posted on Feb, 13 2016 @ 03:12 PM
originally posted by: Nikola014
a reply to: MrSpad
Thank you for the additional info.
You know, I was expecting for the terrorist states from ME + Turkey to recognize another terrorist group as the legal representatives of Syria, but
the west too? It's not too surprising when they are the ones funding them...
Insane what's becoming of this world.
If Arab league + turkey continue with this illegal act( for me Assad's government is still the legal one because they have the support of Syrian
people ) you are right. The nukes will be flying and i hope for that to happen. Truly, because out of chaos comes order. Maybe when everything is
destroyed those who are left will rebuild our civilization in a more healthy way.
No nukes will be flying. Nuking any nation would bring the entire planet against you. Not to mention nuking Muslims would send Russia's nearly 10
million Muslims into open rebellion. The NCS recognition comes from not just the Arab States and Europe but Asian, African and South American states
as well. This is not surprising as Assads only real Syrian supporters are the Alawites and if you only have the support of minority of your people
then nobody is likely to see you as having the ability much less the authority to rule a nation. And it is no secret that of Russia, Iran, Hezbollah,
Lebanese and Iraqi Shia militias are the only think keeping Assad in power. They are not enough to reclaim Syria and will have stay just keep the
areas Assads controls from slipping back into rebellion.
And and massive ground campaign by the Arabs and Turkey is extremely unlikely. All they have to do is keep the pressure on Assad. Russia will not
stay forever, nor will the others to prop him up. At some point they will have to give him up to get some sort of deal.
If such a ground campaign were to happen their would be little Russia could do other than secure small part of Syria for Assad and the Alawites. The
problem for Russia is it would be fighting in Syria where its air and sea corridors could be cut off with ease. That would require Russia to expand
the war and attack Turkey proper and that would bring in NATO. And that is a losing war. And if your thinking but, Turkey and Russia are already
fighting in Syria so NATO does not count, that is not the way it works. If when US and Soviet fighters were engaged during the Korean War that does
not mean an attack on the US direct would have not activated article 5.
So France and Russia could be fighting in say Africa and NATO would not be required to act, but they the first Russian attack on France proper
occurred NATO would activated.
Not that any of this is going to happen. The Turks, the West and Arabs will finish off ISIS with some small forces, mostly SF and air support for the
SDF. When that is done, unless a peace deal where Assad leaves power have been made the will arm and train the rest of the rebels into once large
force that will then move on Assad. Because the on thing every group in Syria agrees on is Assad is just as bad as ISIS and both must go.