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7. So close that third-party candidates could have affected outcome.
This year’s third-party candidates, notably Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein, clearly took votes away from both candidates.
[numbers and argument for this point follow] Stein, who was a protest vote for many of Bernie Sanders' supporters, could have stopped Clinton from winning in Michigan and Wisconsin, and possibly Pennsylvania. In Michigan, where Trump’s lead on Thursday was 11,800 votes, Stein had 50,700 votes. In Wisconsin, where Trump leads by 27,200 votes, Stein had 31,000 votes. But it gets more complicated after that, because there might be some Johnson supporters who would have voted for Clinton if he weren't a different kind of protest vote. In Florida, where Trump leads by 119,700 votes, Johnson received 206,000 votes and Stein 64,000 votes. In Pennsylvania, where Trump leads by 68,230 votes, Stein had 49,000 votes. Stein supporters argued on a Reddit forum that Stein didn't keep Clinton from the presidency, saying, “She still loses… See that red Pennsylvania in there?”
[conclusion:]But that's not entirely persuasive, because these battleground states ended up with razor-thin margins. Third-party candidates may very well have affected the results.
8. There’s no guarantee Bernie would have won.
It’s not clear that Sanders would have done better than Clinton if he were the nominee. As a region-by-region analysis pointed out, Bernie would likely have won in the upper Midwest. But then a Sanders surge slows down. He likely would have won the battleground states Clinton won, such as New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. But he would have done no better than Clinton in the South, where she gambled on Florida and North Carolina and lost both. And then there’s Virginia. “Even if Bernie won MI, PA, and WI without losing any other states, he does not win the presidency unless he also wins Virginia,” one analyst wrote. “So, what do you think? Does Bernie win Virginia?”
originally posted by: BuzzyWigs
This just across my desk:
The THIRD PARTY VOTERS
“Well, it is what it is. People go into this eyes wide open,” the MSNBC host said during the network’s coverage on election night.“If you vote for somebody who can’t win for president, it means that you don’t care who wins for president.” www.justjared.com...
"BACK OFF BUDDY there are 300 million of us with guns and we're all kinda stressed right now"
originally posted by: Annee
originally posted by: BuzzyWigs
This just across my desk:
The THIRD PARTY VOTERS
Rachel Maddow
Rachel Maddow Has a Message for Third Party Voters
“Well, it is what it is. People go into this eyes wide open,” the MSNBC host said during the network’s coverage on election night.“If you vote for somebody who can’t win for president, it means that you don’t care who wins for president.” www.justjared.com...
originally posted by: BuzzyWigs
My own mother, who was a Bernie fan, and pays very close to attention to this stuff in her mid 70s, has been beside herself with worry and exhausting fear. Even she, in the end, decided she couldn't stomach either of them, and wrote in a legitimate candidate.
I'm not close to these riots (rumor has it there was a protest downtown today), but you have to understand the mentality of the human species.
originally posted by: TheRedneck
a reply to: Annee
I believe it will start in the cities, near the suburbs on the edges. It will engulf the larger cities and nearby suburbs first. Law enforcement will be overrun. At that point only actual Martial Law will be able to stop it. If it doesn't, it will begin to spread as groups united in their violence begin to search for supplies.
Most cities only have supplies for 3-5 days.
Closer suburbs and smaller cities will go next, some from inner struggle that was delayed, and some by conquest from larger cities. Then the outer suburbs will fall. Finally, after a few weeks at most, The violence will reach the countryside. At that point, the real slaughter will begin.
TheRedneck
originally posted by: TheRedneck
a reply to: Annee
I believe it will start in the cities, near the suburbs on the edges. It will engulf the larger cities and nearby suburbs first. Law enforcement will be overrun. At that point only actual Martial Law will be able to stop it. If it doesn't, it will begin to spread as groups united in their violence begin to search for supplies.
Most cities only have supplies for 3-5 days.
Closer suburbs and smaller cities will go next, some from inner struggle that was delayed, and some by conquest from larger cities. Then the outer suburbs will fall. Finally, after a few weeks at most, The violence will reach the countryside. At that point, the real slaughter will begin.
TheRedneck
There are essentially two types of individuals when it comes to violence. There are those who will erupt at the least incentive and throw a tantrum, but who really aren't able to do widespread physical damage. Then there are those who are slow to anger, but once angered can do widespread damage. If the first group continues their rioting enough to set off the second group... none of us are safe. There will be nowhere to hide.