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originally posted by: ColeYounger
a reply to: Arbitrageur
The hoax postulate has generally been disregarded because there were several witnesses other than Lonnie Zamora who saw the craft flying over the highway.
originally posted by: ColeYounger
Ray Sanford has been investigating the case for decades. He was a guest on C2C the other night. Sanford claims to have new evidence on the case, including an actual PHOTO of the craft. It's a pretty good interview. Jacques Vallee appears on the first hour of the show.
Balloons can fly over highways. I've seen them do it. Why would anybody think they can't?
originally posted by: ColeYounger
a reply to: Arbitrageur
The hoax postulate has generally been disregarded because there were several witnesses other than Lonnie Zamora who saw the craft flying over the highway.
originally posted by: ColeYounger
Zamora said the craft had a red upside-down 'V' symbol.
An image created of the craft, based on Zamora's description:
As if the encounter itself isn't bizarre enough, there is a dispute on what symbol Lonnie Zamora sketched.
It's been reported that Zamora sketched a different symbol at the request of Air Force investigators who wanted the "alchemical" symbol on the craft to be kept from the public.
The symbol dispute explained.
Update on the ‘Search for the Socorro UFO (Case) Footage’
John contacted Ben and said that he had recorded the long sought after footage on VHS from the TV show Sightings. He thought it was too good to be true but three days later John mailed him a CD of that exact footage, thus ending a long and strange search for this piece of history. This is a great example of how working together, sharing data, and investigative skills resulted in us finding the footage.
The film shows the family at the site just several days after the landing, and brief shots of the landing area. It’s a great addition to the case file and is another piece of the Socorro event history..
link
The principle "witness" produced by Bragalia is Sterling Colgate. As to Colgate's motives in declaring it a "hoax", Ray Stanford's observations on theparacast.com the other day are highly relevant.
It turns out Colgate was declaring the whole incident a hoax to reporters within only days of the incident. When pressed by reporters why it was a hoax, Colgate answered that he knew as an astrophysicist that interstellar travel was impossible, therefore it couldn't have been an alien craft, therefore it must have been a hoax perpetrated by his own students.
When the diagonals of a quadrilateral are perpendicular (as was the case with the Socorro object to within measurement error), the midpoints of its sides and the feet of the perpendiculars dropped from them on the opposite sides all lie on a circle described about the mean center of the vertices. (from Brand's Vector and Tensor Analysis)
In plainer language, the four points Hynek was referring to that lie on the common circle are the centers of the sides of the quadrilateral connecting the four landing impressions (not the landing impressions themselves, which will not necessarily lie on a common circle).
Three random points will always define a circle, but, in general, a random four-sided figure will only have three of its four midpoints lying on one circle, the fourth lying off the circle (unless the diagonals form right angles, like at Socorro).
In addition, in the Socorro case, the center of the defined circle lay directly over the main burn area where Zamora saw the object take off vertically (and where the mesquite bush was cut cleanly in half at the edge of the burn). For a VTOL craft with a single thruster, the best engineering placement of the thruster will be under the center of gravity of the craft (such as is the case with the Lunar Lander). Therefore the center of the circle over the burn area defines the center of gravity of the craft; by symmetry, all weight is evenly distributed around any circle drawn around this center.
The engineering significance of this is that the weight of the object is evenly distributed on the centers of the sides, and as a corollary, each landing pad also bears equal weight. In other words, well thought out, good engineering design that is highly unlikely to happen by pure chance had this been any sort of hoax (and would have required highly sophisticated hoaxers.
That's probably the weakest argument I've ever heard why it can't be a hoax, and basically I've never seen a single strong argument. Seems like some people have a need to believe it wasn't. Whether or not it was a hoax, it was certainly possible to be one, I know of no aspect of the case that some clever university students couldn't have pulled off.
originally posted by: 111DPKING111
David Rudiak has this to say about the original hoax theory in the first link
Dr Greg Little says it's "certainly" a hoax, though he doesn't elaborate on his basis for saying that beyond saying university students did it.
originally posted by: 111DPKING111
After reviewing the various arguments, I guess the oddest thing about the case is it should be solved, unless it was aliens...
Nearly all of the ufologists cite the Roswell and the Socorro, NM cases in their lists, but both of these cases are certainly hoaxes. The Socorro case has recently been shown to be a hoax perpetrated by university students and as Andrew Collins and I will show soon, Roswell was precisely what the Air Force has said it was. The "crash mystery" and fake documents that emerged to support Roswell were concocted by ufologists and compounded by psychological factors involved in long-term memory as well as out-an-out fabrications made by "witnesses" who actually were not there.
hahaha, that is hilarious! Did you read Zamora's official report? When it started taking off he was running away, just glancing back, but he lost his glasses and kept running away without them so even when he glanced back, he couldn't see too well without his glasses, but yeah nobody could have gotten away, seriously? That's the most ridiculous thing I ever heard.
originally posted by: 111DPKING111
Things against the hoax though
- other witnesses showed up shortly after and the consensus among those who have walked the site is it would have been impossible to get away unseen unless everyone was in on the hoax.
So nobody could have fled the scene while Zamora was running away from the scene after his glasses fell off? Then, he jumped over the hill, where he could see above the hill but not through the hill:
As soon as saw flame and heard roar, turned away, ran away from object but did turn head toward object. Bumped leg on car--back Fender area. Car facing southwest. Glasses fell to ground, left them there. ran to north--car between him and object.
Object was oval, in shape. It was smooth--no windows or doors. As roar started, it was still on or near ground. Noted red lettering of some type (see illustration). Insignia was about 2 1/2' high and about 2' wide I guess. Was in middle of object. . .Object still like aluminum-white.
After fell by car and glasses fell off, kept running to north, with car between me and object. Glanced back couple of times.
So now that he's jumped over the hill he has the hill partially blocking his vision.
I was still running and I jumped just over the hill--I stopped because I did not hear the roar. I was scared of the roar, and I had planned to continue running down the hill.
That depends on how much honesty you attribute to Anthony Bragalia. I happen to disagree with him greatly on some issues, but he claims to be accurately portraying his research findings in this case and despite my other disagreements with him, I find that claim plausible.
originally posted by: mirageman
Is this letter with handwritten notes really all we have to point to a hoax?
The photo and accompanying notation above is courtesy the files of the Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research at New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology in Socorro, NM.
According to school documents, the photo was taken in “approximately” 1965 in the area south of town where newly-acquired, advanced experimental balloons had been sent aloft by college students and department personnel for the prior two years.
THE PHOTO AND ZAMORA’S TESTIMONY- A MATCH
Zamora would have been wholly unfamiliar with such an experimental balloon, introduced to the area the very year of his sighting. But four key elements are strikingly common to the photo and Officer Zamora’s testimony- the craft’s shape, features, size and color.
originally posted by: Maverick7
Non-terrestrials who would be 10K to 1M years more advanced than we would not use full-sized atmospheric craft to do any exploration.
Virtual, nanotech, remote viewed, holographic tech and stuff more advanced than we could know. To suggest they'd come here and use "just past Earth 21st century aircraft in the atmosphere" is like saying if we went back in time to check out the Vikings we'd use advanced wooden ships. It's laughable.
If Lonnie saw a craft it was one of ours.
He called them "people" in his official report, though in a later interview he said he couldn't confirm they were "people", only that they were in white coveralls and shaped like people. This is from his official report, where he didn't refer to them as "occupants" and he never saw them get into the thing:
originally posted by: NoCorruptionAllowed
Lonnie saw what he saw. And he saw small occupants. Maybe you think those were space camp cadets?
Small adults or large kids could be a fitting description for university students as Bragalia hypothesizes.
Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat...
The only time I saw these two persons was when I had stopped, for possibly two seconds or so, to glance at the object. I don't recall noting any particular shape or possibly any hats, or headgear. These persons appeared normal in shape--but possibly they were small adults or large kids.
originally posted by: NoCorruptionAllowed
a reply to: Arbitrageur
I think another good question would be how could university students, (small ones) be piloting some sort of exotic egg shaped craft in the middle of the desert in the '60's.
I just don't see it as likely although anything is possible.
Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat...
The only time I saw these two persons was when I had stopped, for possibly two seconds or so, to glance at the object. I don't recall noting any particular shape or possibly any hats, or headgear. These persons appeared normal in shape--but possibly they were small adults or large kids.
originally posted by: ColeYounger
This incident is considered one of the most famous in ufology. The Socorro Incident, also known as the Lonnie Zamora incident was a UFO close encounter which occurred on Friday, April 24, 1964, at about 5:50 p.m., on the southern outskirts of Socorro, New Mexico.
Zamora said he saw an egg-shaped UFO, with two occupants "the size of 10-year olds".
Skeptics have suggested ridiculous hoax theories. One theory is that high-school students played an elaborate prank. Famous skeptic Philip Klass said Zamora witnessed ball lightning. Another popular theory was that Zamore had just seen a 'dust devil' whirlwind.
Reports by authorities, including the Air Force, were fairly riddled with errors. Zamora wasn't the only witness, but the report claimed he was. Although there was definite physical evidence left behind, the report said no trace evidence was left.
Ray Sanford has been investigating the case for decades. He was a guest on C2C the other night. Sanford claims to have new evidence on the case, including an actual photo of the craft. It's a pretty good interview. Jacques Vallee appears on the first hour of the show.
Zamora said the craft had a red upside-down 'V' symbol.
An image created of the craft, based on Zamora's description:
As if the encounter itself isn't bizarre enough, there is a dispute on what symbol Lonnie Zamora sketched.
It's been reported that Zamora sketched a different symbol at the request of Air Force investigators who wanted the "alchemical" symbol on the craft to be kept from the public.