EARLY VOTING Tallies Are Coming In - Here Are The State-by-State Results.

I'll give up winning the Megamillons jackpot @ $1.6 billion.

For a RED WAVE in the next two weeks.

One or the both.

But Big guy if your listening up there.

Let me have my cake, and eat it too.

If not.

RED WAVE!

originally posted by: MisterSpock
And the nazi party takes the lead.

The world is literally over.

LGBTQ people will literally be rounded up and put in camps.

Russians will literally be at every corner controlling American citizens as the fourth reich rises.

Err ma God, we are all doomed.

Same stuff that was predicted before 2016 if Trump won. None of this stuff happened.

The old democratic party created a monster that is now out of control. You want something passed by Democrats. They first run it by BLM, LGBTQ, antifa, illegal aliens, and muslims before.

Run run away from red

Perhaps it just me, but I think the Republicans are going to run the table on Election Day. Certainly in my state of Tennessee, all across the South and the flyover states. I think We the People, were shown in 2016 that our votes and the consequences of our votes matter.

The New World order is being broken before our very eyes.

The Democrats haven’t produced a single issue that would appeal to an intelligent, mature, family oriented person. They have shown America that the leadership has absolutely no moral compass.

Time will tell, and time is getting very short.

originally posted by: carewemust
October 22, 2018

This will be an ongoing thread till November 6, 2018. (Mid-Term Election Day)

EARLY VOTING is ongoing in several states. Here are the current standings, from NBC News:

ARIZONA - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

FLORIDA - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

GEORGIA - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

INDIANA - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

MONTANA - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

TENNESSEE - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

TEXAS - Republicans Leading. Voted Trump in 2016

NEVADA - Democrats Leading. Voted Clinton in 2016

So, otherwise these states in raw numbers are turning out just how most people would expect them to?

I am confused what you think this shows? No one was predicting that Texas etc. as a whole was turning Democrat?

It is the district by district elections that determine the House of Representatives. Not the popular vote.

As of right now, Dems have an 85% percent chance of taking the Majority in Congress. Dems will gain somewhere between 25 and 40 seats.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com...

The GOP has an 80% chance of keeping the majority in the Senate.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com...

And if bookmakers are to be believed, Trump has a 40% chance of not completing his first term.
www.benzinga.com...

originally posted by: JacKatMtn
a reply to: carewemust

Early voting data isn't based on actual VOTES.... it's based on returned ballots...

It's MSM trying to create an atmosphere to KEEP folks who aren't DEM to feel secure...

stifle the VOTE...

More to the point, this is not a Presidential Election and this is not a popular vote contest.

Red States voting Red is not a revelation.

This election is about congressional districts.

These numbers are useless in a mid-term election. At best they might hint at the Senate, but we already knew the Senate was very unlikely to change majorities.

The Democrats haven’t produced a single issue that would appeal to an intelligent, mature, family oriented person

Sadly, there are a lot of gullible, immature voters who have no interest in starting a family, or even working towards any future beyond the barista job they currently have, among those Democrats. You know, the ones up in arms about Saudi Arabia killing a Turkish journalist, all because some idiots TOLD them to care about it...even though closed societies have executed press for decades. Or the idiots who can't see a politically timed hit job on a SCOTUS candidate when it's right in their face. Those kinds of folks.

Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups. However, I'm hopefully optimistic there are enough "grown ups" to make this midterm go the right way....(get it?).

As of right now, Dems have an 85% percent chance of taking the Majority in Congress. Dems will gain somewhere between 25 and 40 seats.

Hasn't 2016 taught folks anything about trusting polls?

Pollster: "Hi, we'd like to ask you how you're voting in the midterm!"
DEM: "Sure, blue all the way, I hate Trump!" - DEM
REP: "Sorry, I've got a job to get to" - UNDECIDED
REP: "Piss off!" - UNDECIDED
REP: (looks at a DEM he's walking with, and just nods his head when they say blue) - DEM (but not)

a reply to: Vector99
Thats Harry Reid's state. It is a looney state to put that idiot in for so long. No surprise here.

a reply to: Gazrok

It goes beyond just looking at polls. If you look at fundraising numbers the Dems are out raising the Republicans almost 2 to 1. There's also the fact that the Dems have had a higher voter enthusiasm in every election since Trump got elected.

Let's also not forget that the party in power almost always does worse in the midterms compared to how they did in the previous election. The only exception to this was in 2002 when the Republicans actually managed to pick up an extra 4.3 points compared to 2000. It should be noted that at the time of the 2002 midterms Bush had a 63% approval rating. Trump is currently sitting at a 43% approval rating.

So if we look at factors beyond just the generic ballot (which has the Dems up by eight points) they all point to the Republicans losing seats in the House. And as we get closer to the election things have been looking worse and worse for the Republicans at least when it comes to the House. Not to mention a number of governor races.

i really don't trust any polls or early counting. I know how corrupt the local area is. nearly 10k voted in a city with only 9k total inhabitants. So some voted twice and all ages voted.

a reply to: Gazrok

Health Care costs.
Pre-existing Conditions protections.
Fiscal responsibility.
Social Security and Medicare.
Economic Opportunity.
Environment.

In the meanwhile the GOPs platform appears to be outright corruption, lies and calling women horseface on twitter when not trying to destroy the things most important to the future of this country.

The GOP have "gullible, immature voters" all locked up.

originally posted by: Gazrok

As of right now, Dems have an 85% percent chance of taking the Majority in Congress. Dems will gain somewhere between 25 and 40 seats.

Hasn't 2016 taught folks anything about trusting polls?

Pollster: "Hi, we'd like to ask you how you're voting in the midterm!"
DEM: "Sure, blue all the way, I hate Trump!" - DEM
REP: "Sorry, I've got a job to get to" - UNDECIDED
REP: "Piss off!" - UNDECIDED
REP: (looks at a DEM he's walking with, and just nods his head when they say blue) - DEM (but not)

Sure. We will figure out if pollsters have adjusted their methods sufficiently in about two weeks.

Nate Silber at 538 specifically was one pollster that did a deep dive into where they failed and why and he believes hius current model takes into account the mistakes of 2016.

Put another way, his current model of Dems having and 85% chance of winning the House takes into account that GOP voters are less transparent about who they actually will vote for. The model has a GOP bias.

Either way, we will see in two weeks.

As far as the OP though, it looks dumb.

TX votes GOP! like it is a newsflash.

It is the congressional districts that matter.

a reply to: Gazrok

Pathetic how partisan everyone is

a reply to: carewemust

Ah, that explains why the left is "managing expectations" of their "blue wave" (AKA squirt gun fizzle)

MAGA/KAG

Keg?

originally posted by: carewemust
October 22, 2018


HISTORICALLY:

Within the NBC report, they attempt to water down the result by saying that Democrats usually don’t turn out as well in votes before election day, and usually do better ‘on’ election day.

This is historically false.

Republicans usually vote much heavier on election day than democrats; and democrats have always relied upon pre-election day voting to carry them.

FULL REPORT HERE: theconservativetreehouse.com...-155729

This is not only good news for the country, but what is expected. Democrats can't possibly be "excited" about the promises coming from their leaders...Cancelling tax-cuts. Opening the borders to people who haven't been vetted. Seeing their Retirement Plans take a nose-dive, etc..

Most normal Americans, both Republicans and Democrats, want to see our country continue to become more prosperous.

It's a good bet that many Democrats in these Early Voting tallies are voting for the Republican candidate. They are wisely choosing what makes sense for their families, and the country as a whole.

-CareWeMust

They also spin a timing to their "results" for suspense to amplify entertainment value and thus viewership, thus ad revenue.

a reply to: soberbacchus

Health Care costs.

Agreed. That is in part (large part) due to insurance corruption, etc. Another big part is the federal government's meddling in private healthcare matters (non medicare). But I don't disagree, H/C is a major issue and the massive costs needs reigned in. I'm looking around 10% where we are right now, so that means major cuts and less specialization - and that is OK.

Pre-existing Conditions protections.

Agree, unconditionally

Fiscal responsibility.

Both parties have failed miserably at that. The only difference is that Trump is at least giving us *some* of our money back through tax cuts, defunding, etc. But this is very important, no question about it. We all need to do better financially. It is too easy for government to spend money, especially money it doesn't have... some have proposed a balanced budget Constitutional amendment to prevent this mess from getting any worse

Social Security and Medicare.

Also agree uncondtitionally

Economic Opportunity.

Trump is going down the right path, creating more opportunities for Americans. But you can always do better, and can always create more jobs (not just any job, but decent paying jobs) and especially craft policies that are job friendly. This includes protections for employees, not just letting the top 0.1% get richer while everyone else gets poorer

Environment.

Yeah I also agree here. Where and how is our agenda any different?

a reply to: JBurns

some have proposed a balanced budget Constitutional amendment to prevent this mess from getting any worse

States do it. I'm not sure why the fed doesn't.

A2D

It's funny that folks think we can use historical trends anymore, in this particular administration and elections, but hey, have at it...

Health Care costs.
Pre-existing Conditions protections.
Fiscal responsibility.
Social Security and Medicare.
Economic Opportunity.
Environment.

The DEM answer to the first is the current (non-working) ObamaCare.
The answer to the second is in direct contrast with the third, as the forecasted cost of socialized medicine was WAY too low.
The third, are you joking? Which DEM candidate is even talking about this point? All those in my state (FL) are talking about raising taxes to pay for programs.
The fourth, only the GOP candidates in my state are talking about not raiding this.
Economic Opportunity? Now I know you are joking. Our DEM candidate for governor wants to raise corporate taxes to drive companies out of the state!
Environment? Our GOP candidates are the ones endorsed by environmental groups, not the DEM ones. (sadly, we did have one good DEM candidate that was, but she lost in the primary).

I don't typically vote DEM or GOP down the board. My favorite pick for gov was actually a Dem, but she lost in the primary. Her opponent (who won for the Dem nod) is a failed mayor of a city with a skyrocketing crime rate. But, he's black, and the Dems are counting on their base. (and those who don't do their homework on Gillum).

a reply to: Gazrok

Sorry to go off topic, but its great hearing from you Gaz

Hope you and the family are hanging in there and staying strong!