HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
412 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014
...POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING FOR FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...CRITICAL.
AREA...EAST OF A WELCH TO CROWDER TO BOSWELL OKLAHOMA LINE
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER THAT INCLUDES STRONG
LONG-TRACK TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL TO AROUND BASEBALL SIZE AND
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH IS FORECAST INTO THIS
EVENING. THE AREA WITH THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF
A WELCH TO CROWDER TO BOSWELL OKLAHOMA LINE. THE TIME WINDOW OF
GREATEST THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10 PM.
THE AIRMASS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AS THE STORMS CONTINUE
TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES WITH
THESE STORMS...INCLUDING STRONG LONG-TRACK TORNADOES...HAIL TO BASEBALL
SIZE AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO 80 MILES AN HOUR.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY MID EVENING AS THE DRYLINE
PUSHES EAST OF THE AREA.
BEHIND THE DRYLINE...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND RAPIDLY FALLING
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40...AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PASSES TO OUR NORTH. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS MONDAY WILL AGAIN RESULT
IN A LIMITED TO ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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edit on 27-4-2014 by TechniXcality because: (no reason given)