Trump polling over 50% nationally...the ceiling is broken

This is the first time Trump has garnered the support of a majority of Republican primary voters nationwide. YouGov's February 24-27 survey marked his previous high, at 44% support. It is an almost 10% gain in the last view weeks.

He will take Florida today and has a good shot at Ohio. This is showing that the momentum is not fading. Those that thought his peak had happened multiple times are seeing that he will be the best in the general election when people are given two choices. As he says, the GOP needs to unite. They should have done it after NH.

today.yougov.com...

He is also has the highest favorability rating of all remaining candidates at 66%.

I will vote for this dude because barely any politicians likes him.
Absolutely NO other reason.

Coming from someone who sees 'red flags' multiple times on a daily basis....
it speaks volume to me.

a reply to: matafuchs

He received my vote today.

Not much choice. He is the only candidate who might be good.

The latest national polls (Mar 9) show either Hillary or Sanders beating Trump by a large margin. RealClearPolitics:

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Clinton 51, Trump 38 Clinton +13

General Election: Trump vs. Sanders NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Sanders 55, Trump 37 Sanders +18
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC News/Wash Post Clinton 50, Trump 41 Clinton +9

Predictive markets are all favoring Hillary too.

Come November 9th, conservative voters are going to wish they'd jumped on the bandwagon of somebody less divisive.

originally posted by: theantediluvian
Come November 9th, conservative voters are going to wish they'd jumped on the bandwagon of somebody less divisive.

Oh come on! That would require honest retrospection of where they went wrong. There is no way any of that is happening. Count on them instead cooking up some bat#, insane conspiracy theory that the Democrats stole the election from them instead.

a reply to: Krazysh0t

some people (ahem, low information conservative voters) cannot admit they were wrong and will become delusional making up lies and believing them.

The problem is that there are soooo many of them, that they all have each others back so its easy for them to justify their ridiculousness.

a reply to: theantediluvian

You stay on your train and I'll ride mine. National polling for candidates against each other to me right now is not too accurate because there are so many to choose from. I have decided not to ignore but to wait till we are one on one to see what happens. There is going to be a large 'switching' of parties when each side does not have the candidate they want. You cannot tell me a Cruz supporter would vote for Hill or Bern. They will flow to Trump. A Bernie supporter going to Clinton...I do not see...

originally posted by: theantediluvian
The latest national polls (Mar 9) show either Hillary or Sanders beating Trump by a large margin. RealClearPolitics:

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Clinton 51, Trump 38 Clinton +13

General Election: Trump vs. Sanders NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Sanders 55, Trump 37 Sanders +18
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC News/Wash Post Clinton 50, Trump 41 Clinton +9

Predictive markets are all favoring Hillary too.

Come November 9th, conservative voters are going to wish they'd jumped on the bandwagon of somebody less divisive.

How cute! Wouldn't it be nice if the Presidential election was a national election? Unfortunately for all these " national polls say " people it doesn't work that way. This election is a series of statewide elections tallied together at the end. What really matters are the swing states. What do the polls say in those states? Even more important, what will the polls in those states say in November?

a reply to: matafuchs

How does this thread differ from the Gazillion other Trump related threads?

Every time Trump sneezes there is a new thread. Every time Trump relieves himself there is a new thread. Every time Trump is a Trump then Trump hits the Trump! Trump me.

I'm sick to Trump of hearing about Trump. Everybody seems to have to need to Talk about Trump lately and call me a Trumping idiot if I am wrong. I am sick to Trumping death of trump threads.

a reply to: theantediluvian

Okay, I'll play.


Trump beats Hillary



thehill.com...

www.yesimright.com...

That second article actually uses data from RCP, which you used for your post.

a reply to: Thecakeisalie

Then go look for some other threads to peruse. Do not know what to say....

a reply to: RoadCourse

So single issue voting huh? Really productive way to choose who might lead the nation.

originally posted by: Khaleesi
a reply to: theantediluvian

Okay, I'll play.


Trump beats Hillary



thehill.com...

www.yesimright.com...

That second article actually uses data from RCP, which you used for your post.

Actually no, the second article is based on this powderedwigsociety post from October 15 which is in turn cites an unlinked, unnamed blog post on prntly.com which uses an unknown methodology and a data set that is at LEAST six months old, probably older.

The USA Today/Suffolk University poll from a month ago is definitely more relevant but it's also a single poll and 3 weeks older.

a reply to: theantediluvian


I think you missed my point. Polls are just that. Polls. You can find anything you want in polls. Why don't we just wait and see. Oh and if you read the article, it specifically says the data comes from RCP.

a reply to: Arizonaguy

How cute!

How cute what? Your tiny hands?

There's no real way of knowing which states will ultimately prove to be swing states but lists for likely swing states this election:

Ohio, Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Florida (Politico)

and the National Journal added 3 to that: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina.

Latest polls listed on RCP.

Florida - Mar 13, NBC/WSJ/Marist Clinton 49, Trump 41 Clinton +8
Ohio - Mar 13, NBC/WSJ/Marist Clinton 48, Trump 42 Clinton +6
Pennsylvania - Mar 9, Harper (R) Clinton 45, Trump 40 Clinton +5
New Hampshire - Feb 29, WMUR/UNH Clinton 47, Trump 39 Clinton +8
North Carolina - Feb 22, SurveyUSA Clinton 43, Trump 45 Trump +2
Virginia - Feb 3, Roanoke College Clinton 52, Trump 35 Clinton +17
Wisconsin - Jan 28, Marquette Clinton 47, Trump 38 Clinton +9
Iowa - Jan 10, NBC/WSJ/Marist Clinton 48, Trump 40 Clinton +8

I don't really like using polls going back to January and there was nothing on RCP from Nevada or Colorado at all but I think we can give Colorado and Nevada to Trump by a decent margin similar to Clinton's lead in other states.

originally posted by: Khaleesi
a reply to: theantediluvian


I think you missed my point. Polls are just that. Polls. You can find anything you want in polls. Why don't we just wait and see. Oh and if you read the article, it specifically says the data comes from RCP.

The topic of this thread is Trump poll numbers. I cited polls to respond to the OP in kind. That's all. As for the data being from RCP — that may be true but it was at least 6 months old and likely older.

originally posted by: matafuchs
He is also has the highest favorability rating of all remaining candidates at 66%.

Yes, the ceiling is broken..finally we get a extremely wealthy egotistical blowhard running for president!

originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: Thecakeisalie

Then go look for some other threads to peruse. Do not know what to say....

There are so many other Trumps dedicated to Trump. How is your Trump any different from the other Trumps? Let me Trump you a question: is this a genuine thread or are you jumping on the Trump wagon?

I don't speak for others but IMO the trump wagon is getting outta hand-it's turning into a game of Chinese shouting.

a reply to: theantediluvian

Presumptive polls in January of 2008 had McCain and Romney beating Obama by double digits. Not only did Obama take the Dem nomination, he also beat McCain fairly easily...

National level polling while there are multiple candidates for each party still alive are extremely inaccurate. There are a lot of GOP voters who aren't presently Trump voters and are holding out hope for their candidate to such an extreme as to refuse consideration of Trump right now. After he secures the nomination, the polls will reflect a more honest assessment as these GOP voters come to their senses and recognize that money, position, and prosperity trump ideologies and fall into line behind the Trump Express.

a reply to: theantediluvian

Yeah, so? Those numbers actually look bad for Clinton in many respects. When you consider that Trump is being attacked from all sides and in most of those swing states he is within striking distance, that doesn't say much for her. She has been treated like the de facto nominee since the race began, for all intents and purposes. If I were a Clinton supporter I would be very worried. If and when Trump secures the nomination and GOP support Clinton is toast.