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Hi Arbitrageur - great to see you back. There were several things that have come up in the past two and a half weeks I thought you might respond to. blackcrowe asked for an answer to your Oct. 19 questions on the top of page 373.
Asphalt roads apparently don't have nearly the compression or tensile properties that railroad tracks have
So this leaves an interesting question, how does this deal with thermal expansion? Apparently the answer is, sometimes it doesn't, and a number of train derailments every year result from "sun-kinks" which result from distortion of the track when it gets hot. OK so that these "sun-kinks" occur should be no surprise to any physicist or engineer, right? When the track expands too much such that the existing restraints are insufficient to restrain it, the restraints give way and the track distorts. Here's an example of a sun kink from the Iowa DOT website:
There are 4 questions you could ask here: 1. Was the correct neutral temperature selected? (temperature where the track is neither under tension or compression) 2. Is the ballast poor? 3. Were there unclipped sleepers? 4. Were there loose ties?
Why that particular shape of distortion looking almost sine-wavy instead of the whole kink just being pushed off to one side? I don't know. Could some spots be anchored better than others? Could there have been some kind of resonance or pattern in the earthquake waves or the type of shaking which contributed to that shape? Again I don't know.
Agreed it's not high weirdness, it's just that the official story makes no sense and nobody will say what really happened. At least one or two ATS members seem to think they know what happened and they say it's not that weird even though they can't say what it is.
originally posted by: blackcrowe
a reply to: Arbitrageur
Thanks for the answers.
The first part of your question. I answered because it was there. The alleged events and rumours in the link seemed more like "high weirdness". And. I don't tend to get myself involved in that sort of topic usually. But. Something unusual certainly seems to have occurred. I'm not saying "high weirdness" though.
I suppose that explains why you seemed to have good knowledge about what the video was showing on the road damage.
This is where i'm qualified in my job. Highway construction.
In the following picture, if you set aside the giant chasm to hell in the middle, and look at the two yellow arrows I drew, I think that supports what you are saying about the asphalt being brittle and if the road stretched (which wasn't exactly the case here), then I expect to see the asphalt surface have gaps in it, like these small cracks or larger.
Asphalt is basically heated up sand with some added bitumen. It's not far off being glass really.
That is only the top layer though. Underneath is a layer of base tarmac. Which, Although they are 2 layers. They do stick together with the heat, bitumen and pressure from being rolled and vibrated.
These 2 layers sit on top of more layers of different sized compressed stone.
The kerb edge is there. Not for a footway. But. To stop the road from splaying out.
Asphalt is more brittle than tarmac due to it's sandier content and higher temp when being made.
So. An asphalt road would not have as much flex as a tarmac road. But in a quake. It won't make a lot of difference.
Had there been no earthquake, there might not have been any sun kink, so I guess you're right from that perspective. However, if you don't consider sun kink being involved in the earthquake event, how do you explain 9 extra meters of track when the ground only moved 4 meters according to one source I read? The only answer I can think of is 4 meters of track due to ground movement from the earthquake, and 5 meters of track added to that when the thermal stress was relieved, which in some sense is at least related to a sun kink, which was my reason for going into that explanation. I hope the people who said physicists were wrong about matter and energy being conserved because 9 extra meters of track appeared were only joking, but it was hard to tell.
But. The story we're looking at (without going back to check) was not going to due to a sun kink.
Neither can I though I might be able to with better examination. It's interesting to contrast New Zealand Earthquake tracks where the tracks stayed attached to the ties, with these Alaskan earthquake tracks where the tracks became detached from the ties.
I cannot answer those.
I'm not a railway engineer but my understanding is the tracks are anchored to the ties, not the ground. Then there's a whole support structure for keeping the ties in place, of which the ballast is a key component and if it's not compacted well enough the ties can move more than they should. But other than being held in place by the compacted ballast, the ties or "sleepers" aren't anchored to the ground as far as I know. I didn't find anything about ground anchors in this:
I did suggest that if the tracks weren't anchored to the ground.
Like the Alaska earthquake photo? But the anchors that failed were the ones holding the tracks to the ties, I don't see anything anchored to the ground.
But. If they were anchored further apart. if the displacement happened between 2 sets of anchors.(Although i didn't quite put it like that) That the track should have curved off the ground, upwards and not sideways.
I didn't mention liquefaction and subsidence because I have no reason to think it was a factor in New Zealand
However, if you don't consider sun kink being involved in the earthquake event, how do you explain 9 extra meters of track when the ground only moved 4 meters according to one source I read? The only answer I can think of is 4 meters of track due to ground movement from the earthquake, and 5 meters of track added to that when the thermal stress was relieved, which in some sense is at least related to a sun kink, which was my reason for going into that explanation.
I recognize that at one time we thought protons and neutrons were fundamental particles and didn't know their composition. I don't really follow your explanation because the concept of "part of an electron" is foreign to me. I can't deny that like the proton and neutron we may someday discover that electrons too can have "parts", but I don't really understand your proposal here. So if the electron splits into two parts to go through the two slits then you can have half an electron (two halves)? Then with three slits, the electron could split into thirds, and so on so it's infinitely divisible into as many parts as there are slits? I'm not sure how then it's still a particle, which seems more like going back to the wave description. Now perhaps if I could see some experimental evidence of "half an electron" which went through one of the slits, I might be persuaded, but it's not apparent to me at all that's what is happening in the two slit experiment.
There are some things I couldn't be paid any amount to keep quiet about like maybe mass genocide or something which should not be kept secret under any circumstances. But I think for more mundane things I have a price tag to keep my mouth shut and I suspect most people do. This is one of the hints Zaphod gave for what really happened though it's cryptic since if it was really that mundane, you would think they could talk about it:
originally posted by: delbertlarson
a reply to: Arbitrageur
On how much it would take to pay off scientists to keep them quiet, I mentioned I didn't think they'd do it for money. But by that I meant personal remuneration.
It's something, as I said, that is utterly mundane, but not something you'd think of. In this case you have to go outside the box. Way outside it.
That reminded me about an article I read on nearly that very subject relating to particle physics. It's about a fictional TV episode of the Big Bang series but the blogging physicist notes they often get the science right on that show because they have a good science consultant, and this is really a bit scary and along the lines of what you just said:
If there was a fear that the whole operation would be shut down because of possible bad press about something embarrassing, people might stay quiet. In a sense that is money too, but in science it is more than just that, as the whole enterprise is threatened. Our friends, colleagues, and their families will be hurt deeply.
That last line is pretty funny but the rest is a little too close to the truth, at least about that branch of physics it seems. I mean the Higgs was found, and not much else of interest, so what now? Just increase the energy some more and keep building bigger colliders and see if something else shows up? I guess dark matter searches can continue exploring additional parameter spaces so that might be a branch of particle physics where something new turns up in an unexplored parameter space, but as for SUSY, is it really dead?
LEONARD: Look, I know I screwed up, but it was only one interview.
How much damage could it have caused?
Ms. DAVIS: Would you like for me to read you the e-mails from donors asking why are they giving us money if physics is a dead end?
LEONARD: I didn’t say it was a dead end. I just said that I was worried it might be.
Ms. DAVIS: So if I just said I was worried you might not have a job next week, how would you feel?
LEONARD: Light-headed, and glad you asked me to sit down. Okay, just tell me what I can do.
Ms. DAVIS: I’m gonna need you to make a statement saying that you misspoke, and that you’re confident the physics community is close to a major breakthrough.
LEONARD: You want me to lie.
Ms. DAVIS: Look, Dr. Hofstadter, I’m counting on you. I think that you are the smartest physicist at this university.
LEONARD: Really?
Ms. DAVIS: See? Lies. They’re not that hard.
But doesn't the wave-function say the electron also has a chance of going through neither slit? So if you have half going through one slit, and another half going through the other slit, and you also have some probability it will go through neither slit, doesn't that make it add up to more than 100%? Or when you said half you didn't really mean half, but whatever is calculated from the wave function?
My view of quantum nature is that entities are essentially continuous bodies with an underlying (carrier) wave and an overlapping envelope. They have a one-ness in that when they exchange momentum with other entities they act as individual entities despite their internal continuous nature: their wave-function, which is the square root of their density, collapses when they exchange momentum. When I say half the electron goes through each slit I do not mean sub-particles. Rather I mean half of this continuum material that makes it up.
It's always wise to question the accuracy of measurements like that, and am not sure about the 4 meters ground movement being accurate and that probably varied location, so at best it's some sort of approximate number for a particular location. Whether 5 meters of thermal stress is possible, I don't know, but doing some quick calculations, the design limits I think are typically 1 part in 1800 expansion for an 80 degree temperature increase (above the neutral temperature at which the track is unstressed). So if it was near the high end of that then to have 5 meters of expansion would take 9km of track. I know CWR got rid of the vast majority of the expansion joints, but I don't know if they might still have expansion joints at far less frequent intervals, so maybe 9km without any expansion joints at all would be a bit much as you suggest, though perhaps not impossible. As long as the temperature increase doesn't exceed 80 degrees and everything else is sound, the track is supposed to be able to withstand that kind of 1 part in 1800 thermal stress, in either direction (hot or cold).
originally posted by: blackcrowe
But the sun kink at least allows for some explanation. As it seems stranger for it not to be factor possibly.
I know the track can be measured to be 9 meters. So we can be more sure of this figure.
I would more question the accuracy of the 4 meters ground movement. And suggest it was more. But i do not know the means and accuracy of the 4 meters result. Not saying it's the full 9 meters.
If it is accurate. Then 5 added meters seems beyond possible.
Yes sort of, though my thoughts don't require specifics on the earthquake waves, rather just the shaking of the ballast is enough to disrupt the locking mechanism it normally employs, rendering it far less effective in restraining lateral movement of the ties or sleepers during the earthquake.
The quake wave would have been upwards and outwards. Together with a lack of an equivalent kerb type edge. The sleepers would have more room to wriggle and move through the vibrating moving ballast. It would be similar to swimming through the stones.
I'm thinking something like weak fasteners, but one other possibility I didn't mention earlier because I don't see ice in the photo, but if the ties were frozen into the ground then even strong attachments could pop loose with the high rail stress. I wasn't looking for it but coincidentally I happened to run across this old image of a distorted track with the ties still attached, so they don't have to become separated under extreme stress.
The pic with the tracks popped off the sleepers. Could be several reasons. My choice would be that the ties snapped and were flung/shaken out. Maybe they were missing. The sleepers haven't moved. It seems they would have broken without much effort. Weak as you suggested. Or even bad materials/workmanship.
From here
September Weather It's not that New Zealand hibernates in its winter months (far from it), but in September, the first month of spring, there is so much activity in terms of festivals and events, that you may find it hard to choose the most appealing. The weather in September is typical of spring – the days start to get longer, the sun has a bit more heat and there's still a reasonable amount of water around (rain and snowmelt). So what can you expect? On the North Island, temperatures between 7 to 17°C and on the South Island, anything from 5 to 17°C. Pack for 'four seasons' in a day and you won't go far wrong!
It's always wise to question the accuracy of measurements like that, and am not sure about the 4 meters ground movement being accurate and that probably varied location, so at best it's some sort of approximate number for a particular location. Whether 5 meters of thermal stress is possible, I don't know, but doing some quick calculations, the design limits I think are typically 1 part in 1800 expansion for an 80 degree temperature increase (above the neutral temperature at which the track is unstressed). So if it was near the high end of that then to have 5 meters of expansion would take 9km of track. I know CWR got rid of the vast majority of the expansion joints, but I don't know if they might still have expansion joints at far less frequent intervals, so maybe 9km without any expansion joints at all would be a bit much as you suggest, though perhaps not impossible. As long as the temperature increase doesn't exceed 80 degrees and everything else is sound, the track is supposed to be able to withstand that kind of 1 part in 1800 thermal stress, in either direction (hot or cold).
Yes sort of, though my thoughts don't require specifics on the earthquake waves, rather just the shaking of the ballast is enough to disrupt the locking mechanism it normally employs, rendering it far less effective in restraining lateral movement of the ties or sleepers during the earthquake.
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
The Big Bang Theory and the Death of SUSY
Ms. DAVIS: I’m gonna need you to make a statement saying that you misspoke, and that you’re confident the physics community is close to a major breakthrough.
So, the answer didn't come as quickly as Harry Cliff hoped, and more analysis is needed.
...it is of paramount importance to confirm or refute these hints of LU violation promptly. Both the Belle-II and LHCb experiments will be in an ideal position to provide additional information by significantly reducing the uncertainties on the LU observables already studied and by measuring new observables that will further constrain NP models. The present situation should thus evolve rapidly with the combined efforts of experimentalists and theorists, and has the potential to provide very exciting news in the coming years.
I'm not satisfied either that we know where 9 meters of extra track came from. 4 meters maybe, but I don't know about the other 5 meters.
originally posted by: blackcrowe
I would rather prefer to see less than 5m of expansion to make it easier to account for. But. Even if it was less. It would still need to be accounted for.
the Higgs was found, and not much else of interest, so what now?
But doesn't the wave-function say the electron also has a chance of going through neither slit? So if you have half going through one slit, and another half going through the other slit, and you also have some probability it will go through neither slit, doesn't that make it add up to more than 100%? Or when you said half you didn't really mean half, but whatever is calculated from the wave function?
I don't know how experimental physicists decide which ideas of theoretical physicists to test. Even in the famous case of teams trying to observe eclipses trying to test relativity, what motivated them to do that? One team even got captured with their telescopes and eclipse observing equipment and were charged with being spies during the war.
originally posted by: delbertlarson
One thing HEP can look for now is, of course, preons. But I won't hold my breath waiting to be discovered. I do try. A little. Mostly here, and one talk a year at Brookhaven to a dozen or so people.
I think if you try to make a "realist" interpretation of events during the quantum eraser experiment, meaning you have absolute time, causality such that events happen after the events that caused them, you will run into some problems, but if you've already written an explanation of this, no need to write it again, you can point me to it and I'll read what you've already written. Or if you haven't explained that yet maybe you can explain it here how a realistic interpretation shows it's not really re-writing the past. The first 10 minutes of this video explains the experiment I'm talking about, one being done in 1999 and some other variations since.
Specifically, when an electron, or photon, or neutron impinges upon a wall containing two slits, right before reaching that wall there will be a wavefunction along the plane parallel to that wall. When that wavefunction reaches the wall, one of two things happen: 1) It hits the wall, and the collapse occurs to a single point of size dx = hbar/2dp, where dp is the momentum exchanged with the wall. Or 2) it passes through both slits, with the collapse occurring to the region of both slits. If the wavefunction is such that it is equal in front of each slit before the collapse, and if the particle doesn't collapse on the wall, it will collapse so that half of the particle goes through each slit...
Let me know if there is still some lack of clarity and I will continue to try to explain this further. I have believed everything makes sense for close to 40 years now, and I believe this is the answer to the OP. mbkennel and I had a discussion about this on this thread starting on page 287.
Causality is meant to move in one direction: forward. But the Quantum Eraser experiment seems to reverse causality. How and why can this happen and what are the implications of this experiment on how we understand Quantum Mechanics and our greater universe?
As I agreed, questioning the data is a sound approach. Maybe the extra track was 9 meters but was the ground movement really only 4 meters?
originally posted by: blackcrowe
a reply to: Arbitrageur
Could the energy of the wave radiate outward from point x. Along the tracks and away from x. Causing the expansion which would then be resisted by another cooler part of the track. Then having created extra length. Cause an opposite reaction to send the energy back towards point x. Now having 2 waves of energy on a collision course at point x.
This is only guesswork now.