health authorities do not seem fully debriefed on all this yet but WHO as far as I'm aware is where the numbers themselves mostly originated along with the models.
But with that being said there's no stopping what's about to happen to the markets now and the only thing stopping it is by everybody like me telling the truth to our investors and then lying our pants off in public to everybody as we're trying to prevent a full scale panic as everyone understands the gravity of the situation and starts a mass sell off all at once, so it's become a me and mine mentality of a lot of people to advise your clients accordingly and pull the # out and into everything else even memecoin, gold, and government bonds before everybody else figures out what's happening because hey, if you're in a crowded concert and a fire is starting it makes more sense to quietly exit the building before anyone knows what's going on then shout fire and get trampled under the stamped right?
Just be aware of the key thing: Brazilian and other South American cities. If it spreads there too badly and they can't be contained then we're all #ed. Even without that happening tens of millions of people are probably about to be infected, and possibly even hundreds of millions within the next year or two.
originally posted by: tennisdawg
My interest in this virus is far beyond what we have discussed in the 3 threads. When I first got involved, the classified documents I was shown talked numerous times about kidney failure as a late stage symptom of the virus. As someone with only one kidney, my interest levels went sky high at that point. Thanks again everyone for the discussion so far.
originally posted by: sirlancelot
originally posted by: TheAMEDDDoc
a reply to: musicismagic
We’ve been buying canned goods, easy stuff to make in water, cases of water, non perishables, and other supplies. Nothing crazy, just like 50-100 dollars a week for the past few weeks and throwing it in the basement.
Topped off heating oil, paid all bills one month ahead. Sitting on our nice tax return from my boss to give us another month or two before dipping into savings, paid off most credit cards and cashed in on a few grand in cash back awards. Most likely my employer will pay me if we’re forced to stay home but you never know. If the Guard calls then that’s another paycheck. I don’t care about getting the disease, I just want the kids to be safe.
Most people won’t care until they see people dropping and getting sick. Then it’s too late.
Hi You are one of the few I pay most attention to. Based on your best guess for America when is the SHTF timeframe in
your opinion?