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originally posted by: DISRAELI
a reply to: nwtrucker
As a large industrialised nation, modern China wants access to the raw materials of the world and access to the markets of the world. This doesn't necessarily mean control of the seas, but it does mean having enough power on the seas that those access routes can't be blocked. I think most of China's diplomacy and alliance-building on other continents can be explained in those terms.
The British empire of Victorian times was "ruling the waves" for similar reasons. For the future course of relations between the U.S.A. and China, think about what happened to Anglo-German relations when the Kaiser began building a fleet.
originally posted by: Cutepants
Wish I had more time and/or energy to read about this. But it makes me wonder what kind of things China is doing behind the scenes. ...
In little more than a decade, a shadowy arm of the Chinese state has established a foothold in hundreds of university campuses across the world. Confucius Institutes, named after China’s most famous philosopher, claim their mission is to satisfy overseas demand for learning Chinese. Located within host universities, the centres offer language and cultural classes that in many cases earn students credits towards their degrees. But they are directly administered by Beijing and their rapid growth — the programme now has a presence in more than three-quarters of the world’s countries — is raising fears that Beijing is subverting traditional values of academic freedom as part of China’s global soft power push.
originally posted by: DISRAELI
a reply to: nwtrucker
The South China sea is about oil, isn't it? On top of the specific Chinese drive to get China back to where it was before the Victorian westerners started pushing in. Hence re-occupation of Tibet, re-drawing the Himalayan frontier, refusing to let go of Taiwan, and probably expecting to influence Indochina and Korea.
I think Africa is about resources, as it always was. I'm not saying there won't be grabs at power, but I'm offering views about their motivation and the form they are likely to take.
One consideration about the drive west into the Middle East is the potential for cutting across and blocking the traditional Russian drive south, thus protecting China on the western side. This was already happening in Nixon's time, when Russia was friendly with India and China was friendly with Pakistan (Kissinger's secret visits to China went through Pakistan). There was a moment in the Bangladesh crisis when Chinese military support of Pakistan seemed possible. In the long-term, Chinese influence even in Syria might be countering Russian influence rather than American influence.
I still like Nixon's policy- work with China and against Russia.