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originally posted by: IAMTAT
a reply to: pianopraze
Imagine how great it would be to see Sanders totally crush Clinton in Nevada!
allon’s comments were telling to some Democrats who think the state is Clinton’s to lose. While a poll on the Democratic candidates hasn’t been conducted there since late 2015, the surveys at the time showed Clinton with a lead of nearly 20 points, according to RealClearPolitics.
“For reasons I don’t understand, the Clinton campaign seems to be downplaying chances in Nevada,” said Jim Manley, a Democratic strategist who served as a spokesman for then-Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.). “As far as I’m concerned, it’s tailor-made for a Clinton victory.”
originally posted by: butcherguy
a reply to: DrakeINFERNO
Right!
Bernie can thrash her butt in the voting, but she will get the delegates. The DNC doesn't believe in grass-roots campaigns!
originally posted by: Agit8dChop
People have been saying that it doesnt matter how popular Bernie is or what points he gets.. that the delegates decide who is on the election ticket.
Is that true? I mean.. I'd love to see Bernie win, but is this all really just a dog and pony show?
googling..
en.wikipedia.org...
so, Hilary has 420 delegates on her side compared to Bernie..
Hillary Clinton 420
Bernie Sanders 14
and its ultimately the delegates who decide on the candidate?
...
originally posted by: IAMTAT
a reply to: pianopraze
That would be great, but Hillary already has half the delegates locked up and the rest promised to her.
Bernie fans need to march on the DNC.
Superdelegates are mathematically relevant when a candidate has 41.2 percent to 58.8 percent of elected delegates. Below that range, a candidate couldn’t win a first-ballot majority even with the votes of every superdelegate; above that range, the superdelegates’ help wouldn’t be necessary to clinch the nomination.
That’s still a fairly wide range, however. In theory, for example, a candidate could lose elected delegates 58 percent to 42 percent — equivalent2 to losing the average state by 16 percentage points — and still win the nomination through superdelegates.
My guess, especially given what we saw in 2008, is that superdelegates wouldn’t feel comfortable weighing in anywhere near that much on Clinton’s behalf. In the case where she’s won only 42 percent of elected delegates, she’ll have lost to Sanders all over the map, and any conceivable “electability” gains from nominating Clinton would be outweighed by alienating at least half of the Democratic base.
originally posted by: NightFlight
Hillary Clinton is going to be president, whether you like it or not...
originally posted by: gspat
So are the 420 superdelgates across the whole of the states, or just from the two that voted so far?