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originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: game over man
Why don't you think we will find extremophiles in our Solar System?
We might, but we haven't yet, and we've already covered a lot of territory. This is one of those deals where there either is ET life in the Solar System, or there isn't. And the only way to prove it exists is to find it. Conjecture doesn't count. So far, we haven't found any, and it's not looking good.
originally posted by: ChaoticOrder
I'm sure by now most people have heard of the renewed search for ET intelligence. Essentially some billionaire seems to be funding a much more powerful version of the SETI program. While I don't think it's a total waste of money because it will yield important scientific data, I do think it's a waste of time to look for intelligent signals. This isn't just due to my personal opinion on the matter, there are many scientific reasons why the search is doomed to fail. To begin with radio signals will degrade as they propagate through space due to the inverse square law (the same reason a light bulb looks dimmer from a distance). After only a couple of hundred light years at most, any radio signals sent from Earth become indistinguishable from background noise. Even if there was intelligent life on one of the closest stars to us it would still be extremely difficult to detect any signal coming from their planet.
Mainstream media often reports that SETI has been searching the skies for over 50 years without detecting anything in the way of radio signals from extraterrestrial civilizations. Unfortunately such stories usually fail to mention the enormity of the task and just how little of the sky and frequency space has been covered:
As you can see from the above chart of various SETI experiments, Radio SETI over the last 55 years has not covered much in the way of frequency space nor has it examined the entire sky at high sensitivity.
So Radio SETI has a long way to go before anyone could say it's a waste of time in terms of covering every frequency and every part of sky at high sensitivity.
It should also be noted that most of the experiments on the chart above were short in duration, lasting weeks, months or a few years. It is not as though Radio SETI has been looking for signals around the clock 24/7 year after year. There were huge month and year-long gaps between observing runs.
Additionally we've only just begun doing SETI at the lower frequencies similar to what we use for radio and TV. Until now most SETI experiments operated in the microwave (above 1 Ghz) range. While most of our own radio leakage operates at lower frequencies. Enter LOFAR the massive, muilti-country, long frequency radio telescope array in Europe:
The Low Frequency Array feeds data to UC Berkeley's SETI@Home
Jocelyn Bell - Discoverer of the first 4 known pulsars (two of which were briefly labelled LGM-1 &LGM-2 for "Little Green Men") with one of the elements of the LOFAR array which conducts SETI experiments at frequencies similar to what we use for radio and TV. LOFAR is a precursor to the Square Kilometer Array
"But it's still radio duh....."
A more common criticism of Radio SETI has to do with the use of the word "radio". Most people hear radio and think of the thing in their car or the thing their parents used to listen to before the ubiquity of MP3 players, Pandora, and other streaming services.
It seems almost antiquated and counterintuitive in this day and age we'd be looking for advanced alien civilizations with something as old-fashioned as radio. After all, our own use of radio is vastly different today than it was in 1960s.
Unfortunately most people do not know that plenty of our technology today STILL uses radio, not just for communication either. Many of the same people also assume Radio SETI is looking for some form of communication when in reality all Radio SETI is looking to detect initially is a narrowband signal less than 1Hz wide. Such signals are not produced by nature but plenty of our technology produces them.
In fact Earth's most powerful radio signals are not for communication at all. They're not beaming entertainment and information in audio or video form (in the case of Broadcast TV).
Nope, our most powerful radio transmitter is the Arecibo Planetary Radar in Puerto Rico which is used to take radar images of near earth asteroids, especially ones which make close approaches.
Radar delay-Doppler images of asteroid 2014 HQ124 taken with the Arecibo planetary radar. The Arecibo Planetary Radar transmits up to 1 MegaWatt (1 MW) of power with an antenna gain of about 73.3 dB at 12.6 cm wavelength, resulting in an equivalent isotropically radiated power (EIRP) of roughly 20 TeraWatts (20,000,000,000,000 watts or 20,000,000 MW). Most commercial TV and radio stations have EIRPs far less (100,000-1,000,000 watts or 0.1-1.0 MW)
An extraterrestrial version of Arecibo with the same sensitivity as modern SETI receivers could detect Arecibo's planetary radar at a distance of 5,000 light years (ly).
An extraterrestrial version of our Square Kilometer Array (SKA), which is due to see first light in 2024 would be able to detect Arecibo's planetary radar at a distance of 40,000 ly - almost half the diameter of our Milky Way galaxy. The SKA in it's first building phase would also be able to detect an alien equivalent of our airport radars at a distance of 60 ly.
Radar is just one use of radio an advanced civilization might still use because of its ease and usefulness in detecting and imaging objects in the cold darkness of space. Other uses might include beaming power to space colonies using microwaves from off world solar power collectors or even using such collectors to propel a starship (See: Starwisp).
As a scientist I don't think our planet is unknown if intelligent life is common in our Milky Way galaxy.
Here's why:
Earth has been around for 4.5 billion years and for the last 2 billion of those years, our Earth has been broadcasting that life existed here in terms of our plant life generating biosignatures. These biosignatures would be detectable with technology no greater than we are capable of today out to a spherical area of 300 light years.
That is an area encompassing an estimated 391,725 stars and an estimated 86,180 potentially habitable worlds.
So for the last 2 billion years, an alien astronomer within that 300 light year sphere with technology no greater than our own, looking at our planet with a sufficiently large space telescope would notice that something was filling our atmosphere with free oxygen.
That would stand out to any alien astronomers because oxygen is highly reactive and likes to combine with other elements to form things like carbon monoxide aka smog (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), water vapor (H2O) and formaldehyde (CH2O).
So anyone with a sufficiently large space telescope looking at the Earth and seeing a huge spike of O2 (free oxygen) would know something is replenishing it and the only something which does that efficiently for planets like ours, as far as we know, is life. Specifically photosynthetic life (plants, trees, etc).
They'd see something like these:
So yeah, if they're out there they probably at least know our forests are here. Few scientists would argue that. Could they have sent a probe or come here in the past? Maybe. Few scientists would argue that either. Even Carl Sagan suggested we look for evidence of such ancient visitation in images and data returned from our exploration of our solar system.
The only thing most scientists would have an issue with are claims that they are coming here now or are actually here now. There's just nothing which can be examined by science today which would firmly establish that.
BTW: This workshop took place last year in Arizona co-sponsored by The Vatican Observatory:
Another took place this past April in Puerto Rico, one of many of this type these days. It's focus was also on detecting the telltale signs of life on Earthlike worlds in our neighborhood (that 300 light year area I mentioned above):
Personally, I were a smart alien on a planet 100 light years away looking at the Earth with a hyper-telescope capable of seeing something the size of a Honda Accord car I'd probably have seen enough from our year 1915 to stay as far away as possible and observe from the comfort of my own solar system. And in 30 years I and the rest of my alien world could watch World War II unfold.
originally posted by: Kojiro
While I agree with the problem with radio signals, I hardly think SETI's anything close to being a waste of time. Really, our species dropping bombs on each other over petty economical and religious differences is a waste of time. All of that energy can be better spent helping out each other and furthering our progress as a species. That includes exploring space.
Heck, Optical SETI's come to age, which means our range in detecting the EM spectrum has grown even more. When I heard about that my enthusiasm for SETI pretty much returned, because unfortunately their focus had been pretty narrow and low for a while. Still, there'd likely be the random chance that someone will blow a whole lot of bandwidth on a signal out there and shock us (the Wow! comes to mind as an example of that possibly happening, although there's the equal chance that it was just an unidentified Earth-borne signal—the jury's still out on that). Then of course there's the matter of increasing the gain here (building bigger and bigger receivers—although, at what point do receivers become impractically huge and we need to consider other ideas?).
Then, considering Jade's dissertation on Radio SETI above, I may have to reconsider some of my own criticism about Radio SETI. I didn't consider the issue of our plant-life making noise.
originally posted by: VoidHawk
originally posted by: Bedlam
originally posted by: VoidHawk
Concerning the radio signals. The inverse law may only apply to us because we dont yet have the ability to overcome it.
Not so much. It's basic radio physics.
from our perspective!
Consider what the laser did for light transmission!
originally posted by: JadeStar
That is an area encompassing an estimated 391,725 stars and an estimated 86,180 potentially habitable worlds.
originally posted by: xxThothxx
It is my hypothesis that there are civilizations in our galaxy capable of sending out radio signals, but they're so far apart we won't ever hear from anyone else, at least in the near future. More advanced civilizations would have developed some sort of more advanced, or more all-encompassing, communication method.
originally posted by: Xtrozero
originally posted by: JadeStar
That is an area encompassing an estimated 391,725 stars and an estimated 86,180 potentially habitable worlds.
Do you find this number so big that it guarantees advance life?
When we look at earth we see a perfect planet that has had trillions of life forms and only one in 4.5 billion years to reach the level to have intelligence and the physical capabilities to do something with that intelligence.
I would also suggest that out of your 86k planets you most likely would have an extremely low chance for a perfect earth type
and you would see more along the ranges of Mars or Venus as "habitable worlds".
I think most agree that when conditions are right life happens, but advance life is much more restricted to what range a habitable planet would need to be within for it to have a chance to evolve from simple lifeforms.
I would suggest that out of even 100s of millions of habitable worlds the chances for advance intelligent life with the physical capabilities needed to build as you suggest are still extremely small.
I could take this a different way. I could suggest life in general and have a good chance we would find it one day, but if I suggested a purple flying hippo with yellow spots that weighted 10,000 pounds the chances become far less as I add more and more discriminators to what kind of life I am looking for. Well to say advance intelligent, physically capable to build etc is basically saying the same thing as my purple hippo, and with about as much chance to find too.
The main problem is not that we are not detectable, but that there is no one close enough to detect us...
originally posted by: greenfox86
I always wondered why radio waves, if the ET's evolved differently wouldn't their means of communication differ
and what if they are far more advanced, wouldn't they look for a signal much like their own, our tech would be useless, perhaps that's why we haven't gotten any signals all together,