posted on Apr, 24 2014 @ 11:06 PM
I don't buy it. Even IF it could be proven that the Ukranian military has gear made in the United States, it still means nothing. All militaries have
equipment that is manufactured all over the world. And a US manufacturer can sell almost anything to foreign militaries, except for highly advanced or
classified material and hardware. This is how so many nations have US built jet fighters and whatnot. And that is a pretty serious piece of hardware.
Yet you won't find any other militaries with the US's most advanced fighters.
I hadn't heard anything about the US offering military aid to Ukraine, and I personally don't believe it. There is no way that authorization would
come for something like that. I don't see why so many people are expecting war involving the United States, because I'm sorry to disappoint, but it
will not happen. I have detailed why this is the case in at least 5 threads here on ATS, and have also laid out just what I believe Putin and the
Russian government and military is thinking...And the truth is that Russia does not want war with the US either.
It is quite obvious that the only reason Russia invaded Crimea in the first place was because it felt its military strength was in jeopardy. The area
around Sevastopol is extremely important to Russia both militarily and economically. So the actions in this area are not the same as an invasion of
the Ukraine, or at least that is how Putin views things, because the area has its own Constitution, and part of it was already being leased by the
Russian military. Plus, Putin is not making all the decisions on his own. He has gone through the Russian parliament to get permission to protect
ethnic Russians in the region. And Crimea is about 50% Russian in that respect, while only a quarter Ukranian. So things are not as cut and dry as
they would be with an invasion of Ukraine itself.
I highly, highly doubt that Russia will invade Ukraine. It just doesn't make any sense from a military standpoint. The only reason Putin would
actually go through with it would be because he was absolutely certain there would be no military action taken against Russia by any other country
besides Ukraine. Russia can sweep the Ukranian military off the map very quickly. Russia, by the lease agreement, was allowed to keep 25,000 troops,
24 pieces of artillery as long as they were 100 mm or less in caliber, 22 aircraft, and 132 AV's.
Even if we assume that this is all Russia has in Crimea in terms of personnel and hardware, we must not forget the fact that they also have a fleet
stationed there, and although Russia's navy is more geared towards ship to ship combat as opposed to the US navy which is more geared toward land
attacks from the sea, these ships can still rain down much fire on land based targets. Then there is the fact that Russia could still have more troops
than 25,000 in Crimea. Then there is also the fact that Putin claimed private organizations or militia groups spearheaded, or were at least present,
during the Crimean invasion. They likely are still there at present.
So this is why Ukraine has not attempted to retake Crimea. The large Russian population, and the large Russian military presence, means it is
virtually impossible for them to succeed. It is a unique situation to be sure. Instead of drawing this post out even further, I will just say that
Russia is not likely to invade Ukraine, and the US definitely will not intervene militarily if they do.
And at present, since Russia has not invaded, the US CANNOT risk conflict by sending ANY military hardware or supplies to Ukraine. It just cannot, and
therefore it will not. If some politician said otherwise, they are full of it, because this will not occur. It would be a horrible strategy for the
US, because Putin will see this as aggression in some form. Humanitarian aid would be fine, but not military aid.
So if the US is unlikely to get involved militarily even in the event that Russia crosses the northern or western border of Ukraine, they sure as heck
aren't going to get involved before Russia does that. Which they won't anyway. So on the off chance that US military supplies are just being sent to
Ukraine, there is no way that the US government is behind it. They likely realize the futility of doing that anyway. Ukraine cannot win in a conflict
against Russia. Russia's military might is greater. And not only that, but Russia has virtually its entire military force RIGHT THERE.