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originally posted by: bbracken677
a reply to: luthier
If we stopped using fossil fuels today, without an appropriate substitute and infrastructure many billions would die.
How does produce make it to the grocery stores? How much food is in a large metro at any given time (approx 1 week, perhaps 2 at most). What about all the food that is processed? No fossil fuels no wheaties. No fossil fuels no plastic. No fossil fuels no refregeration (what energy source?).
How would farming be if all of a sudden they could not run their tractors, columbines, could not apply pesticides, herbicides and fertilizer? What would be the decrease in production as a result? What would be the level of spoilage if we could not transport, chill, freeze, process the food we could produce? Billions would die...more billions would riot....
We need a substitute, no doubt, but we do not currently have an acceptable one nor do we have the infrastructure to even make an unacceptable one available.
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
They aren't unknowable. We know who is negotiating the climate treaties. My very own colleagues and good friends have been there at the negotiations. I was invited to the Conferences of Parties in Peru this past winter, but couldn't go.
Also, the key here is that it all depends on how real the threat of climate change is.
The scientists and international community have found it to be a very serious, real, and imminent threat.
One that if we do not take serious action now, i.e. climate change mitigation, we will be facing severe consequences globally that will disrupt global systems of all kinds.
Hence, provided what I said is true, the ONLY responsible action to take by both citizens and governments is rigorous action. IF it is all true, then it's not "authoritarian" to take NECESSARY Action. And if some citizens fight against it, it's really them that are in the wrong and are either just being selfish or are uneducated.
I submit to you a basic and poor analogy. It would be like a powerful army is threatening to invade the US and is a real and imminent threat and the government and half of the population says "we need to do something and if we don't prepare now we will be overrun." Then a small portion of the population says "There IS NO army out there and it is totalitarian of you to build up the military and make preparations."
Who would be in the wrong? Obviously the deniers.
And is it responsible for authorities or other citizens to listen to them if to do so means NOT taking necessary actions for the good of us all? No!
Maybe it isn't what most people think of but, no, we cannot know who will wield or what will be done with the authority we grant to any organization.
So, why isn't the conversation ever about climate change mitigation instead of taxation? That would be a very useful discussion.
Tax regime discussions are totally about climate change mitigations.
For example, carbon taxes are quite simply "internalizing" the negative externalities that are NOT usually paid for by companies and organizations. This then makes them have to become more sustainable because they are now finally having to pay for it, as they should have from the beginning. Hence they then begin mitigating their pollution.
Mitigation simply means lowering the contribution to climate change collectively, through everything from policy to technology to economic incentives.
If that was all that we ever did about pollution, we would still be nose deep in it. When I think about mitigation, I think about cleanup.
I would be delighted to hear the details of the various concepts and their projected efficacy.
originally posted by: bbracken677
a reply to: luthier
If we stopped using fossil fuels today, without an appropriate substitute and infrastructure many billions would die.
How does produce make it to the grocery stores? How much food is in a large metro at any given time (approx 1 week, perhaps 2 at most). What about all the food that is processed? No fossil fuels no wheaties. No fossil fuels no plastic. No fossil fuels no refregeration (what energy source?).
How would farming be if all of a sudden they could not run their tractors, columbines, could not apply pesticides, herbicides and fertilizer? What would be the decrease in production as a result? What would be the level of spoilage if we could not transport, chill, freeze, process the food we could produce? Billions would die...more billions would riot....
We need a substitute, no doubt, but we do not currently have an acceptable one nor do we have the infrastructure to even make an unacceptable one available.
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
They aren't unknowable. We know who is negotiating the climate treaties. My very own colleagues and good friends have been there at the negotiations. I was invited to the Conferences of Parties in Peru this past winter, but couldn't go.
Also, the key here is that it all depends on how real the threat of climate change is.
The scientists and international community have found it to be a very serious, real, and imminent threat.
One that if we do not take serious action now, i.e. climate change mitigation, we will be facing severe consequences globally that will disrupt global systems of all kinds.
Hence, provided what I said is true, the ONLY responsible action to take by both citizens and governments is rigorous action. IF it is all true, then it's not "authoritarian" to take NECESSARY Action. And if some citizens fight against it, it's really them that are in the wrong and are either just being selfish or are uneducated.
I submit to you a basic and poor analogy. It would be like a powerful army is threatening to invade the US and is a real and imminent threat and the government and half of the population says "we need to do something and if we don't prepare now we will be overrun." Then a small portion of the population says "There IS NO army out there and it is totalitarian of you to build up the military and make preparations."
Who would be in the wrong? Obviously the deniers.
And is it responsible for authorities or other citizens to listen to them if to do so means NOT taking necessary actions for the good of us all? No!
Maybe it isn't what most people think of but, no, we cannot know who will wield or what will be done with the authority we grant to any organization.
So, why isn't the conversation ever about climate change mitigation instead of taxation? That would be a very useful discussion.
Tax regime discussions are totally about climate change mitigations.
For example, carbon taxes are quite simply "internalizing" the negative externalities that are NOT usually paid for by companies and organizations. This then makes them have to become more sustainable because they are now finally having to pay for it, as they should have from the beginning. Hence they then begin mitigating their pollution.
Mitigation simply means lowering the contribution to climate change collectively, through everything from policy to technology to economic incentives.
If that was all that we ever did about pollution, we would still be nose deep in it. When I think about mitigation, I think about cleanup.
I would be delighted to hear the details of the various concepts and their projected efficacy.
Thanks for the response.
With climate change, there are two sides: Mitigation and adaptation.
Mitigation is changing human/society behavior to slow and or reverse climate change. That means not adding things.
We cannot "clean up" the greenhouse gases unless we start doing "carbon sequestration," which literally pulls it out of the air. That is discussed but a far out technology.
Therefore most discussions are about lowering further GHG emissions, hence slowing climate change, and also "retaining" as much carbon as possible in the environment. For example, there are "carbon sinks" such as the Amazon jungle which has lots of carbon embedded in the life forms. When it is cut down, or deforested, this too releases lots of GHB.
I'm looking for a good paper with solutions, instead of studies with single solutions. I know it exists.
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
They aren't unknowable. We know who is negotiating the climate treaties. My very own colleagues and good friends have been there at the negotiations. I was invited to the Conferences of Parties in Peru this past winter, but couldn't go.
Also, the key here is that it all depends on how real the threat of climate change is.
The scientists and international community have found it to be a very serious, real, and imminent threat.
One that if we do not take serious action now, i.e. climate change mitigation, we will be facing severe consequences globally that will disrupt global systems of all kinds.
Hence, provided what I said is true, the ONLY responsible action to take by both citizens and governments is rigorous action. IF it is all true, then it's not "authoritarian" to take NECESSARY Action. And if some citizens fight against it, it's really them that are in the wrong and are either just being selfish or are uneducated.
I submit to you a basic and poor analogy. It would be like a powerful army is threatening to invade the US and is a real and imminent threat and the government and half of the population says "we need to do something and if we don't prepare now we will be overrun." Then a small portion of the population says "There IS NO army out there and it is totalitarian of you to build up the military and make preparations."
Who would be in the wrong? Obviously the deniers.
And is it responsible for authorities or other citizens to listen to them if to do so means NOT taking necessary actions for the good of us all? No!
Maybe it isn't what most people think of but, no, we cannot know who will wield or what will be done with the authority we grant to any organization.
So, why isn't the conversation ever about climate change mitigation instead of taxation? That would be a very useful discussion.
Tax regime discussions are totally about climate change mitigations.
For example, carbon taxes are quite simply "internalizing" the negative externalities that are NOT usually paid for by companies and organizations. This then makes them have to become more sustainable because they are now finally having to pay for it, as they should have from the beginning. Hence they then begin mitigating their pollution.
Mitigation simply means lowering the contribution to climate change collectively, through everything from policy to technology to economic incentives.
If that was all that we ever did about pollution, we would still be nose deep in it. When I think about mitigation, I think about cleanup.
I would be delighted to hear the details of the various concepts and their projected efficacy.
Thanks for the response.
With climate change, there are two sides: Mitigation and adaptation.
Mitigation is changing human/society behavior to slow and or reverse climate change. That means not adding things.
We cannot "clean up" the greenhouse gases unless we start doing "carbon sequestration," which literally pulls it out of the air. That is discussed but a far out technology.
Therefore most discussions are about lowering further GHG emissions, hence slowing climate change, and also "retaining" as much carbon as possible in the environment. For example, there are "carbon sinks" such as the Amazon jungle which has lots of carbon embedded in the life forms. When it is cut down, or deforested, this too releases lots of GHB.
I'm looking for a good paper with solutions, instead of studies with single solutions. I know it exists.
But we can cleanup carbon dioxide by planting trees, why isn't that the primary topic of discussion? What is the technological hurdle that cannot be traversed, why not just start with that?
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
Because that would not capture nearly enough nor fast enough.
It doesn't mean it isn't part of the solution. I.e. long term reforestation. But we need action now, not very slow carbon sequestration.
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: luthier
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: luthier
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
originally posted by: greencmp
originally posted by: Kali74
a reply to: greencmp
Yes, this is very encouraging to see in the MSM.
There's no shortage of MSM sources adding to the massive, stinking pile of denier (I say denier purposefully because man-made climate change deniers do not deserve the label skeptic) BS.
The Daily Telegraph (OP source)
The Daily Mail
The Wall Street Journal
Forbes
FOX News
This is just more of the same, proven false by the way, in a previous thread.
Just out of curiosity, as an anarcho-communist, do you have any reservations about the potential abuse of the powers which you are so willing to grant to a completely unknown (and indeed unknowable) group of people?
They aren't unknowable. We know who is negotiating the climate treaties. My very own colleagues and good friends have been there at the negotiations. I was invited to the Conferences of Parties in Peru this past winter, but couldn't go.
Also, the key here is that it all depends on how real the threat of climate change is.
The scientists and international community have found it to be a very serious, real, and imminent threat.
One that if we do not take serious action now, i.e. climate change mitigation, we will be facing severe consequences globally that will disrupt global systems of all kinds.
Hence, provided what I said is true, the ONLY responsible action to take by both citizens and governments is rigorous action. IF it is all true, then it's not "authoritarian" to take NECESSARY Action. And if some citizens fight against it, it's really them that are in the wrong and are either just being selfish or are uneducated.
I submit to you a basic and poor analogy. It would be like a powerful army is threatening to invade the US and is a real and imminent threat and the government and half of the population says "we need to do something and if we don't prepare now we will be overrun." Then a small portion of the population says "There IS NO army out there and it is totalitarian of you to build up the military and make preparations."
Who would be in the wrong? Obviously the deniers.
And is it responsible for authorities or other citizens to listen to them if to do so means NOT taking necessary actions for the good of us all? No!
This is where we differ greatly. You cant force people to change. The carbon tax issue is a scam and has the potential for even more dammage and liberty destruction. What we need to do is provide massive tax breaks for companies who can create real and confirmed artifacts that solve problems. Almost every study now a days has motivation behind from politics and there funding. It takes a much more dilligent fact checker than most are wilking to do.
I will say almost all the comments have been about peoples "gut" feeling and not peer reviewed science we can get.
I get your point.
But unfortunately, it has been discussed and examined and we now know that if rigorous change doesn't happen now, it will be too late. We can't wait 20-30 years. That's what the evidence shows.
So it has to be mixture of economic incentives like you are saying to real policy action now.
Again, for those who say "don't force anyone to do anything" it's like saying "Oh you say there is an imminent asteroid incoming that may wipe out millions? And you want to declare emergency and take action? Totalitarian!!"
Do you see what I mean?
Bear with me. There ARE things that can happen in our reality that take immediate action, even if some citizens don't like it.
Stalin didn't need to ask everyone to mobilize the military further when Hitler invaded...
Again what you are saying is dangerous and so is the reasoning.
You would have to go back to your logic, ethics, and philosophy to determine if you are correct. Most people would agree empericist laid out the scientific method. Of those John Locke speaks extensively on the subjects os liberty which go hand in hand with justice and scientific method.
The danger of being scared into a decision far outweighs safety because of how easily and how well ot works. For all you 911 conspiracy people case in point. One of Americas greatest first scientists B. Franklin warned about it clearly.
The only moral choice is and i dare you to use actual logic, ethics or philosophy, to counter not a gut feeling for those that will die if you are right. You can even use Marx its fine I think he is misunderstood.
There is never an outcome if you do a logic equation were forcing scared people to do something is the better choice. You have to give them the choice to fail or not. Even if it means they die.
Because the danger of thinking you can control peoples thinking because what ypu think is right (even if it is) is more dangerous as a precendent. Eventually someone will manipulate that equation with force. Its just a fact through logic not the metaphorical kind but the one all the scientists used to create the system we have now.
Its no small thing the social scientists, philosophers, engineers, and hard science people who created modern society believed strongly in liberty. Taking away liberty is taking away justice is taking away science.
The only way i see is with local public support and local laws voted by the people and insentives for industry to create safer technology.
But hey no one cares about that crap anymore anyway.
It is dangerous.
But my fundamental point is correct.
Using logic and ethics, we must make such decisions based on evidence, one, and how clear and present a danger is.
Again, no person nor government can nor needs to wait to respond if a threat is great enough. It's quite simply irresponsible and even insane.
So the clear and present nature must be based on evidence.
I must say to you that nobody is predicting this clear and present threat of climate change on "gut feelings." It is based on hordes of scientific and economic studies, as well as trajectories.
If we stay on the "business as usual" pathway, not taking rigorous action now, we are going to have severe consequences in 30-40 years. The social, economic, and environmental cost of not taking action has already been predicted to be FAR higher than taking action. That's what people aren't understanding.
So again, if that is true, then it is purely irresponsible to not take action.
And those who don't want to shouldn't dictate responsible action.
Remember if a man is trying to attack both of us I don't need to ask you to respond.
luthier
Right but thats not the same at all. What you are referring to is a direct threat. It is also discussed lengethly by Locke. What the government can do vs a citizen has different ethical and moral responsibility. Also there is no direct threat even if we are doomed. It is the people around you consuming that are the problem accept you focus on carbon emissions which are a nanopart of the problem and inconsiquential inedit on 9-2-2015 by luthier because: sp
originally posted by: Kali74
a reply to: greencmp
Me stating what something is or in that instance, what it isn't doesn't mean I describe myself that way.
How are you so drastically misunderstanding everything I say?
I'm not saying only government can save the planet, I'm asking you what governments will do when the shtf with the climate. Pack up and go or slap us in chains?
originally posted by: Kali74
a reply to: greencmp
The planet isn't going to die. It will (by end of the century most likely) become increasingly to exceedingly difficult for us and most other animals to live on it, not impossible for a long, long time yet (by human concept of time). Look at us now fighting over abundant resources, what happens when they get scarce or inaccessible? Governments will just go away? I don't think so.
originally posted by: infinityorder
originally posted by: Quetzalcoatl14
No they do not focus only on the last couple decades solely.
The actual scientists focus on the last 800 years, then time since the Industrial Revolution, and then yes recent times.
Also, yes statistics can be manipulated, but aren't always.
It always sounds like people that are deniers haven't really read the fundamental main science papers. These science papers very specifically address virtually all counter points, including your guys' claim that we are just in a natural cycle. All of the climate scientists know that there are natural cycles, better than everyone on here.
They very specifically state that natural cycles, sun spot cycles, natural change, DO NOT account for all of the change we are seen, and they have proven that statistically. This is the point.
The natural cycle argument needs to die, it's been dealt mortal blows several times.
If they focused on the last 800 years they would have factored the medieval warm period, where wine grapes were grown in england...tell me how many wine grapes can be grown in England today?
nce 1977, a further 200 or so vineyards have opened (currently 400 and counting) and they cover a much more extensive area than the recorded medieval vineyards, extending out to Cornwall, and up to Lancashire and Yorkshire where the (currently) most northerly commercial vineyard sits. So with the sole exception of one ‘rather improbably’ located 12th Century Scottish vineyard (and strictly speaking that doesn’t count, it not being in England ‘n’ all…), English vineyards have almost certainly exceeded the extent of medieval cultivation. And I hear (from normally reliable sources) they are actually producing a pretty decent selection of white wines. - See more at: www.realclimate.org...
Exactly..
It was much warmer then than now.....
Thanks for saying anyone not in climate science can't undeslrstand the science.
If you aren't in auto mechanics you can't repair cars.
Even string theory, quantum physics and astrophysics can be understood by a large percentage of folks with any sense.
Do not condescend to me. I bet my IQ and science education trump yours, while you try to tell me I am not smart enough to understand a rudimentary subject like climate change.
originally posted by: Hoosierdaddy71
When a corporation makes "adjustments" to its data and presents it to the shareholders, somebody gets criminal charges brought against them.
Somehow climate scientists get a free pass for "fiddling" with their data. That is usually called fraud.