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originally posted by: SonoftheSun
I also know that many members do not believe in climate change, that it's all part of a money agenda but facts remain facts.
What say you?
Lord Monckton’s paper reveals that –
The IPCC’s 2007 climate summary overstated CO2’s impact on temperature by 500-2000%;
CO2 enrichment will add little more than 1 °F (0.6 °C) to global mean surface temperature by 2100;
Not one of the three key variables whose product is climate sensitivity can be measured directly;
The IPCC’s values for these key variables are taken from only four published papers, not 2,500;
The IPCC’s values for each of the three variables, and hence for climate sensitivity, are overstated;
“Global warming” halted ten years ago, and surface temperature has been falling for seven years;
Not one of the computer models relied upon by the IPCC predicted so long and rapid a cooling;
The IPCC inserted a table into the scientists’ draft, overstating the effect of ice-melt by 1000%;
It was proved 50 years ago that predicting climate more than two weeks ahead is impossible;
Mars, Jupiter, Neptune’s largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth warmed;
In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years.
originally posted by: SonoftheSun
a reply to: VoidHawk
Volcanic activity has reduced over the millions of years, does that mean we have to continually reduce emissions to keep in line with the reducing volcanic activity?
Thats nonsense!
Hi VoidHawk,
Perhaps (I'd like to see a link for that claim though) but it still wouldn't account for the ppm change during the last six decades or so.
And by the looks of it thus far, you are probably right in saying that he did NOT shut down Climate Change deniers!!!
originally posted by: Grimpachi
Already I see arguments that volcanos put out other greenhouse gasses and that is true however yet again it is ignored they also emit gasses such as so2 which have a cooling effect.
So the battle to educate and correct all the deniers misconceptions isn't over but it just became that much easier.
By far the largest contributer gas is water!
Mostly, total solar irradiance was lower. The Sun was not as hot then as it is now.
If CO2 levels are so in sync with mean surface temperatures, how is this possible?
Since its birth 4.5 billion years ago, the Sun's luminosity has very gently increased by about 30%.3 This is an inevitable evolution which comes about because, as the billions of years roll by, the Sun is burning up the hydrogen in its core. The helium "ashes" left behind are denser than hydrogen, so the hydrogen/helium mix in the Sun's core is very slowly becoming denser, thus raising the pressure. This causes the nuclear reactions to run a little hotter. The Sun brightens.
But there are several facts that remain. The Sun provides the energy which heats earth. GHGs trap that heat in the atmosphere. The Sun has not recently increased its output enough to account for the observed rise in temperatures. CO2 levels have risen to their highest levels in more than 500,000 years as a result of burning of fossil fuels. CO2 is a greenhouse gas.
There are SO many different variables that we cannot account for yet when it comes to climate change.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: VoidHawk
By far the largest contributer gas is water!
Yes. And the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere is, on average, stable because it is determined by air temperature. Because we are burning fossil fuels, CO2 levels are not.
A small amount of warming caused by rising CO2 levels will cause there to be more water vapor in the atmosphere because warmer air can hold more water vapor. More water vapor will further increase temperatures. It's a multiplier effect.
It varies quite a lot regionally, but globally it doesn't because the water vapor content of air is governed by temperature and pressure.
The amount of water in the atmosphere could spike up and down wildly and we could still say on average it stable!
During the Ordovician Period(460 million years ago) when CO2 concentrations were 4400 PPM, the mean surface temperature was similar to current temps.
It's more like 3.5-5%, but how did you calculate that? Are you basing it strictly on radiative forcing? Isn't that your critism of AGW? That it's too simple? Are you considering difference in albedo? The length of a day during the ordovician? Changes in Earth's orbit? And, of course, the way water circulated was a whole lot different then, since the continents as we know them didn't exist. These guys thought about more than radiative forcing.
With a 3-4% lower total luminosity, the CO2 levels needed to be lower than 3000 PPM for the glacial conditions that occurred during the late Ordovician.
Sorry but this is one area that even climate scientists have a hard time twisting into their models. With a 3-4% lower total luminosity, the CO2 levels needed to be lower than 3000 PPM for the glacial conditions that occurred during the late Ordovician. Since they were 5600 PPM at that time, how was it possible there were glacial conditions then?