Clinton vs. Trump: Predicting The Electoral College

19 states and the District of Columbia have voted for a Democrat in the last six presidential contests. These alone account for 242 electoral votes — a mere 28 short of the 270 needed to win the presidency.

By comparison, the 13 states which voted Republican in the last six elections contain 102 electoral votes. You can take it to the bank that the GOP would carry these states were its nominee Charles Manson or Benito Mussolini — or even Donald Trump. But even were the GOP to draft Jesus Christ himself, upon resurrection he would have to round up another 168 electoral votes.

This effort did not work out terribly well for another man of faith, Willard Romney. In 2012, Romney received an additional 104 electoral votes. That left him at 206 compared to Barack Obama’s 332. In electoral college terms, a landslide.
Clinton vs. Trump: Predicting The Electoral College

I think the picture below sums it up. The Democratic Party essentially starts a few feet from the finish line with the electoral college. Clinton is just awaiting her coronation.

a reply to: Profusion

Oh boy, hillary and Trump are not obama and romney.

Bushes won, reagan won, so it can be done.

a reply to: Profusion

Clinton is just awaiting her coronation.

YOU have figured it out! Welcome to the One Party State.

Hell, where I live, in a solidly Red State, the presidential candidates don't even campaign anymore.

Yep, so after the so-called "election", Queen Hilary will be Coronated President of the Democrats of 28 or so of the "States".

originally posted by: burgerbuddy
a reply to: Profusion

Oh boy, hillary and Trump are not obama and romney.

Bushes won, reagan won, so it can be done.

One Bush won the other had it given to him twice.

originally posted by: burgerbuddy
a reply to: Profusion

Oh boy, hillary and Trump are not obama and romney.

Bushes won, reagan won, so it can be done.

Let them have their delusion. Perhaps then they'll allow Hillary to 'win' the nomination. Trump takes N.Y. State. Period. That's an immediate 47 E.C. vote swing. Then there's the other N.E. States that likely swing as well.

The election cycle has been like no other. The left supporters continue using their traditional rhetoric and measuring sticks.

It will result in their loss.....a massive loss.

a reply to: Profusion

Hillary will win the nomination, Trump will win the Presidency.

That picture would be great, if you have one more lap to go, and you have a Trump Train just getting ready to start.

a reply to: Profusion

If we never had a republican president, then I might agree with the current assessment that the electoral college is a definitive indicator.

It'll be interesting, regardless.

How the Clinton email saga plays out will set her stage in the electoral process. So far I will have to call her a mercenary from what I have seen. If all America can do is make weapons than maybe it is a good thing.

With the Trump saga, that is all we get on tv, are there any other candidates? At least he has the practice of saying 'your fired'. Something that needs a lot of doing in the whole government structure to get rid of the corrupt and dead wood.

I have a lot of conservative family in California that feel their vote for President never matters. There are millions out there that want California broken up for the same reasons.

a reply to: Profusion

Karl Rove (like him or not) is a campaign expert. He got Dubya elected......twice. He predicts Trump will win the popular vote, Hillary the Electoral, and thus she will become POTUS. Basically a Bush-Gore rerun from 2000.

originally posted by: UnBreakable
a reply to: Profusion

Karl Rove (like him or not) is a campaign expert. He got Dubya elected......twice. He predicts Trump will win the popular vote, Hillary the Electoral, and thus she will become POTUS. Basically a Bush-Gore rerun from 2000.

No..Rove is not a campaign expert. He got the last two elections painfully wrong. He was the poster boy for the shock when Mitt Romney Lost to Obama. He actually had a melt-down on TV on election night refusing to acknowledge Obama won Ohio.

a reply to: nwtrucker

New York is a blue state. Trump won't take it.

a reply to: Profusion

GWB won in 2000 because of 537 votes in Florida. Florida's hispanic population has grown by 50% since then.

I don't believe that Trump will win Florida and without Florida, I don't believe he can win.

originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: nwtrucker

New York is a blue state. Trump won't take it.

Hmmm, even Giuliani would have taken it. Trump will take N.Y.. Trump is far more popular in the city than Hillary and the Republicans hold the rest of the state.

We shall see....

a reply to: nwtrucker

She got way more votes than he did in the primaries in N.Y.. j

Clinton 1,054,083

Trump 524,932

a reply to: Profusion

Great article. I expect Clinton will win the popular vote by the kind of margin LBJ did over Goldwater in 1964. The GOP is in a demographic death spiral that won't see them return to the White House until 2024. There is merit in what Trump says around winning a state like New York. The GOP in its infinite political stupidly hasn't done any of the ground work to win over seing voters in a place like New York City.

originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: nwtrucker

She got way more votes than he did in the primaries in N.Y.. j

Clinton 1,054,083

Trump 524,932

Of course! As you say there are more 'registered Democrats' in N.Y..

The test will come head to head. If you don't think there's a voter discontent on the left as well as the right, you'd be mistaken. I actually liked the result in N.Y. for Hillary. It showed me that a highly taxed populace isn't buying into the Freebie economics of Sanders. N.Y.ers have had more than their fill of the tax and give mechanism.

Envision the city after an 'open borders' policy with Hillary...you think it's crazy now?.....

originally posted by: Indigo5

originally posted by: UnBreakable
a reply to: Profusion

Karl Rove (like him or not) is a campaign expert. He got Dubya elected......twice. He predicts Trump will win the popular vote, Hillary the Electoral, and thus she will become POTUS. Basically a Bush-Gore rerun from 2000.

No..Rove is not a campaign expert. He got the last two elections painfully wrong. He was the poster boy for the shock when Mitt Romney Lost to Obama. He actually had a melt-down on TV on election night refusing to acknowledge Obama won Ohio.

Read my reply again. I said 'campaign' expert. He did not work on the last two Obama elections (campaigns). But he did direct the Dubya campaigns. Like I said, he made sure Bush got elected. He should know about electoral vs popular. He was directly involved in one of the most contentious campaigns and got his guy to the WH despite losing the popular vote.

originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: nwtrucker

She got way more votes than he did in the primaries in N.Y.. j

Clinton 1,054,083

Trump 524,932

I hope so. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by 2:1 in NY state, so it would stand to reason she got twice as many votes.

October 2012 Census data shows that there were 5,649,934 registered Democrats, 2,826,913 registered Republicans

www.answers.com...

a reply to: nwtrucker

I don't see dems even Bernie supporters voting for trump. That seems to also be the opinion of quite a few pundits that I've heard recently. Just saying.