C.I.A. Prediction: EU and NATO to Dissolve In 2020.

So the Russians are predicting that the CIA and the United States won't exist by 2010 so I am not to worried about the CIA's prediction.

Am I only the one who sees how our government is scrambling to stay afloat because of all their corruption?

Originally posted by Seekerof
You would think that the damn CIA would have something more important to do other than to speculate and seemingly "predict" the future of Europe?!

Nonetheless, as per the article(s), the EU will dissolve and as a result, NATO would disband. The article also indicates that by 2020, India and China will be world powers. Now with the "predicted" dissolving of the EU and disbanding of NATO, I would assume that India and China would fill the void left by 'Old' Europe?

THE CIA has predicted that the European Union will break-up within 15 years unless it radically reforms its ailing welfare systems.

The report by the intelligence agency, which forecasts how the world will look in 2020, warns that Europe could be dragged into economic decline by its ageing population. It also predicts the end of Nato and post-1945 military alliances.

In a devastating indictment of EU economic prospects, the report warns: "The current EU welfare state is unsustainable and the lack of any economic revitalisation could lead to the splintering or, at worst, disintegration of the EU, undermining its ambitions to play a heavyweight international role."

It adds that the EU’s economic growth rate is dragged down by Germany and its restrictive labour laws. Reforms there - and in France and Italy to lesser extents - remain key to whether the EU as a whole can break out of its "slow-growth pattern".

Reflecting growing fears in the US that the pain of any proper reform would be too much to bear, the report adds that the experts it consulted "are dubious that the present political leadership is prepared to make even this partial break, believing a looming budgetary crisis in the next five years would be the more likely trigger for reform".

The EU is also set for a looming demographic crisis because of a drop in birth rates and increased longevity, with devastating economic consequences.

The report says: "Either European countries adapt their workforces, reform their social welfare, education and tax systems, and accommodate growing immigrant populations [chiefly from Muslim countries] or they face a period of protracted economic stasis."

CIA gives grim warning on European prospects
CIA report: EU and NATO to dissolve

Does the C.I.A. "predictions" have merit? Is what they are stating as the reasons for the dissolving of the EU and NATO of valid concern or even valid?

Thoughts and/or comments?





seekerof

[edit on 16-1-2005 by Seekerof]