First Tropical Storm? Tropical Storm Alberto

Will this be the first tropical storm of the season?

It is still very disorganized, but conditions may be ripe. A hurricane hunter will be checking on this disturbance later today according to MSNBC.

Edit to fix linky

[edit on 6/9/2006 by darkelf]

[edit on 6/9/2006 by darkelf]

changed title to reflect status of the storm

[edit on 6-11-2006 by worldwatcher]

your link isn't working Darkelf

According to the NHC it could be the first of the season if it holds together.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GULF
OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS MOVED TO THE NE NOW COVERING ONLY THE
NE SECTOR. UPPER RIDGING EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE OVER
S MEXICO NWARD TO TEXAS. THIS UPPER RIDGE IS BUILDING EWARD INTO
THE W GULF. ESSENTIALLY...THIS UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENT PATTERN IS
GENERATING STRONG SUBSIDENCE ACROSS NEARLY THE ENTIRE GULF OF
MEXICO. AT THE SFC...A WEAK DISSIPATING TROUGH LIES FROM LAKE
OKEECHOBEE FLORIDA SWWARD TO 24N87W. THIS TROUGH IS MARKED BY A
NARROW THIN BAND OF CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT. A WEAK 1015 MB HIGH
IS CENTERED IN THE NW GULF NEAR 27N95W. MAINLY FAIR AND DRY
WEATHER EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF WITH LIGHT SFC WINDS. THE DRY
WEATHER IN THE REGION OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS MAY COME TO AN END
FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF THIS WEEKEND AS A SLOWLY DEVELOPING
SYSTEM IN THE NW CARIBBEAN MOVES NWARD DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE E/CENTRAL GULF. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP INTO THE FIRST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON IN THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

I'm hoping against it, tropical storm maximum if it becomes anything, I not mentally ready to start doing this again.. I rather wait till August or October again.

Sorry about that. Fixed linky.

Cool looking vapor satellite image !







[edit on 10-6-2006 by imbalanced]

Upgraded from tropical wave to tropical depression one.

Projected Path

Source

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORMED IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
NEAR 20.9N 85.3W AT 10/1200 UTC. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT
44 NM/80 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN
TIP OF CUBA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
OR 340 DEGREES 10 KT. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1003 MB. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.

[edit on 6/10/2006 by darkelf]

As long as it doesn't get too strong, the areas of Florida in it's path certainly need the rains it will bring. Maybe enough to finally knock out the drought and stop the new fires that are still plagueing us daily.

Originally posted by Relentless
As long as it doesn't get too strong, the areas of Florida in it's path certainly need the rains it will bring. Maybe enough to finally knock out the drought and stop the new fires that are still plagueing us daily.

Yeah this will bring much needed rain to Florida


Hopefully that's all it brings....

Source

THE DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND IS ESTIMATED TO BE
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. A SLIGHTLY FASTER
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TOMORROW.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

Infrared

Water vapor

She'll probably gain a little strength once she hits the gulf. Still over Cuba right now and not very organized.

What happened to the tropical depression in Mexico? We got monsoon weather 2 months early. since we haven't had dewpoint above 55 3 days in a row it isn't technically monsoon. just a freak June rainshower. Did the moisture from that tropical depression make it's way all the way across Mexico and wind up in New Mexico/East Arizona? Intellicast and wunderground don't archive storms, so I can't look at the historical tracks, ain't that something....
Anyhoo, I was just wondering. As I was in the boonies, no internet. I was just curious as to why we had 1/2 inch rain In June when there is officially no monsoon. ( I collected 150 gallons of rainwater- understand. I'm not complaining about the weather)

I,m gonna guess it,ll dissipate..

I used to watch these for years praying for high winds for windurfing but only the more expansive ones actually produced any high winds

We must learn not to underestimate the storm. It may not look organized now but that can changed within a few hours.

It's Tropical Storm Alberto Now...

Tropical Storm ALBERTO Public Advisory

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A
TROPICAL STORM.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 400
MILES...645 KM...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 445 MILES...715
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

Here in Broward (South East )Florida, we have very light rain right now. I'm actually looking forward to a soaker as long as the winds stay light. I'm sure most of us Floridians are capable of handling a tropical storm, we just don't want to see any rapid development into a hurricane today.

Can you blow it over this way please? Southern England is having a drought and in the southeast they are already water rationing from what I hear. Im in the southwest, and the pollution is getting so bad my husband is suffering from it.

Sorry Skadi - we need it here. You can't have it.

Here's a list of fires in my county.
As you can see they are occuring almost daily. Now it looks like we may literally go from famine to feast. It just worries me the storm is coming through later than originally predicited. It's the slow moving ones that scare me, as they seem to be the ones that suddenly turn into something unexpected.

10-June-06 - North of CR 304 at the power lines.
08-June-06 - Cypress Knoll, North Bunnell, over 200 water drops by air.
04-June-06- SW of US 1 and I-95 in Volusia County.
04-June-06 - CR 57 West County, small.
04-June-06 - SR 11 & SR 40 near Volusia County.
03-June-06 - SE Flagler County.
02-June-06 - Royal Palms Parkway, very small, one drop by FFLT.
07-May-06 - Smll Fire Lk Distn Rd.
09-May-06 - Bayberry woods fire
10-May-06 - Woods fire @ Wildwood Drive
14-May-06 - Grass fire @ Palmetto in Bunnell
14-May-06 - Woods fire @ Kelp Rd.
21-May-06 - Woods Fire Palm Coast
20-May-06 - Small Fire Relay Area
20-May-06 - Residential Lots Point Pleasant
23-May-06 - Water Oak Fire, FireFlight made 23 drops
23-May-06 - Water Oak Fire FireFlight made 4 drops & recons
24-May-06 - Fire SR11/Blckbrnch 5 drops by FireFlight
24-May-06 - Fire Cedar St Dytna N 1 drop recon
24-May-06 - Grimsley Neck Fire, 20 drops by FireFlight
25-May-06 - Fire Lk Disston ,7 drops & Relay area, 8 drops by FireFlight)
25-May-06 - Black Branch Fire, 14 drops by FireFlight.
25-May-06 - Fire SW of Favoreta 19 drops by FireFlight.
25-May-06 - Small fire on Bunker Hill Ct in Palm Coast
26-May-06 - SR100 at CR5 small fire 5 drops made by FireFlight
27-May-06 - SW of Cody's Corner, bursh fire
27-May-06 - 74 acre fire in Relay, 34 drops by FireFlight.
28-May-06 - 2 fires in SE Relay 4&2 acres, 15 drops by FireFlight
28-May-06 - 3 miles SW of Bunnell, East of SR 11, FireFlight dropped 11.
28-May-06 - NW County South of Flalger Estates, 4 drops by FireFlight.
29-May-06 - John Campbell fire, 23 drops made by FireFlight.
29-May-06 - Haw Creek South of Mondex, 10 drops made.
31-May-06 - Buzzard Roost Fire, Cresent Lake, 9 drops made.

I doubt that this storm will get to hurricane strength. There is just too much dry air on the west side.

satellite pic

water vapor

infrared

Florida will be getting some very much needed rain.

Thank goodness!
I was walking in my yard yesterday and it was like walking on straw - very uneasy feeling.
I'll take winds and hard rain any day over the fires we've been having.

Hope all you ATSers on the west coast of FL. stay safe!

Overnight update....it got stronger...

We've already seen lots of rain and wind, even here in Tampa Bay...but now it's up to 50mph... No biggie really, and the rain is quite welcome... This is one storm that's more of a blessing than a disaster....

Should clear up the fires too....

Typical! We finally get a few days of decent weather here in London and now we all know that in a week or so the remains of Alberto are going to be moving overhead. Bloody typical! Argh!
On the plus side, this doesn't look too bad for Florida. I do keep wondering if Jeb Bush has got an albatross nailed to his roof though. How many tropical storms/hurricanes have hit that state over the past two years?

Well, we pretty are much are THE landfall spot for them...always have been, hehe...Kansas has tornadoes, CA has earthquakes, we've got hurricanes....

I'm sure you're prepared for anything Gaz...so stay safe with whatever Alberto sends your way.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO
ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO
BONITA BEACH.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 86.4W

I'm actually surprised by the hurricane warning Alberto doesn't look very impressive to me and down in southeast florida, the tropical downpours have been few and far between. Just very cloudy skies and light sprinkles.