Asteroid Headed for Earth, Possibly Las Vegas

a reply to: Flyingclaydisk

I know, I know. The other poster mentioned a suburb of LV, and what the effects might be; I just had to show off my acquaintance with the astroid impact app.

I appreciate the fact that the odds are 1 in 7,000, which is so far below the level of significance that it isn't really a threat.

I loves me some doom porn. That's all.

a reply to: solve

So youre saying its the bugs.

I would like to know more.

Leonid Elenin (amateur astronomer who discovered the infamous comet Elenin) posted about this asteroid.

His calculations for 10,000 possible trajectories show 41 possible impacts, giving the probability of an impact of 0.41% which, he says, is very large for an asteroid approach.

The size is estimate to be between 20 and 50 meters.

But since the "observation arc" is only 10 days, the trajectory is a very weak guess. We definitely need to find this asteroid again in order to get a more accurate trajectory.

Leonid even mapped the possible points of the impact:



Most of them are over the ocean, except some land in Chile and Africa.