posted on Jun, 14 2017 @ 07:26 AM
Update: As I confidentially predicted a day or so ago the aircraft was moved today from open air parking to one of our hangars pending further
investigation and inspection by the ATSB and in preparation for an engine change. I got an opportunity to take a close look at the damage and took
quite a few pictures which I will upload here tomorrow night. What I can tell you is that up close the damage is even more catastrophic to the cowl
than the media images reveal. Fully half the inner cowling and liner are completely gone and nearly two thirds of the outer cowl has vanished with the
damage extending and probably only stopped from the NAI lower outlet at approx 4-5 O'clock and around and up to the 12 O'clock position. There is
secondary damage to NAI/TAI duct supports and I counted at least 10 fan blades with moderate damage, fortunately all in the outer third or so of the
blade where damage tolerances are more generous. It would appear that the failure started either at the 12 O'clock position or on the I/B side of the
cowl and spread. There is collapsing and compressing of the core honeycomb at 12 O'clock and an internal duct for the anti ice is visible as well as
the inlet pressure sense pick up line There appeared to be no missing or obviously damaged annulus fillers (the fairings between each blade root on
the hub). There appears to be little if any damage to the forward and aft titanium bulkheads of the cowl, nor could I see anything obvious in the cold
stream, to the A frames or LP turbine and exhaust. There was some very very minor damage to one trailing edge flap lower surface. What I can say is
that they were incredibly lucky that the NAI outlet stopped the damage. If it had peeled/collapsed in the opposite direction the entire cowl structure
would have failed and torn off, most likely striking the wing leading edge and pylon area. The resulting damage could have been extensive. A colleague
remarked that the very similar set up on other Trent engines has in the past revealed damage to internal baffle plates on the upper NAI outlet so if
the baffles did separate and block the outlet its possible that an overpressure could occur and lead to a blow out, slipstream would do the rest. I'll
upload the pics tomorrow when I have more time.