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originally posted by: JiggyPotamus
The truth is that some of the nations on the map could be controlled. But I think what these militants fail to realize is the true scope of such a massive endeavour. It is more like a 100 year plan maybe. Speaking from the point of view of military and political strategy, there is a difference between simply having insurgents in a region and truly controlling a nation. To do the latter they will have to leave resources in every single city they capture. We are talking about more than insurgent warfare. It is a bold strategy to be sure, but it cannot function alongside a strictly guerilla warfare strategy. Guerilla warfare is NOT about controlling population centers, and that is one of the reasons it is so hard to beat an insurgency.
The insurgents could not be beaten precisely because they did not behave like a regular military. But they will have to start transitioning into a regular military to be able to achieve a goal this massive. And when they do that they become much more susceptible to modern military opposition.
originally posted by: Vovin
ISIL now is an evolution from the mujahideen of the 1970s. The hunted is handed a spear and fire, then they become the hunter.
originally posted by: nenothtu
originally posted by: Vovin
ISIL now is an evolution from the mujahideen of the 1970s. The hunted is handed a spear and fire, then they become the hunter.
I think I differ with that opinion, but perhaps I should let you clarify just what you mean here before I commence to taking issue with it, You could begin by specifying just WHICH mujaheddin "of the 1970's" you are referring to...
Asymmetrical is the key word here. It means they are not bound by national boundaries and can operate pretty much anywhere. Meaning that these guys started off in Afghanistan as anti-Soviet mujahideen, then founded al-Qaeda after their success due to American covert support and spread their operations far beyond Afghanistan.
originally posted by: Vovin
Brzezinski was the geostrategist who was looking for ways to defeat the USSR, and was the general strategist who, later on, boasted about his role in organizing the Soviet defeat in Afghanistan.
originally posted by: Vovin
a reply to: nenothtu
Here is Brzezinski with bin Laden:
The Washington Post/ February 4, 1980, Monday, Final Edition/
'Zbig' Holds His Fire at Khyber Pass
By Stuart Auerbach, Washington Post Foreign Service/ DATELINE: KHYBER PASS, Pakistan, Feb. 3, 1980
President Carter's national security adviser peered resolutely with gun in hand at Soviet controlled Afghanistan from the top of a Pakistani military outpost high above the strategic Khyber Pass.
It looked like a scene from a late-night Grade B television movie called "Zbig at the Khyber Pass" as Zbigneiw Brzezinski, high White House aide, hesitated for a second and then declined an offer to fire the Chinese-made light machine gun toward Afghanistan. Instead he invited the Pakistani soldier at the gunport to shoot the weapon.
The soldier got off one shot and the gun jammed.
After clearing it, he squeezed off a fast round. But the recoil knocked the soldier back into Brzezinski and the gun started spraying bullets wildly out the gunport.
"Thank God the Russians haven't started firing back," said a Pakistani officer accompanying the Brezezinski tour.
The madcap scene at the old British-built stone picket post -- really a tiny fort perched on top of a hillock two miles from the Afghan border -- climaxed a day's tour of Pakistan's frontier.
Brzezinski had asked to be taken from the Khyber Rifles officers mess in Landi Kotal to one of a string of pickets posts overlooking the Khyber Pass, the route of invading armies since 1600 B.C. when the Aryans moved down from Central Asia into what is now India.
Here is Brzezinski's speech he gave to his mujahideen friends in Pakistan, promising that they will return to Afghanistan someday, "God is on your side":
originally posted by: JHumm
Right, I wonder when they are going to try to tell us that they have a giant "laser" that will blow up the entire earth if we don't surrender. Or they have sharks with lasers strapped to their heads. ...lol
originally posted by: nenothtu
Well, Vovin, you got 'er done - got me to finally reading (well, listening to an audio book of) "Ghost Wars". I'm through Part I now, the end of the Soviet Afghan War. I find it pretty accurate in the main, with only minor problems, like Coll's insistence on calling the HIND-D's "MiGs" - they weren't MiG's, they were Mil's - the Mil Mi-24 HIND, a "flying tank". A minor thing, not really detracting from the main narrative.
It's told from a differing viewpoint, of course, than my own, but so far has not contradicted it - in fact, it offers a lot of support for what I've been saying. I've found NO claims so far of any US support for bin Laden and Co., and in fact denials thereof, just as I said.
One problem, perhaps, that my wife pointed out is the way the book is organized... it doesn't follow a straight chronology, instead preferring to group by subject and jumping all over the chronological map within the various subject areas. She thinks that could be confusing to some, and I have to agree. Perhaps that is where the confusion arises.
originally posted by: Vovin
a reply to: nenothtu
You can claim I'm in "left field" all you want. Fact is that I spent years in geopolitics and my training revolved around the construction of the American global empire leading to modern day geopolitical realities.
My soldiers went to Afghanistan to kill and die in helping your soldiers hunt down assets that were created by your government.
President Carter was no idiot as you presume. Carter pioneered American involvement in the Middle East. Carter established the pact with Saudi Arabia, to defend the Saudi Kingdom in exchange for oil. This pact was so important that George W. Bush committed the American military to fulfilling pro-Saudi objectives throughout the Middle East, and Obama had no choice but to continue the strategy.
Brzezinski laid out the American global imperial strategy. He was the architect. This strategy is clearly available in his publications.
There is no one way to look at it. Obviously the perception will differ depending on where you come from.
If we followed the global mainstream media, we would believe that the bad guys of the month, as defined by the Pentagon in Washington DC, are out to invade the USA because they hate American freedoms. Doesn't matter if they are Nazis, Vietcong, Soviets, Russians, Iraqis, Libyans, Syria, Iran or abstract Islamic terrorists.
The other side of the coin, for those who wish to pursue the deeper meaning of global events, shows far more connections and long-term strategy that no American president or liberal media will ever describe.
What is going on in the Middle East now has been a long-time in the making. The Americans empowered anti-Soviet rebels, and the rebels won. Then the rebels moved on to creating their own regional hegemony which made them enemies of the USA.
originally posted by: Vovin
Not sure what confusion you are referring to. I never said that Brzezinski was ever even mentioned in Ghost Wars.
Great book called "Ghost Wars" that details how Brzezinski (NSA) and the CIA turned ragtag mujahideen fighters into exceptional guerrilla fighters. They became stronger than their rivals and kept monopolizing various factions until they got to where they are today. The names have changed but essentially it's the same force, just expanded in terms of fighter strength, geography and scale of their goals.
In fact, I only ever read some of Ghost Wars. Back in early high school. I barely remember anything out of it, aside from accounts of clandestine CIA activities to support the mujahideen.
As for your photo analysis, it's probably true. Except there's no real way to know.
Obviously OBL was an American asset for some time.
It's well known that the Pakistan/Afghan arbitrary border means little to the locals, and it would not be hard to assume that CIA assets would play dress up.
The CIA and the Pakistani security service go back a long ways. But I have no proof either way because I was not there. All I know is that the original article that you reference could be fabricated news anyways. I've seen what the media can do during the Iraq war.