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You believe these things? Why does belief matter? What about objective evidence that tells you otherwise? Why does your beliefs trump this data?
The last five million years of climate change is shown in the next graph based on work by Lisiecki and Raymo in 2005 [2] . It shows our planet has a dynamic temperature history, and over the last three million years, we have had a continuous series of ice ages (now about 90,000 years each) and interglacial warm periods (about 10,000 years each). There are 13 (count ‘em) ice ages on a 100,000 year cycle (from 1.25 million years ago to the present, and 33 ice ages on a 41,000 year cycle (between 2.6 million and 1.25 million years ago). Since Earth is on a multi-million-year cooling trend, we are currently lucky to be living during an interglacial warm period, but we are at the end of our normal 10,000 year warm interglacial period.
joannenova.com.au...
originally posted by: gortex
a reply to: Krazysh0t
There are geological studies that show the Earths temperature has fluctuated over the last 5 million years as we come to the end of the last ice age , technically we are still in an ice age and some scientist believe the next one is approaching and we are currently in an inter-glacial period which could account for the fluctuations.
I believe the bulk of what we consider as global warming is out of our control and caused by the cycles of the planet , I also believe it is being used as a tool by governments of the world to raise taxes and that much of the science behind it is flawed , I don't think the sky is falling in.
As for the Zachariae Isstrom glacier we will have to wait and see but I wouldn't be surprised if in a few years it's discovered to be growing again or at least stopped shrinking.
originally posted by: gortex
a reply to: Krazysh0t
My belief is based on the available data as a whole not just cherry picked data used by those with an agenda.
Many predictions and assertions about global warming are based on computer models which time and again have been shown to be limited and wrong , many research grants depend on the propagation of the man made global warming myth.
So all models are first tested in a process called Hindcasting. The models used to predict future global warming can accurately map past climate changes. If they get the past right, there is no reason to think their predictions would be wrong. Testing models against the existing instrumental record suggested CO2 must cause global warming, because the models could not simulate what had already happened unless the extra CO2 was added to the model. All other known forcings are adequate in explaining temperature variations prior to the rise in temperature over the last thirty years, while none of them are capable of explaining the rise in the past thirty years. CO2 does explain that rise, and explains it completely without any need for additional, as yet unknown forcings.
Where models have been running for sufficient time, they have also been proved to make accurate predictions. For example, the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo allowed modellers to test the accuracy of models by feeding in the data about the eruption. The models successfully predicted the climatic response after the eruption. Models also correctly predicted other effects subsequently confirmed by observation, including greater warming in the Arctic and over land, greater warming at night, and stratospheric cooling.
If you look at the bigger picture you can see warming and cooling has been occurring long before we could take the blame.
The last five million years of climate change is shown in the next graph based on work by Lisiecki and Raymo in 2005 [2] . It shows our planet has a dynamic temperature history, and over the last three million years, we have had a continuous series of ice ages (now about 90,000 years each) and interglacial warm periods (about 10,000 years each). There are 13 (count ‘em) ice ages on a 100,000 year cycle (from 1.25 million years ago to the present, and 33 ice ages on a 41,000 year cycle (between 2.6 million and 1.25 million years ago). Since Earth is on a multi-million-year cooling trend, we are currently lucky to be living during an interglacial warm period, but we are at the end of our normal 10,000 year warm interglacial period.
joannenova.com.au...
originally posted by: Krazysh0t
a reply to: strongfp
Continents move like an inch a century. Their movements have little to no effect on the melting ice caps. You just made this reasoning up on the spot didn't you?
In the 2009 “climategate scandal”, e-mails and documents from IPCC-affiliated scientists were leaked that indicated they had manipulated data and reports to jibe with the AGW theory. References were made to “hiding the decline” through the use of “tricks”.
originally posted by: Krazysh0t
a reply to: strongfp
That still doesn't mean that the continents are moving quick enough to effect the climate like we are seeing it.
originally posted by: strongfp
originally posted by: Krazysh0t
a reply to: strongfp
That still doesn't mean that the continents are moving quick enough to effect the climate like we are seeing it.
Sure it is. Considering entire lakes dry up in less than a few thousand years, mountain ranges creating their own weather systems, and earth quakes destroying entire ecosystems one major geological event can be the deciding factor.
originally posted by: deadeyedick
a reply to: Krazysh0t
It's only been 100 years since we noticed that we were affecting the climate with human produced greenhouse gases.
I do not know who the we is but it is not us.
We still do not know if the levels are harming the environment.
originally posted by: deadeyedick
a reply to: Krazysh0t
If it is truly melting and there are none that are freezing or expanding and many other factors then possible the levels could rise but it seems as if any melting is somehow being offset.