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originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: InTheLight
Let's try a test. I did a tarot reading to see who has the best chance of becoming or staying President of the U.S. For Trump the 7 of cups emerged, for Biden the 6 of cups emerged, and for Sanders the Chariot emerged. One might think that Sanders would be the one to win, but the Chariot comes with the impetus that he must work very hard and not give up. Is Sanders up to it? This reading is for the present state of affairs so I may do another tarot card pick closer to the actual voting time.
Yeah, Biden doesn't look like a contender with the six of cups. His heart really isn't in it, and a woman in his life (wife, possibly) might be an important factor. The seven of the Chariot versus seven of cups, huh? The Sanders campaign being driven by minorities and women, but then Trump with all of the illusion and fantasy. At this point, looks like Trump has it.
But the wind can change with these larger issues. I've always felt that because consciousness is involved, a Tarot reading has a bigger impact on individuals than global events.
originally posted by: InTheLight
For sure, it is still early days and early to tell whether you guys are headed into another recession.
originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: InTheLight
For sure, it is still early days and early to tell whether you guys are headed into another recession.
Well, I just drew a Five of Cups online. So that doesn't look good for Trump. Still, people will cling to fantasy during hardship, so...
As for myself, though, finishing out a 3-Card draw with an Ace of Cups and a Sun, looks like after the turmoil, good days ahead for me.
originally posted by: InTheLight
I forgot to mention that I drew a 2 of cups for Warren. I mean why did I even bother because a female President, c'mon what was I thinking?
originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: InTheLight
I forgot to mention that I drew a 2 of cups for Warren. I mean why did I even bother because a female President, c'mon what was I thinking?
A properly qualified and non-vilified woman could become President. It's not impossible. But probably not this time. But it looks like she might have some romance in her life!
originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: Nemox42
Also if you kept up with the Randi challenge. IT'S HELD IN VEGAS. So why don't you take your psychic abilities and clean the damn casinos? psychics at least the famous ones ARE FRAUDS. The lesser known ones who don't TAKE MONEY for psychic readings, I tend to say maybe they are maybe not. And yes DENY ALL IGNORANCE.
Of course it's held in Las Vegas. Which is what I'm saying about it being all showbiz. Nobody wants to take a look at the real work. It's a lot easier to play the superior skeptic rather than try to see what's actually going on, or at least look at it from an unbiased perspective.
Are there rip-offs? It's mostly harmless entertainment. People lose a lot more money in casinos, with real estate scams, or just ordinary medical billing than from psychics. Why so vehement? Are you disappointed that flashy displays of clairvoyance don't really happen. That doesn't mean there isn't something worth investigating here. You say "deny all ignorance," but don't forget the ignorance of blind adherence to what you perceive as authority.
Contemplate this, and see what you come up with. But also be aware of your surroundings in the next couple of days, because this will show up again:
originally posted by: Nemox42
Blueshift, you aren't psychic. You wish you were. You're like cartman in south park. You want to be the center of attention all the time so you make of crap like psychics and tarot cards being "real" divination tools. You wanna tell me that the ouji board is a divination tool too? That the parker bros company who also makes monopoly and mouse trap is the devil's company? You might think I'm a fool. But you Blueshift is a brain-washed tool. I win.
I would have little confidence in that approach. If the person doing the reading is at all proficient in the Barnum method, putting the reading in a safe for a year is not going to do that much to eliminate the self-validation fallacy.
originally posted by: TzarChasm
Do a tarot reading for someone, but write the results down instead of telling them upfront. Ask them to write down their thoughts and concerns as well. Be as detailed as possible. Put both documents in a safe place for a year, then give them to the subject. Let them decide what it's worth.
The Barnum effect is named after P.T. Barnum, the showman who declared "there¹s a sucker born every minute." He found many ways to separate "suckers", as he called gullible people, from their money.
The Barnum effect in psychology refers to the gullibility of people when reading descriptions of themselves. By personality, we mean the ways in which people are different and unique. However, it is possible to give everyone the same description and people nevertheless rate the description as very very accurate.
...
"The moral of the Barnum Demonstration", Birnbaum has said, is that "self-validation is no validation. Do not be fooled by a psychic, quack psychotherapist, or a phony faith healer who uses this trick on you! Be skeptical and ask for proof. Keep your money in your wallet, your wallet in your pocket, and your hand on your wallet."
hucksters are more likely to be successful if they exude an air of confidence ("If you look and act as if you believe in what you are doing, you will be able to sell even a bad reading to most of your subjects"), if they "[m]ake creative use of the latest statistical abstracts, polls, and surveys" showing "what various subclasses of our society believe, do, want, worry about, and so on", if they employ "a gimmick, such as a crystal ball, tarot cards, or palm reading", if they are alert to the clues provided about their clients by such details as their "clothing, jewelry, mannerisms and speech", if they are not afraid of "hamming it up", and if they use flattery.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
I would have little confidence in that approach. If the person doing the reading is at all proficient in the Barnum method, putting the reading in a safe for a year is not going to do that much to eliminate the self-validation fallacy.
originally posted by: TzarChasm
Do a tarot reading for someone, but write the results down instead of telling them upfront. Ask them to write down their thoughts and concerns as well. Be as detailed as possible. Put both documents in a safe place for a year, then give them to the subject. Let them decide what it's worth.
The Barnum Efect
The Barnum effect is named after P.T. Barnum, the showman who declared "there¹s a sucker born every minute." He found many ways to separate "suckers", as he called gullible people, from their money.
The Barnum effect in psychology refers to the gullibility of people when reading descriptions of themselves. By personality, we mean the ways in which people are different and unique. However, it is possible to give everyone the same description and people nevertheless rate the description as very very accurate.
...
"The moral of the Barnum Demonstration", Birnbaum has said, is that "self-validation is no validation. Do not be fooled by a psychic, quack psychotherapist, or a phony faith healer who uses this trick on you! Be skeptical and ask for proof. Keep your money in your wallet, your wallet in your pocket, and your hand on your wallet."
I would instead suggest researching this Barnum method and related research to understand the ways we can be fooled. It's not so much an individual failing, as a general human tendency for a lot of people to be fooled by these types of things, and not realize they are being fooled. Maybe some people are happy with being fooled and not realizing they've been fooled because they don't understand this research but instead rely on flawed methods such as what you suggest, but I'd rather know the truth.
Ray Hyman said Tarot cards are just a gimmick to help people fall for it:
hucksters are more likely to be successful if they exude an air of confidence ("If you look and act as if you believe in what you are doing, you will be able to sell even a bad reading to most of your subjects"), if they "[m]ake creative use of the latest statistical abstracts, polls, and surveys" showing "what various subclasses of our society believe, do, want, worry about, and so on", if they employ "a gimmick, such as a crystal ball, tarot cards, or palm reading", if they are alert to the clues provided about their clients by such details as their "clothing, jewelry, mannerisms and speech", if they are not afraid of "hamming it up", and if they use flattery.
So, just use all the Barnum techniques Hyman and others noted when you give the Tarot reading, and the mark should have a tendency to fall for it whether they hear the reading now, or a year later.
originally posted by: SirEndalot
a reply to: Blue Shift
But the hilarious thing to me is the juxtaposition that there are psychics AND that your end state will be more satisfying to me personally if you remain unaware of such things.