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The machine apparently sensed the September 11 attacks on the World Trade Centre four hours before they happened - but in the fevered mood of conspiracy theories of the time, the claims were swiftly knocked back by sceptics. But last December, it also appeared to forewarn of the Asian tsunami just before the deep sea earthquake that precipitated the epic tragedy.
'It's Earth-shattering stuff,' says Dr Roger Nelson, emeritus researcher at Princeton University in the United States, who is heading the research project behind the 'black box' phenomenon.
Originally posted by Greyhaven7
wait wait wait. How do they know it's predicting something if it's only spitting out numbers? Did the numbers become not-so-random? How would you know anything other than the ordinary was going on using a method like this?
OH MY GOD, IT JUST SPIT OUT 343948579345.32994357..... THE WORLD IS OVER!!!!!
see what I mean?
One of these new technologies was a humble-looking black box known was a Random Event Generator (REG). This used computer technology to generate two numbers - a one and a zero - in a totally random sequence, rather like an electronic coin-flipper.
The pattern of ones and noughts - 'heads' and 'tails' as it were - could then be printed out as a graph. The laws of chance dictate that the generators should churn out equal numbers of ones and zeros - which would be represented by a nearly flat line on the graph. Any deviation from this equal number shows up as a gently rising curve.
Cynics will quite rightly point out that there is always some global event that could be used to 'explain' the times when the Egg machines behaved erratically. After all, our world is full of wars, disasters and terrorist outrages, as well as the occasional global celebration. Are the scientists simply trying too hard to detect patterns in their raw data?
The team behind the project insist not. They claim that by using rigorous scientific techniques and powerful mathematics it is possible to exclude any such random connections.
So, there's no way to tell WHAT will happen? Does it just indicate "something" is going to happen?
Originally posted by paperclip
Before major events there is a significant increase in one of those two numbers, something is influencing the randomness.
Originally posted by Greyhaven7
wait wait wait. How do they know it's predicting something if it's only spitting out numbers? Did the numbers become not-so-random? How would you know anything other than the ordinary was going on using a method like this?
OH MY GOD, IT JUST SPIT OUT 343948579345.32994357..... THE WORLD IS OVER!!!!!
see what I mean?
Originally posted by Lucid Lunacy
What were the rigorous scientific techniques? What were the powerful mathematics?
The article doesn't explain at all why they felt the little black box was time travelling and recording these major events; except hinting there was fluctuations that suggested in wasn't random anymore.
Originally posted by LuDaCrIs
ALso, generating a series of random numbers in a computer program is actually not random at all. Its impossible to create a
"random" number generator through a computer program.
Originally posted by Jemison
The thing that has me baffled is that 9/11 was a man-made disaster. The earthquake/tsunami was a natural disaster. How this machine was able to 'predict' both of those events is interesting. If it was two seperate things, one predicting negative energy forces of man and one predicting negative natural forces, it would make more sense to me.
It is possible - in theory - that time may not just move forwards but backwards, too. And if time ebbs and flows like the tides in the sea, it might just be possible to foretell major world events. We would, in effect, be 'remembering' things that had taken place in our future.
I think you are viewing it in a metaphysical concept (understandable considering the nature of the findings) but I think it speaks more to our increasing realization that time is not a linear phenomenon.