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originally posted by: AtypicalJ
North Korea's ultimate goal is a unified Korean Peninsula under Kim control
They will continue with bigger badder provocations, but will get to a point where they are ready to negotiate. They know the US is bluffing with military threats. They believe the nukes will give them great bargaining power. They will agree to dismantle their nuclear missile program, in exchange for a peace treaty with USA and South Korea and demand the US remove their military presence from the south. Both sides will sign non-aggression treaties. The north will probably hide some nukes before the UN inspectors come to monitor the nuke removal. Things will calm down for a few years. When the north sees the chance, they will quickly invade and quickly take Seoul and the south's military installations, hold the south hostage until they completely take it over. Nothing can be done to stop them at this point. China may protest publicly, but in reality be very pleased. They may even be planning this with the north.
But will the US agree to pull out of South Korea?
originally posted by: VictorVonDoom
originally posted by: Wardaddy454
I don't know why, they aren't talking about using them.
Well, I can't find anything where Korea attacked another country. So far, they only talk about retaliating if they are attacked.
On the other hand, Israel has attacked Egypt, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq. They have all but admitted to assassinating Iranian scientists. They have also committed terrorist attacks against US citizens, as well as attacking a US Naval ship in international waters.
If North Korea had done any of those things, we'd have boots on the ground faster than you could say "regime change."
originally posted by: Wardaddy454
Really? You don't remember the North Korean artillery strike of Seoul in 2010?
One quick google search.
Israel apologized for attacking the ship, mistaking it for an Egyptian ship. They also paid 12.89 million + 13 years interest to the families of the dead and to the wounded in the attack.
The 6-day war: The attack on 5 June follows a build-up of Arab military forces along the Israeli border.
The Arab states had been preparing to go to war against Israel with Egypt, Jordan, and Syria being aided by Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Sudan and Algeria.
On 27 May the President of Egypt, Abdel Nasser, declared: "Our basic objective will be the destruction of Israel. The Arab people want to fight."
Add some context next time, Doom.
originally posted by: merka
originally posted by: AtypicalJ
Hahaha... I very much doubt all that. NK does *not* see the world as the rest of us do. They believe the propaganda. They believe they can win against the US, because that's what their leader tell them. This is Hitler all over again, except now he's got nukes. Things wont calm down because he has a plan and his people has been drilled for this over 50 years. If you let him continue his plan, there will be war. If you want to stop his plan, there will be war.
My opinion has always been more aligned with the Chinese - Trump could have graciously not been part in the joint training and thrown them a bone first, as the greater nation. But I'm not so delusional I think it would have done diddly squat against what is obviously a complete maniac that listens to nobody. But at least they would have held the moral high ground until the end.
It won't be the first time that a near-panicked Japan has came close to the edge when it comes to North Korea, and in preparation for an "emergency" was planning to evacuate its citizens located in South Korea. The last such notable spike in escalations took place in April, when as the Yomiuri Shimbun reported at the time, the Japanese government had asked the U.S. to provide advance consultation if it is about to launch military action against North Korea, and "ramped up preparations for emergency situations", including the potential evacuation of some 57,000 Japanese citizens currently in South Korea.
Fast forward to today, when moments ago Japan's Nikkei reported that as tensions on the Korean Peninsula reach new heights following Pyongyang's first (allegedly) hydrogen bomb test, Japan is planning a possible mass evacuation of the nearly 60,000 Japanese citizens currently living in or visiting South Korea.
"There is a possibility of further provocations," Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said at a Monday meeting with ruling coalition lawmakers. "We need to remain extremely vigilant and do everything we can to ensure the safety of our people."
In response to North Korea's sixth nuclear test, Japan and the U.S. are seeking a peaceful resolution by ratcheting up economic pressure on the rogue state through an oil embargo and other measures, while South Korea's president has also called for a currency/FX blockade of the Kim regime. And yet, what has spooked Tokyo is that on Sunday, Defense Secretary James Mattis also said any threat to the U.S. or its allies "will be met with a massive military response - a response both effective and overwhelming." Which means thousands of Japanese may soon be in harm's way.
originally posted by: AtypicalJ
a reply to: Aazadan
With any deal Kim makes to give up nukes, he would have to allow UN inspectors in to verify he is being honest. He probably already has some hidden where they won't be found in case of this scenario. No, NK cannot be trusted and never have are will
originally posted by: carewemust
originally posted by: AtypicalJ
a reply to: Aazadan
With any deal Kim makes to give up nukes, he would have to allow UN inspectors in to verify he is being honest. He probably already has some hidden where they won't be found in case of this scenario. No, NK cannot be trusted and never have are will
"Giving up" his nukes is not Kim Jong's end game. He wants to be a member of the elite nuclear club of nations.
originally posted by: AtypicalJ
originally posted by: carewemust
originally posted by: AtypicalJ
a reply to: Aazadan
With any deal Kim makes to give up nukes, he would have to allow UN inspectors in to verify he is being honest. He probably already has some hidden where they won't be found in case of this scenario. No, NK cannot be trusted and never have are will
"Giving up" his nukes is not Kim Jong's end game. He wants to be a member of the elite nuclear club of nations.
He is pretty much in that club now, but what is that going to get him? I dont think it will get sanctions removed or make many friends. Though I may be wrong. I think he will pretend to destroy his nukes for something in return.
originally posted by: VictorVonDoom
originally posted by: Wardaddy454
Really? You don't remember the North Korean artillery strike of Seoul in 2010?
One quick google search.
Israel apologized for attacking the ship, mistaking it for an Egyptian ship. They also paid 12.89 million + 13 years interest to the families of the dead and to the wounded in the attack.
The 6-day war: The attack on 5 June follows a build-up of Arab military forces along the Israeli border.
The Arab states had been preparing to go to war against Israel with Egypt, Jordan, and Syria being aided by Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Sudan and Algeria.
On 27 May the President of Egypt, Abdel Nasser, declared: "Our basic objective will be the destruction of Israel. The Arab people want to fight."
Add some context next time, Doom.
So far as the Six Day War, the simple fact is Israel attacked first. Of course they say they were about to be attacked. It seems every time a superior military power wants to justify an attack against a weaker one they claim they were about to be attacked. We've seen enough of that in the past couple of decades, and we're seeing it again today.
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My biggest problem with Israel is the attack on the USS Liberty. They can say it was an accident. They can pay money that they get from US foreign aid. But I'm a former sailor in the US Navy, and I can tell you their explanations and apologies are pure BS. Every US Navy ship has a big US flag flying on the fantail whenever they are at sea. You can't miss it. The attacking planes were jamming US frequencies, and the first things they shot up were the communications antennas. The pilots told their commanders that it was an American ship, and they were ordered to continue the attack.
For well over two hours the Liberty was attacked by jets and torpedoes. Why would Israel devote that much firepower into sinking what it supposedly thought was a horse transport? The pilots and crews of the torpedo boats were given medals for their participation in the attack. Except for one pilot who broke off the attack because he recognized it as a US ship. He was court-martialed for not following orders. What kind of military hands out medals for attacking an ally by accident?
But what really boils my blood about the Liberty attack is where the Israelis were shooting at men trying to get into life rafts. War or no, it takes a special kind of scum to shoot at pilots bailing out of planes or men in life rafts. That's not warfare, that's just plain cold-blooded murder. But Israel wanted no witnesses. It's pretty clear to me that the whole event was a designed to be a false flag attack to draw the US into the Six Day War.
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In any case, as much as I dislike Israel, even I wouldn't want to see them as victims of a US invasion. Because we all know what that means. The US media would spend weeks or months telling us how mighty and dangerous the Israeli military is. Then would come sanctions, maybe a no-fly zone thrown in. Eventually, the military would move in. The Israeli Air Force would be demolished in a week. The Israeli army would be decimated in a month. Then the US would spend at least a decade killing a million-plus civilians.
That's the way it went in Afghanistan. That's the way it went in Iraq. And that's what we have in store for North Korea. And I don't understand why so many people hate North Koreans so much that they want to see over a million civilians butchered. For the most part, these are just normal people like everyone else. They are just trying to feed, clothe, and house their families. They don't want to go to war with anyone. They don't want to hurt anyone. They just want to live out their lives in peace and as much prosperity as they can manage.
But the cry comes out from America: KILL THOSE PEOPLE KILL THOSE PEOPLE KILL THOSE PEOPLE
I just don't understand the level of hatred someone must feel in their heart to want to see over a million people they don't even know killed, and millions more lives destroyed.
originally posted by: intrptr
a reply to: Xcathdra
Looks like a magnitude 6.3 was recorded by USGS and S. Korea detected a 5.6 magnitude. S. Korea, originating in N. Korea. So N. Korea appears to have conducted a new nuclear test in violation of UN resolutions.
How we get from earthquake to conducting H bomb test, without any other than a USGS earthquake report, is part of the problem.
I say they faked a test after 'propaganda' showing Kim inspecting metal thingy. Prove me wrong.
Unless you can show the results of testing the atmosphere for radiation that reveals a nuclear test (isotopes escape from underground no matter how deep the test), then you're just escalating tensions. Capture of any radioactive particles is done by the aircraft in the Constant Phoenix program.
originally posted by: intrptr
originally posted by: Xcathdra
a reply to: intrptr
Edit: Heres a thread on a quake here in the US. Lets see how quick people are to declare its nuclear testing... not.
www.abovetopsecret.com...
No, that is most likily connented to the increase of activitie in Yellow stone park.