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The 2009 flu pandemic in the United States was a pandemic experienced in the United States of a novel strain of the Influenza A/H1N1 virus, commonly referred to as 'swine flu', that began in the spring of 2009. The virus had spread to the US from an outbreak in Mexico.[117]
As of mid-March 2010, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated that about 59 million Americans contracted the H1N1 virus, 265,000 were hospitalized as a result, and 12,000 died.[118]
originally posted by: gman1972
All I can see in that is that 50 million were infected but only 12,000 died. If that was ebola then it could be 25 million dead at the most conservative estimate. That for me is what makes it such a big deal. Yes it's harder to catch, but still.... the mortality rate is just so much higher that in my opinion it makes it so much more intimidating.
originally posted by: gman1972
All I can see in that is that 50 million were infected but only 12,000 died. If that was ebola then it could be 25 million dead at the most conservative estimate. That for me is what makes it such a big deal. Yes it's harder to catch, but still.... the mortality rate is just so much higher that in my opinion it makes it so much more intimidating.
ETA: plus those are the final numbers for swine flu.. no one knows what numbers we will get to with Ebola... hoping that it stays at 1 honestly
Since the number of known cases so far is only around 7,500, that suggests that the number of new cases is doubling approximately every two weeks. This is called exponential growth: not 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6... but 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32.... If you put one grain of wheat on the first square of a chess-board, two on the second, and keep doubling the grains every square, there are not enough grains of wheat in the world to get you to the 64th square. [Source]
originally posted by: gman1972
a reply to: thesmokingman
Im sorry what numbers are you referring to? I'm not claiming that ebola will kill 25 million people, nor am I claiming that it will kill 25,000. I'm saying that we don't know how many ebola will infect, it's not like it's under control or anything. And the fact that the mortality rate is so much higher.... well that's my point.
LONDON (AP) — West Africa could face up to 10,000 new Ebola cases a week within two months, the World Health Organization warned Tuesday, adding that the death rate in the current outbreak has risen to 70 percent.
originally posted by: gman1972
a reply to: thesmokingman
Oh, okay sorry, i thought you were talking about the numbers I had in my post. It seems Ebola is kind of like that old shampoo comercial, you tell two friends, and they tell two friends, and so on and, so on..... while swine flu was more like, cough cough, everyone in the room is sick.
So it starts off slower, then keeps doubling. I am however no expert on either of these viruses... not by a long shot
originally posted by: CharlieSpeirs
Too much fearmongering...
At ATS of all places.
I agree so I'll give a star & flag even if others won't!
originally posted by: AphoticJoe
a reply to: thesmokingman
I can sympathize with where you're coming from in providing both the numbers and comparison. That said, and while mass panic could be more dangerous than most any health threat, I see no reason in attempting to downplay the very valid threat posed by Ebola. One case alone is one too many--if that case is us or an individual we care about. Reason and common sense I feel is--for now at least--defense enough both against Ebola and any mass disinformation in circulation. Needless to say really I suppose, but my hackles are up over this situation. Then again, they're always up so no harm done (yet) to me and those who inhabit my backyard here on the East Coast. However, we're all watching this thing closely. Overall, I see no benefit in attempts to dilute the danger of Ebola in the United States. Mass panic: no good; hands over eyes (regardless of whose hands--the government's, media's, etc.): even worse.