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originally posted by: Greggers
PhotonEffect: First of all, you're being far too literal here.
originally posted by: Greggers
Are you suggesting the mutational hotspots are not based on "genetic propensity?"
originally posted by: Greggers
A perfect adaptation such as this where an animal is able to accurately replicate its environment is very unlikely to have occurred as the result of a single mutation. Sure, it's possible. That would be pretty damned incredible though.
originally posted by: Greggers
Are you suggesting that this particular species developed via some manner other than speciation via natural selection?
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
It doesn't seem like a stretch to say this is how natural selection works and we have plenty of evidence that's how it works in other species so it seems likely the same thing happened here.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
But if you are a little less pedantic you can acknowledge that if you've seen natural selection in thousands of other species, it wouldn't be a shocker to suspect it was also at work in a species you just discovered.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
originally posted by: Greggers
PhotonEffect: First of all, you're being far too literal here.
Really? Was it the bit about it taking millions of years and many incremental accidental mutations to get to a leaf like phenotype?
originally posted by: Greggers
These hotspots show higher "propensities" for the same types of mutations
originally posted by: Greggers
I'm sorry but this is very unlikely to occur "why"?
originally posted by: imjack
Beneficial genetic mutations do not have to take millions of years.
The point of the Darwin theory is that specific species become the predominant species through natural selection etc etc.
Maybe but very unlikely, and there's nothing in that link to suggest that a spider that doesn't look like a leaf will suddenly have one large complex mutation to look like a leaf.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
Have you ever heard of a mutational hotspot ?
...
Maybe it was just one mutation of large effect.
It seems very unlikely that a complex mutation will happen, and in fact it was Darwin who correctly pointed out the absurdity of something as complex as an eye appearing as a random mutation. Creationists have latched on to his observation while ignoring the rest of Darwin's explanation on how more complex structures like eyes can evolve as a series of much smaller changes, and where we have good fossil records we can see evidence of these smaller changes over time.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
a reply to: Greggers
I'm sorry but why is this "very unlikely" to occur?
Do you understand why the appearance of a complex eye from a single mutation would be absurd? If so then a single mutation for a creature to suddenly appear like a leaf when it looked nothing like a leaf before seems almost as absurd, using the same rationale. If you don't understand why those seem absurd, then I don't think you understand how many genes would need to simultaneously mutate in such a serendipitous fashion. The odds of that may not be zero but they are close to zero due to the complexity of the changes and the number of genes involved.
Claim CB301:
The eye is too complex to have evolved.
This is the quintessential example of the argument from incredulity. The source making the claim usually quotes Darwin saying that the evolution of the eye seems "absurd in the highest degree". However, Darwin follows that statement with a three-and-a-half-page proposal of intermediate stages through which eyes might have evolved via gradual steps (Darwin 1872).
There is plenty of evidence in the fossil record that's not a simulation, and even examples of rapid evolution observed in modern times, cited in the link.
This "plenty of evidence" you speak of exists mostly in the lab using the same computer models and the same model species. Far less research in nature though, where the dynamics are much different.
I haven't tried to count but it's many. My guess is it's in the thousands.
Have we really observed it "in action in thousands of species, or perhaps thousands of times in the same few model species and simulations?
originally posted by: Greggers
Again, keep in mind, the purpose of my statement was to counteract the notion that there is something supernatural or unexplainable about adaptations such as these.
originally posted by: Greggers
Exactly. Just to be clear, there is NO SUCH THING AS PURE RANDOMNESS in classical physics, nor in biology. Genetic propensity is simply a way of saying that the unknown factors that influence how the dice roll are based upon the creatures existing biological composition.
originally posted by: Greggers
Because it has all the appearances of a fairly complex mimicry. Again, there does exist a scenario, no matter how unlikely, wherein the "stemlike tail," the bloated non-segmented body, and the tendency to hang from branches all developed at once, but if you think it's more likely than multiple successive generations and standard honing via natural selection, when all we know about this particular specimen is how it looks in photographs, you and I will forever be on different pages.
Analysis and understanding of a given mimicry system require a rather comprehensive knowledge of morphology, behaviour, ecology, and mutual relationships of animals usually in different classes—for example, wasps (Hymenoptera), flies (Diptera), insect-eating amphibians, reptiles, birds, and small mammals. Tracing the evolution of such a complicated system requires a detailed acquaintance with a large group of forms related to each of the animals involved. Such data, in fact, are seldom available.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
Maybe but very unlikely, and there's nothing in that link to suggest that a spider that doesn't look like a leaf will suddenly have one large complex mutation to look like a leaf.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
There is plenty of evidence in the fossil record that's not a simulation, and even examples of rapid evolution observed in modern times, cited in the link.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
It seems very unlikely that a complex mutation will happen, and in fact it was Darwin who correctly pointed out the absurdity of something as complex as an eye appearing as a random mutation. Creationists have latched on to his observation while ignoring the rest of Darwin's explanation on how more complex structures like eyes can evolve as a series of much smaller changes, and where we have good fossil records we can see evidence of these smaller changes over time.
www.talkorigins.org...
Do you understand why the appearance of a complex eye from a single mutation would be absurd? If so then a single mutation for a creature to suddenly appear like a leaf when it looked nothing like a leaf before seems almost as absurd, using the same rationale. If you don't understand why those seem absurd, then I don't think you understand how many genes would need to simultaneously mutate in such a serendipitous fashion. The odds of that may not be zero but they are close to zero due to the complexity of the changes and the number of genes involved.
Claim CB301:
The eye is too complex to have evolved.
This is the quintessential example of the argument from incredulity. The source making the claim usually quotes Darwin saying that the evolution of the eye seems "absurd in the highest degree". However, Darwin follows that statement with a three-and-a-half-page proposal of intermediate stages through which eyes might have evolved via gradual steps (Darwin 1872).
A more plausible alternative to slow and gradual evolution of a complex change is rapid evolution, which isn't as common as gradual evolution but sometimes it happens:
evolution.berkeley.edu...
In that scenario there are still lots of small changes instead of one highly complex mutation, but the small changes happen so rapidly in geological terms that it's like the "blink of a geological eye" as this Berkeley source puts it.
originally posted by: Greggers
Natural selection refers to the fact that creatures which are better suited to their environment will experience enhanced survival and will pass their genes on more often. In this sense, the natural environment "selects" which traits enhance survival and which do not.
Thanks for the kind words but you completely missed the point of my post, because I wasn't trying to spin it into a creationist debate. Instead I was trying to explain how even in the debate about creationism, there was no debate on either side about the human eye being too complex to evolve in a single mutation.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
So it's unfortunate that you took my quotes out of context, then tried to spin this into a creationist debate in a science forum citing sources only ever used in creationist debates which haven't been updated in 10 years.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
originally posted by: Greggers
Natural selection refers to the fact that creatures which are better suited to their environment will experience enhanced survival and will pass their genes on more often. In this sense, the natural environment "selects" which traits enhance survival and which do not.
There is no definitive "will" in the definition of natural selection. That's a misconception
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
Thanks for the kind words but you completely missed the point of my post, because I wasn't trying to spin it into a creationist debate. Instead I was trying to explain how even in the debate about creationism, there was no debate on either side about the human eye being too complex to evolve in a single mutation.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
So it's unfortunate that you took my quotes out of context, then tried to spin this into a creationist debate in a science forum citing sources only ever used in creationist debates which haven't been updated in 10 years.
Darwin said it was too complex for that, modern evolutionary biologists agree, and even the creationists agree on that point, I thought everybody would agree, even you! So while there were some deeper debates that people didn't agree on, I wasn't referring to any of those. I picked a point that nobody argued with on any side of the debate that I'm aware of and I thought you would agree with it too but I still don't know if you do or not.
So maybe this the change from a normal spider form isn't quite as complex as the human eye occurring in a single mutation, but it still seems quite complex to me. To say it might happen in a single mutation seems like an extraordinary claim and you haven't provided any extraordinary evidence to back it up, rather the evidence you've provided doesn't seem to support that claim to the extent you seem to think it does.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
.. I wasn't trying to spin it into a creationist debate. Instead I was trying to explain how even in the debate about creationism, there was no debate on either side about the human eye being too complex to evolve in a single mutation.
Darwin said it was too complex for that, modern evolutionary biologists agree, and even the creationists agree on that point, I thought everybody would agree, even you!
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
So maybe this the change from a normal spider form isn't quite as complex as the human eye occurring in a single mutation, but it still seems quite complex to me. To say it might happen in a single mutation seems like an extraordinary claim and you haven't provided any extraordinary evidence to back it up, rather the evidence you've provided doesn't seem to support that claim to the extent you seem to think it does.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
So my point had nothing to do with creation science and everything to do with the fact that everybody on every side of the debate accepted that extremely complex mutations don't happen all at once.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
A much simpler mimicry mutation involving patterns of pigment distribution could occur in a single step, maybe something like this:
Eye knew it! Markings on butterflies really DO mimic a predator's gaze
Even in that case I would expect multiple mutations of refinement but a single mutation is at least plausible. However the mutation to make a spider look like a leaf is far more complex and thus far less plausible for the entire change to have happened in a single mutation.
originally posted by: Greggers
It may be a misconception, but not by me. Of course natural selection has no will. The word "selects" tends to make people think there must be a will involved, but selection has nothing to do with will.
Since the process has been called "Natural Selection" for a very long time, one would think people would be accustomed to this by now.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
originally posted by: Greggers
It may be a misconception, but not by me. Of course natural selection has no will. The word "selects" tends to make people think there must be a will involved, but selection has nothing to do with will.
Since the process has been called "Natural Selection" for a very long time, one would think people would be accustomed to this by now.
I was referring to your usage of the word will in your claim about natural selection.
originally posted by: PhotonEffect
aybe to you it sounds extraordinary, but the manner by which crypsis/mimicry evolves has been debated about for well over 100 years (see Punnett, Fisher, Goldschmidt for starters). Mostly re: whether or not it happens in big leaps vs. small incremental steps. A good summary here.
originally posted by: Greggers
You mean there are actual scientists who for well over one hundred years have postulated that this happens in small incremental steps? Huh.... It sounds to me like what I said in my original post did in fact bear some resemblance to science. Imagine that!
I'll see you in three weeks when you get around to reading this.