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originally posted by: yuppa
a reply to: Krazysh0t
Living life for WHAT IFS is NO WAY to live.
They say the climate MIGHT change drastically but they cant say how hard it might be. If we are doomed to die from climate change that was our fate there is no stopping your destined way you are going to die.
thinking you can influence it is arrogance.
The first truly quantitative reconstruction of Northern Hemisphere temperatures had been published in 1993 by Bradley and Phil Jones, but it and subsequent reconstructions compiled averages for decades, covering the whole hemisphere. Mann wanted temperatures of individual years showing differences between regions, to find spatial patterns showing natural oscillations and the effect of events such as volcanic eruptions. Sophisticated statistical methods had already been applied to dendroclimatology, but to get wider geographical coverage these tree ring records had to be related to sparser proxies such as ice cores, corals and lake sediments. To avoid giving too much weight to the more numerous tree data, Mann, Bradley and Hughes used the statistical procedure of principal component analysis to represent these larger datasets in terms of a small number of representative series and compare them to the sparser proxy records. The same procedure was also used to represent key information in the instrumental temperature record for comparison with the proxy series, enabling validation of the reconstruction. They chose the period 1902–1980 for calibration, leaving the previous 50 years of instrumental data for validation. This showed that the statistical reconstructions were only skillful (statistically meaningful) back to 1400.[12] Their study highlighted interesting findings, such as confirming anecdotal evidence that there had been a strong El Niño in 1791, and finding that in 1816 the "Year Without a Summer" in Eurasia and much of North America had been offset by warmer than usual temperatures in Labrador and the Middle East. It was also an advance on earlier reconstructions in that it went back further, showed individual years, and showed uncertainty with error bars."[13] Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries" (MBH98) was published on April 23, 1998 in the journal Nature. In it, "Spatially resolved global reconstructions of annual surface temperature patterns" were related to "changes in greenhouse-gas concentrations, solar irradiance, and volcanic aerosols" leading to the conclusion that "each of these factors has contributed to the climate variability of the past 400 years, with greenhouse gases emerging as the dominant forcing during the twentieth century. Northern Hemisphere mean annual temperatures for three of the past eight years are warmer than any other year since (at least) AD 1400.[14] The last point received most media attention. Mann was surprised by the extent of coverage which may have been due to chance release of the paper on Earth Day in an unusually warm year. In a CNN interview, John Roberts repeatedly asked him if it proved that humans were responsible for global warming, to which he would go no further than that it was "highly suggestive" of that inference.[15]
originally posted by: paradoxious
NASA needs to be living up to its name: National Aeronautics and Space Administration. If you're unfamiliar with the term "aeronautics", it quite literally means navigating air.
NOAA (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration)... you know them right? They're one of many groups that can't even tell you if it'll rain in the next hour. THEY should be watching the oceans and atmosphere, not NASA.
originally posted by: yuppa
a reply to: Krazysh0t
Living life for WHAT IFS is NO WAY to live. They say the climate MIGHT change drastically but they cant say how hard it might be. If we are doomed to die from climate change that was our fate there is no stopping your destined way you are going to die.
thinking you can influence it is arrogance.
originally posted by: WarminIndy
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: greencmp
Way to mis quote me there.
So destroying the planet so we can continue to pump CO2 and other stuff in the atmosphere in the name of cheap energy is the best as approach?
We have alternative solutions today.
I am all for better solutions. Nuclear is at the top of the list.
Indeed, we could basically discard the list if we chose nuclear, it solves all of the problems associated with deriving energy from breaking chemical bonds.
Then let's suppose this scenario.
Nuclear power plants pump a lot, I mean a lot, of water vapor into the atmosphere. We know that water vapor is one of the major greenhouse gases.
Now imagine this, a nuclear power plant in the US melts down, all that water vapor now is irradiated and pumping radiation into the atmosphere. There goes the safety of 100,000,000 people. But melt downs in highly technological countries can't ever happen, right?
originally posted by: the2ofusr1
a reply to: Krazysh0t
If science was so precise it would not have made the errors it did that was over turned later on .
This notion of settled science are only for those religiously connected to it to believe it .Like I say ,science has it's dogmas that get over turned and they create a new one until it cant stand any longer . When it comes to the present agw climate change subject it belongs in the religious forum .If the skeptics had nothing of value then the conversation would have been over . it's not and there are plenty of holes in the science that supports it . not settled .
originally posted by: Bilk22
a reply to: Krazysh0t
So how do we go about preventing the climate from changing? It's been doing that for millions of years ........ so we've been told. Were they wrong?
originally posted by: the2ofusr1
a reply to: jrod
Prior to talking about global warming in the 80's 90's we or scientist were talking about a new ice age in the 60's 70's .
originally posted by: WarminIndy
originally posted by: Sremmos80
a reply to: the2ofusr1
I don't care about al gore, he is not the end all say all figure in this matter.
Nope, he's just the guy who got the money rolling in.
Do you think maybe, just maybe, if they really cared about the planet they could do the research with less money? How about they get paid less and then see if they come up with the same results.