Corona Virus Updates

originally posted by: butcherguy
a reply to: burdman30ott6

I did an edit.

Sinking Spring, PA

That's right up there with Dickey Julius from a few pages ago in the running for unfortunate names read in otherwise devoid of humor news pieces.

a reply to: Fowlerstoad

Looking at the data , it looks like this is going global at a rate where getting correct information is going to be dificult. The statistics are in geometric progressions. Wuhan is now closed after the first case being reported around November. That's approximately eight weeks until all hell breaks loose. The progression will be the same in any other city on earth, and is most likely spreading now in many places , and being mistaken for flue , and reporting the deaths by pneumonia, why wouldn't they if their is no testing kit. Its only when the numbers go geometric that anyone notices and then its problematic on what to do.

a reply to: JacKatMtn

Unfortunately very possible, whether it's got hospital beds or they skip the middle man and make the whole building a morgue, they're likely just scrambling to develop storage space for dead or dying people.

a reply to: burdman30ott6

I think Politics affects more then other things numbers any sane polititian will try to tag dead on other cause if it can especialy if the virus came out of your contry realy hard to be sure of any data these day but with social media frenzy these day even China look more open !

a reply to: burdman30ott6

Virus’s are the fastest multiplying organism, so mutation can literally be OCCURING as we speak. I think it has also been reported to have mutated. In a home with 6 occupants they determined the virus that had infected them all were different. Dunno, thou not a pathologist, I am a hvac tech lol.

For anyone curious about the infection pattern,

WHO Sitrep (#8) states that 3 of 58 cases diagnosed outside China were asymptomatic.

Link here.

a reply to: burdman30ott6


We can always hope that it's China's way of redirecting MEDIA as they deal with the pandemic? Throw up a massive prefab modular med facility...

I seem to remember that China has built some completely UNINHABITED city like structures, just waiting for occupancy, why couldn't they just utilize some of these ghost town high rises, for triage and quarrantine?

a reply to: burdman30ott6
I'll have to put that on my favorite names list alongside the lady named Latrina.

a reply to: burdman30ott6

I found a link to the letter on the school district website:
Wilson School District

Posted January 29, 2020 In early January, four students from Wilson High School traveled to Shijiazhuang, China for an 8-week exchange program. This is the sixth year that Wilson students have participated in this program. As you may be aware, there is elevated concern regarding the spread of the coronavirus, that has brought many cities and public transportation systems to a halt in China. We have been in communication with the parents of our four students and together we have decided to bring our students home. We are extremely grateful that the host families in China took extra precaution to ensure our students’ safety during their time in Shijiazhuang. They are scheduled to return to the United States tonight. None of the students are symptomatic of the coronavirus. We have been in contact with the Chief of the Section of Infectious Diseases at Tower Health Reading Hospital, Dr. Debra Powell, and have received guidance from her on how to proceed when our students return. Based on her recommendations and the information provided by the Center for Disease Control, we will be keeping our students out of school for a total of 14 days. We are doing this out of extreme caution for our Wilson community. The link to the guidance for travelers returning from China can be found here. We appreciate the support that has been expressed by our Wilson community for our Chinese exchange students and their families during this difficult situation.

Most of the people that I have talked to locally would rather they quarantine the kids instead of just keeping them out of school.

a reply to: WeAllWait


Ya the aussie’s don’t think it’s contagious when it’s asymptomatic. But they have rebuffed, a report, since I posted that health radio address looks like 50 plus pages ago.




www.health.gov.au...

originally posted by: Dolby_X
a reply to: burdman30ott6

Number from sars

Analytical Report

Page 13 you will see sars timeline

That's some interesting forecast graphs. At a 50% compound rate (pg 4) would be 153,106 cases on Feb 4th.
It's already out pacing the Swine Flu of 2009 according to his graph on pg 12.

BREAKING NEWS: 3 who have returned to Haneda from Wuhan on the first government charted flight have been confirmed with new #coronavirus--Japanese TV networks NHK, TV Asahi and Fuji TV flash.

twitter.com...

a reply to: Bicent

...well #
I've had enough internet for today.

www.nejm.org...


Just came out today.

a reply to: burdman30ott6


Me too, about to watch a movie, or play a game, looks like Asia, is gonna get really sick..

a reply to: Bicent

Too early to say all 11 million in Wuhan are infected? Damn, makes me wonder.

a reply to: Bicent

Yea every time I see news of confirmed test results coming back positive I think to myself, my god we have eyes on every possible subject of this virus possible.

We’ve already calculated eve try single flight in and out of this place for the last month, and everyone in question is being monitored.

Talk about a total lock down.

We are so hyper focused on this nasty bugger. It moves, we know about it, it mutates, we know
About it, it’s trends are being analyzed by millions including people like us.

This poor virus doesn’t stand a chance.

Let’s hope China can perform some tactful damage control and mitigate future deaths.


Gonna go grab food, and do socially healthy activities for at least 20 minutes. I’ll be back.

originally posted by: Bicent
www.nejm.org...


Just came out today.

SOURCE:

a decline in the most recent days is likely to be due to under-ascertainment of cases with recent onset and delayed identification and reporting rather than a true turning point in incidence (Figure 1).

Specifically, the latter part of the curve does not indicate a decrease in the number of incident cases but is due to delayed case ascertainment at the cutoff date.

Tibet reports first confirmed case of Coronavirus - People's Daily

twitter.com...

New here after lurking during major events for a few years. Its amazing how many informative posts there are here - news and links long before it shows up on the usual news sites I check regularly. SO I have to decide - bought a cell phone case that came direct from Guangzhou China, delivered today and wondering if it should be left alone for a while just in case. I know that in general it shouldn't be a problem but... So what should I do? Open it and start using it or let it sit for a week or two, spray it with rubbing alcohol etc...? Thanks for any opinions!