a reply to:
Sapphire
We in deed can destroy nations. ..... Yet the NOW is quite a long time.
In the 30 year was, the depopulation of Germany was such that it took 300 years to replenish the loss of life. Deprivation, mass slaughter of the
local population, destruction of natural habitats (Romans salting the earth around Carthage), the use of biological weapons (plague), breading out
(prima nocta), our species has used device of every sort to attain the goods and services of people who were less willing to succumb to the demands of
robbers.
Do you not find it ironic that in international law, it is prohibited to wage wars to gain land and resources, yet, whether or not the international
community agrees, it is done on a large scale.
Even worse, we have the potential to eradicate all nations with one command.
However, that one command also entails the destruction of self. Which is against self interest. So at most we are talking about a large scale
conventional war with potential use of tactical low yield nuclear devices.(bunker busting)
1. Can it happen? Yes, it can.
2. Is it likely? Yes, I do think so. If the history of the last 50 years has shown anything, it will be a geographically local thing, despite many
countries being embroiled in it.
3. Where? As far from the major players as possible, by preference through proxies. That leaves just a few geographical locations:
A. ME, obviously, but not widespread, otherwise the world economy is in danger.
B. Africa, obviously.
C. Limited engagements within the borders of a country (Afghanistan for example)
With this in mind, I can postulate that overall, big money is interested in war as it means business, but large scale deployments, total war, world
war, is bad for business. Show of force, sable rattling is good for business, though.
The big question then is: how will asymmetrical warfare play into all of this? It is a matter of time and place,and I am still thinking about this
one.
This all being sad: it is also quite clear that we have arrived in at a stage were WAR is declared on many people:
- Freedom fighters
- Terrorists
- Drug users
- Drug pushers
- Plant growers
- Holistic medicine
- Free speech
- Free thought
- freedom of movement
- Freedom of enterprise
Need I go on?