It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
When I bought my house in 2000 my mortgage was 8%plus but now they are around 3%.
In 1980 they were 18%!!!!
originally posted by: CriticalStinker
originally posted by: chr0naut
So, where is all the money?
originally posted by: toysforadults
a reply to: Bluntone22
if people had the money they would spend it trust me, the problem is they don't
Everyone has a smartphone now. That wasn't the case five years ago.
Most people keep them for a few years, all the sales were to flip phone hold outs and third world countries.
They used each years gains and kept the projection going in the same direction as if they could keep those sales up. Stock market is punishing them for it for being dishonest and rightfully so.
Apple got caught throttling phones so people would think they needed newer and better. A phone from 2 years ago with a new battery will do everything you need it to.
originally posted by: CriticalStinker
a reply to: Bluntone22
When I bought my house in 2000 my mortgage was 8%plus but now they are around 3%.
In 1980 they were 18%!!!!
So you take the 15 instead of 30 year and put every quartly bonus extra bonus towards paying it off sooner.... Do that and if SHTF you can take a few months off paying the mortgage since you're ahead.
What's the point now? But lose a job or market takes a month, try skipping a few months.
originally posted by: toysforadults
a reply to: chr0naut
You are correct
However if you bring up taxes as a vehicle to srive investments into assets you will be ridiculed by "conservatives" and called a communist
I'm not saying in for that because of they stopped bailing banks out they would stop risky lending and asset values might actually make sense for average people
Everything is great cause MAGA
Just kidding all the same systemic issue that exst before Trump are still there
originally posted by: dubiousatworst
Monetary policy overall has a negligible effect on the performance of an economy overall, except for fringe cases such as those that cause "shoe leather costs" (When inflation rates are so high it causes people to attempt to use their money immediately in order for it to not lose value, or hold onto it if at all possible because it's value is increasing drastically which has never happened to my knowledge). Those cases occur when inflation is like that of Wiemar Germany, Zimbabwe , or currently in Venezuela.
In the broad range where daily prices are not effected greatly by inflation or interest rates, monetary supply again is not really an issue due to the usage of banks and digital banking, where monetary velocity could theoretically be infinite, and due to this only at the extreme fringes of inflation or interest does it have an actual effect on economic value of goods or services.
As for entering a deflationary period, I find that hard to swallow, as that would require an economy wide retraction, which frankly isn't occurring. Certainly there are sectors that are suffering (tech and finance) however the rest of the economy is still moving upwards overall in terms of GDP in spite of a stock market retraction that is mostly related to bad news in the tech sector (lots of information leaks etc) and the financial sector that has buoyed itself by investing in both the tech sector and itself through large amounts of trade volume rather than adding actual value, falling into something of a velocity loop of buying and selling with no real overall gain other than market share.
www.bea.gov...
www.bea.gov...
This increase of market share should be evident via ETFs (Exchange Trade Funds for those of you in rio linda). The increasing popularity of ETFs among the financial sector should be the one thing that show that the markets no longer directly reflect the actual market values, and are all derivative function based trading rather than actual value trading. That alone should tell ordinary people that the stock market is not something normal people should be a part of, nor something that you can actively gain from in the short or even mid term.
The best way I can describe ETFs in a simple way is buying stocks in an organization that is based on stock valuation. Let that sink in a bit, it is trading for trading sake, rather than trading for the sake of actual valuation or investment, and the ETF market is massive and continuing to grow.
Also... Look at the price of gas. We are headed for a deflationary period
originally posted by: Anathros
originally posted by: dubiousatworst
Monetary policy overall has a negligible effect on the performance of an economy overall, except for fringe cases such as those that cause "shoe leather costs" (When inflation rates are so high it causes people to attempt to use their money immediately in order for it to not lose value, or hold onto it if at all possible because it's value is increasing drastically which has never happened to my knowledge). Those cases occur when inflation is like that of Wiemar Germany, Zimbabwe , or currently in Venezuela.
In the broad range where daily prices are not effected greatly by inflation or interest rates, monetary supply again is not really an issue due to the usage of banks and digital banking, where monetary velocity could theoretically be infinite, and due to this only at the extreme fringes of inflation or interest does it have an actual effect on economic value of goods or services.
As for entering a deflationary period, I find that hard to swallow, as that would require an economy wide retraction, which frankly isn't occurring. Certainly there are sectors that are suffering (tech and finance) however the rest of the economy is still moving upwards overall in terms of GDP in spite of a stock market retraction that is mostly related to bad news in the tech sector (lots of information leaks etc) and the financial sector that has buoyed itself by investing in both the tech sector and itself through large amounts of trade volume rather than adding actual value, falling into something of a velocity loop of buying and selling with no real overall gain other than market share.
www.bea.gov...
www.bea.gov...
This increase of market share should be evident via ETFs (Exchange Trade Funds for those of you in rio linda). The increasing popularity of ETFs among the financial sector should be the one thing that show that the markets no longer directly reflect the actual market values, and are all derivative function based trading rather than actual value trading. That alone should tell ordinary people that the stock market is not something normal people should be a part of, nor something that you can actively gain from in the short or even mid term.
The best way I can describe ETFs in a simple way is buying stocks in an organization that is based on stock valuation. Let that sink in a bit, it is trading for trading sake, rather than trading for the sake of actual valuation or investment, and the ETF market is massive and continuing to grow.
Argh, text wall!!!
Literally almost impossible to bring myself to read this
The yield curve for long term US treasuries is actually still quite low, while the short term are the only ones that are high, meaning long term confidence in the US economy remains high.