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Since the fall of 2015, the president’s favorability rating and job approval have increased by three and five percentage points, respectively, in polling averages. A majority of Americans consistently rate Obama favorably for the first time since his second term began.
The president joked about his growing popularity a few months ago at the White House correspondents’ dinner, saying: “Even my aides can’t explain the rising poll numbers — what has changed, nobody can figure it out.” An image of Ted Cruz and Donald Trump then appeared on the projection screen beside the president. The obvious implication of the joke was that the president’s unpopular opponents — Trump and Cruz — were making him look good in comparison.
But Trump and Cruz aren’t the only ones who might be making Barack Obama look good. The president’s Democratic successor, Hillary Clinton, is also very unpopular. So much so, in fact, that she would be the least popular major party nominee in modern times if it weren’t for Donald Trump’s record-high negatives.
Clinton and Trump’s flawed candidacies are even making some nostalgic for Obama’s presidency while he’s still in office. David Brooks, for example, wrote a piece during the primaries entitled “I Miss Barack Obama,” in which he compared the president most favorably with the presumptive Democratic and Republican nominees. Or as he put it, “Obama radiates an ethos of integrity, humanity, good manners and elegance that I’m beginning to miss, and that I suspect we will all miss a bit, regardless of who replaces him.”
Obama’s rising popularity has been entirely concentrated among those with negative opinions of both Trump and Clinton. In the past year, the president’s favorability rating has increased by 20 percentage points among this group. Meanwhile, his favorability rating has actually declined among Americans with a favorable opinion of Trump and/or Clinton.
Rand Corp.’s Presidential Election Panel Survey (PEPS) provides further insight into Obama’s rising popularity. The PEPS data track changes in the president’s favorability rating among the same 2,679 individuals who were interviewed in December 2015 and March 2016. Using those data, I estimated the influence of views of Clinton and Trump on changes in Obama’s popularity after accounting for other relevant factors, such as partisanship, ideology and demographics. The graph below presents the results.(again click on the link to view the graph)
Again, Obama’s rising popularity is concentrated among those with unfavorable opinions of Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump. Obama’s favorability rating increased by about 12 percentage points from December 2015 to March 2016 among PEPS respondents who had a very negative opinion of both candidates. His popularity, however, did not change significantly among those with more positive opinions of Clinton and Trump.
originally posted by: introvert
I've never understood why his ratings were so low. He has been a decent, moderate president that did not do all of the things people feared he would have.
originally posted by: FamCore
a reply to: Krazysh0t
This could add fuel to the fire for conspiracy theorists who claim elections will be suspended and Obama will have a 3rd term, declare martial law, and rule the US indefinitely (not sure if that also ties into the Anti-Christ theory)
lol
originally posted by: avgguy
Because most of us feel that if his mouth is moving then he's lying.
bandwagon fallacy: concluding that an idea has merit simply because many people believe it or practice it. (e.g., Most people believe in a god; therefore, it must prove true.) Simply because many people may believe something says nothing about the fact of that something. For example many people during the Black plague believed that demons caused disease. The number of believers say nothing at all about the cause of disease.
A majority of Americans consistently rate Obama favorably for the first time since his second term began
originally posted by: neo96
The 'majority' of Americans don't even vote people.
Of the 330+ millions Americans that live here less than a third even votes.
So please.
What does voting have to do with the poll of Obama's popularity?
originally posted by: introvert
I've never understood why his ratings were so low. He has been a decent, moderate president that did not do all of the things people feared he would have.
originally posted by: kaylaluv
a reply to: Krazysh0t
He turned out a little less progressive than I thought (and hoped) he would be, but honestly, I like him a LOT personally. I'd love to sit down and have a beer and a chat with him, and he seems like the kind of guy you could do that with.